Already inside the gate: the company is specified into someone else's next wave, and the wave has not yet shipped
The model's full reasoning — Q3 2022 call → NOWe need to determine if the transcript describes a situation where the company is already chosen/designed into another organization's future product/program, the wave hasn't arrived yet, and the position is large relative to the company. Let's analyze the transcript. Management discusses several new business wins. For example, they mention a large family of parts for an electric side-by-side battery enclosure, production fully launching in 2023. They also mention a new potential customer for thermal management of EV batteries, but that's "potential" and "working with" - not yet secured. They mention a high-value takeover project for an ag customer, supporting high horsepower tractors. They mention a reshoring project for a commercial vehicle customer, scheduled to start production in early 2023. They also mention a new customer in industrial infrastructure. The question asks: does management describe that the company has ALREADY BEEN CHOSEN, SPECIFIED, QUALIFIED, DESIGNED IN, OR OTHERWISE LOCKED INTO POSITION INSIDE ANOTHER ORGANIZATION'S FUTURE PRODUCT, PROGRAM, PLATFORM, BUILD-OUT, OR STANDARD OPERATING PLAN — such that when that outside party's own next wave of activity arrives, this company's volume arrives with it automatically — AND does management convey that this position is secured today while the wave itself has not yet shipped, launched, ramped, or begun at scale? We need to see if there is a specific instance where the company is already selected, the wave is future, and the position is significant. Looking at the transcript, there are several wins. For example, the electric side-by-side battery enclosure: "We recently won a large family of parts for an electric side-by-side that will make up the battery enclosure on the vehicle. Production of this side-by-side model will fully launch in 2023" - so they won it, production launches in 2023, so the wave is future. Is it large relative to the company? They say "large family of parts" but not necessarily large relative to total revenue. But they also mention other wins. The reshoring project: "we closed out a project for a commercial vehicle customer in the last quarter. We are scheduled to start production in early 2023" - again, won, production future. The ag customer: "we were awarded a high-value takeover project for a current ag customer" - awarded, but not sure about timing.
| Ticker | Company | Call | Date | Call grade |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NC | NACCO Industries, Inc. | Q1 2024 | 2024-05-05 | C+ |
| CLGN | CollPlant Biotechnologies Ltd. | Q4 2023 | 2024-04-04 | F |
| EMKR | EMCORE Corporation | Q4 2023 | 2023-12-12 | C+ |
| AIRG | Airgain, Inc. | Q3 2023 | 2023-11-09 | F |
| EVGO | EVgo, Inc. | Q2 2022 | 2022-08-09 | C+ |
| GFS | GLOBALFOUNDRIES Inc. | Q3 2021 | 2021-11-30 | A |
| CUBI | Customers Bancorp, Inc. | Q3 2018 | 2018-10-26 | C+ |
| WYY | WidePoint Corporation | Q3 2016 | 2016-11-09 | D |
| THRM | Gentherm Incorporated | Q2 2016 | 2016-07-28 | C+ |
| GOGO | Gogo Inc. | Q1 2016 | 2016-05-06 | C+ |
| SPR | Spirit AeroSystems Holdings, Inc. | Q1 2016 | 2016-04-29 | D |
CUBI · Q3 2018 → YESThe question is about whether management describes that the company has already been chosen or locked into another organization's future product/program, such that volume will come automatically when ...NO The transcript describes a white-label partnership with T-Mobile where BankMobile provides services under T-Mobile's brand, with deposits expected to start in the next year after the launch. However, this does not meet the criteria for a secured position inside T-Mobile's next product or program. The language focuses on a partnership relationship that is still being launched, rather than a design win or qualification already embedded in T-Mobile's future offering. Management refers to it as an "expected white label partnership" and "working on" the launch, indicating it is not yet locked in as part of T-Mobile's committed plan.
EMKR · Q4 2023 → YESThe question is about whether management describes that the company has already been chosen or locked into another organization's future product/program, such that volume will come automatically when ...NO The transcript describes an agreement with Kratos for Inertial Navigation Systems to be included in the XQ58 Valkyrie drone, with the Air Force planning to acquire at least 1,000 units. However, this is framed as an announcement of a new agreement rather than a secured, locked-in position already designed 100% into the platform with volume guaranteed.
NC · Q1 2024 → YESThe question is about whether management describes that the company has already been chosen or locked into another organization's future product/program, such that volume will arrive automatically whe...