Already inside the gate: the company is specified into someone else's next wave, and the wave has not yet shipped
The model's full reasoning — Q1 2017 call → NOWe need to determine if the transcript describes a situation where the company has already been chosen/designed into another organization's future product/program, and that wave hasn't arrived yet, and it's large relative to the company. Let's examine the transcript for such descriptions. Key points: - SM Europe joint venture: "Our new joint venture, SM Europe, was the standout. Like consumers in the U.S., European consumers are responding very favorably to the Steve Madden footwear collection, and results in the JV are trending well above our initial expectations." This is already shipping and performing well, so not a future wave. - China joint venture: "We also continue to work on finalizing a new joint venture for China and remain hopeful that we will be able to begin conducting business in China under the new JV in the back half of 2017." This is still being finalized, not yet secured. It's not already chosen/designed in; it's in negotiation. So no. - Madden NYC at Kohl's: "First quarter also saw us launch a new brand which is exclusive to Kohl's called Madden NYC. The brand is available in about 450 Kohl's location and on kohls.com... We're off to a very good start with strong initial sell-throughs... While Madden NYC made only a modest sales contribution in the quarter, the strong early performance at retail gives us confidence this can be a meaningful growth vehicle going forward." This is already launched and selling. It's not a future wave; it's already happening. Also, it's a new brand, but it's already in stores. So no. - Schwartz & Benjamin acquisition: "We are also off to a good start with our newest acquisition Schwartz & Benjamin, which made a slightly above planned sales contribution of approximately $14 million in the quarter." Already contributing. - Any other mention of being designed into someone's future product? No.
| Ticker | Company | Call | Date | Call grade |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NC | NACCO Industries, Inc. | Q1 2024 | 2024-05-05 | C+ |
| CLGN | CollPlant Biotechnologies Ltd. | Q4 2023 | 2024-04-04 | F |
| EMKR | EMCORE Corporation | Q4 2023 | 2023-12-12 | C+ |
| AIRG | Airgain, Inc. | Q3 2023 | 2023-11-09 | F |
| EVGO | EVgo, Inc. | Q2 2022 | 2022-08-09 | C+ |
| GFS | GLOBALFOUNDRIES Inc. | Q3 2021 | 2021-11-30 | A |
| CUBI | Customers Bancorp, Inc. | Q3 2018 | 2018-10-26 | C+ |
| WYY | WidePoint Corporation | Q3 2016 | 2016-11-09 | D |
| THRM | Gentherm Incorporated | Q2 2016 | 2016-07-28 | C+ |
| GOGO | Gogo Inc. | Q1 2016 | 2016-05-06 | C+ |
| SPR | Spirit AeroSystems Holdings, Inc. | Q1 2016 | 2016-04-29 | D |
CUBI · Q3 2018 → YESThe question is about whether management describes that the company has already been chosen or locked into another organization's future product/program, such that volume will come automatically when ...NO The transcript describes a white-label partnership with T-Mobile where BankMobile provides services under T-Mobile's brand, with deposits expected to start in the next year after the launch. However, this does not meet the criteria for a secured position inside T-Mobile's next product or program. The language focuses on a partnership relationship that is still being launched, rather than a design win or qualification already embedded in T-Mobile's future offering. Management refers to it as an "expected white label partnership" and "working on" the launch, indicating it is not yet locked in as part of T-Mobile's committed plan.
EMKR · Q4 2023 → YESThe question is about whether management describes that the company has already been chosen or locked into another organization's future product/program, such that volume will come automatically when ...NO The transcript describes an agreement with Kratos for Inertial Navigation Systems to be included in the XQ58 Valkyrie drone, with the Air Force planning to acquire at least 1,000 units. However, this is framed as an announcement of a new agreement rather than a secured, locked-in position already designed 100% into the platform with volume guaranteed.
NC · Q1 2024 → YESThe question is about whether management describes that the company has already been chosen or locked into another organization's future product/program, such that volume will arrive automatically whe...