Already inside the gate: the company is specified into someone else's next wave, and the wave has not yet shipped
The model's full reasoning — Q1 2023 call → NOThe question asks whether management describes the company as already being chosen/designed into another organization's future product/program, where the wave hasn't yet arrived, and the position is large relative to the company. Looking at the transcript, the key discussion is about Bed Bath & Beyond space recapture. Brian Finnegan says: "At year end, we had 19 Bed Bath locations, representing 60 basis points of ABR. As of today, we have control of 10 of these locations and have already leased two to great tenants, Sprouts Farmers Market and HomeGoods. Our team is well underway in leasing the remaining space with leases and LOIs out to multiple retailers, primarily single tenant backfills..." This is about recapturing space from a bankrupt tenant and re-leasing it. The company has control of 10 locations and has leased 2 already. The remaining space is being leased with LOIs out. This is not about being designed into someone else's future product - it's about re-leasing space they already own. The question asks about being "chosen, specified, qualified, designed in" to another organization's future product/program. The Bed Bath situation is about the company's own portfolio management - recapturing space and finding new tenants. The tenants (Sprouts, HomeGoods) are the ones who would be the "other party" but the company isn't designed into their future - they're just leasing space to them. The other discussion about tenant demand (Target, PetSmart, etc.) is ordinary leasing activity - the company is marketing its space to tenants, not being designed into their future programs. The signed but not commenced pipeline ($56 million ABR) is about leases already signed that will commence - this is the company's own leasing pipeline, not being designed into someone else's next thing. There's no discussion of the company being selected, qualified, or designed into a larger party's forthcoming product, program, or build-out. The leasing activity is ordinary course - the company leases space to retailers, and those retailers will open stores. But the company isn't "inside" the retailer's next thing in the sense described - it's just a landlord leasing space. The answer is NO.
| Ticker | Company | Call | Date | Call grade |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NC | NACCO Industries, Inc. | Q1 2024 | 2024-05-05 | C+ |
| CLGN | CollPlant Biotechnologies Ltd. | Q4 2023 | 2024-04-04 | F |
| EMKR | EMCORE Corporation | Q4 2023 | 2023-12-12 | C+ |
| AIRG | Airgain, Inc. | Q3 2023 | 2023-11-09 | F |
| EVGO | EVgo, Inc. | Q2 2022 | 2022-08-09 | C+ |
| GFS | GLOBALFOUNDRIES Inc. | Q3 2021 | 2021-11-30 | A |
| CUBI | Customers Bancorp, Inc. | Q3 2018 | 2018-10-26 | C+ |
| WYY | WidePoint Corporation | Q3 2016 | 2016-11-09 | D |
| THRM | Gentherm Incorporated | Q2 2016 | 2016-07-28 | C+ |
| GOGO | Gogo Inc. | Q1 2016 | 2016-05-06 | C+ |
| SPR | Spirit AeroSystems Holdings, Inc. | Q1 2016 | 2016-04-29 | D |
CUBI · Q3 2018 → YESThe question is about whether management describes that the company has already been chosen or locked into another organization's future product/program, such that volume will come automatically when ...NO The transcript describes a white-label partnership with T-Mobile where BankMobile provides services under T-Mobile's brand, with deposits expected to start in the next year after the launch. However, this does not meet the criteria for a secured position inside T-Mobile's next product or program. The language focuses on a partnership relationship that is still being launched, rather than a design win or qualification already embedded in T-Mobile's future offering. Management refers to it as an "expected white label partnership" and "working on" the launch, indicating it is not yet locked in as part of T-Mobile's committed plan.
EMKR · Q4 2023 → YESThe question is about whether management describes that the company has already been chosen or locked into another organization's future product/program, such that volume will come automatically when ...NO The transcript describes an agreement with Kratos for Inertial Navigation Systems to be included in the XQ58 Valkyrie drone, with the Air Force planning to acquire at least 1,000 units. However, this is framed as an announcement of a new agreement rather than a secured, locked-in position already designed 100% into the platform with volume guaranteed.
NC · Q1 2024 → YESThe question is about whether management describes that the company has already been chosen or locked into another organization's future product/program, such that volume will arrive automatically whe...