Buying its own future output: the company is spending now to own more of the value it already helps create
The model's full reasoning — Q1 2022 call → NOWe need to determine if management describes the company currently moving itself further up or down its own value chain, taking ownership or direct control of a step that someone else used to perform, and that this move is already being executed and changing what the company earns or can do. We need to look for any mention of vertical integration, taking over a step previously done by others, etc. The transcript is about Big Lots' Q1 2022 earnings call. They discuss challenges, inventory, gross margin, etc. They talk about closeouts, supply chain, freight, etc. But do they mention taking over a step in the value chain? For example, bringing manufacturing in-house, taking over logistics, selling directly to consumers, etc. They mention "our new FTCs" (likely foreign trade zones?) and "lower receipts reduce the pressure on our supply chain." They talk about detention and demurrage charges. They talk about reducing costs, but not about taking over a step. They mention "our e-comm business" and "same-day delivery" but that's not necessarily taking over a step from someone else; they already had e-commerce. They talk about "our new furniture sales model" but that's internal. They talk about "closeouts" which is buying excess inventory, but that's not vertical integration. They talk about "our ability to go after closeout later in the year" - that's just buying goods. No mention of taking over manufacturing, logistics, distribution, or direct sales that they previously outsourced. They mention "we are in the midst of rolling out a new tool that will enhance inventory flow" - that's internal. They mention "our new FTCs" - maybe foreign trade centers? But not clear. They talk about "our supply chain" but not taking over. They talk about "our own" but not taking over from others. They mention "we have reorganized and redoubled our efforts on cost reduction" - that's not vertical integration. They mention "we are now planning around $175 million for the year versus our original guidance" - that's CapEx. No mention of acquiring a supplier, distributor, or taking over a step. They talk about "our Easy Leasing program" and "Big Lots credit card" - those are financial services, but they already had them? They say "picked up momentum" - not new. They talk about "our private label offering" - that's not taking over a step; they already had private label.
| Ticker | Company | Call | Date | Call grade |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| GIII | G-III Apparel Group, Ltd. | Q4 2024 | 2024-03-14 | C |
| KOPN | Kopin Corporation | Q4 2023 | 2024-03-14 | C+ |
| PFE | Pfizer Inc. | Q4 2023 | 2024-01-30 | F |
| BZUN | Baozun Inc. | Q2 2023 | 2023-08-28 | D |
| KMDA | Kamada Ltd. | Q2 2023 | 2023-08-16 | B+ |
| SOL | ReneSola Ltd | Q3 2022 | 2022-12-01 | C+ |
| TMCI | Treace Medical Concepts, Inc. | Q2 2022 | 2022-08-13 | B+ |
| HROW | Harrow Health, Inc. | Q4 2021 | 2022-03-10 | C |
| SLQT | SelectQuote, Inc. | Q2 2022 | 2022-02-07 | F |
| LC | LendingClub Corporation | Q4 2021 | 2022-01-26 | A |
| LPTH | LightPath Technologies, Inc. | Q4 2021 | 2021-09-09 | D |
| KNDI | Kandi Technologies Group, Inc. | Q2 2021 | 2021-08-09 | F |
| EHTH | eHealth, Inc. | Q2 2021 | 2021-07-29 | F |
| PRPO | Precipio, Inc. | Q3 2018 | 2018-11-19 | D |
| T | AT&T Inc. | Q3 2018 | 2018-10-24 | C+ |
| KOP | Koppers Holdings Inc. | Q2 2018 | 2018-08-12 | C+ |
| XOM | Exxon Mobil Corporation | Q2 2018 | 2018-07-27 | C |
| TOUR | Tuniu Corporation | Q4 2017 | 2018-03-14 | D |
| HSTM | HealthStream, Inc. | Q3 2017 | 2017-10-24 | C |
| FLEX | Flex Ltd. | Q1 2018 | 2017-07-28 | F |
| DAN | Dana Incorporated | Q1 2017 | 2017-05-02 | B |
| GES | Guess?, Inc. | Q1 2017 | 2016-05-25 | F |
FLEX · Q1 2018 → YESThe question is about whether Flex Ltd is currently moving itself further up or down its own value chain by taking ownership or control of a step that someone else used to perform. YES The transcript shows Flex is actively internalizing a previously external step in the shoe manufacturing value chain by taking ownership of automation, process redesign, and end-to-end production for Nike. Management describes this as an ongoing, real-time execution: “we’re vertically integrating technologies,” “rethinking all of the whole supply process we’re applying automation technologies,” “we’ve manufactured over 1 million pairs,” and “we took over the facility in September” for Bose, with the Nike factory transition “complete by October.” They explain the value capture: the company now keeps margin it previously paid away, controls quality, cost, supply, and timing previously constrained by a counterparty, and serves customers it could not reach through the old chain. While acknowledging the ramp is early (losses persist through Q2, breakeven expected by year-end), the move is already changing what Flex earns and can do, not merely planned or contemplated. This meets all three required elements.
XOM · Q2 2018 → YESThe question is about whether ExxonMobil is currently moving itself further up or down its own value chain by taking ownership or control of a step that someone else used to perform. YES The transcript shows ExxonMobil actively internalizing logistics and supply-chain steps that previously required external partners or intermediaries. Neil Chapman explicitly states they “will get engaged in the connectivity between the Permian and our Gulf Coast refining and chemical assets,” with equity participation in logistics, the Wink terminal acquisition (closed late 2017), 11 active completion crews, and a signed letter of intent for a 1 million bpd long-haul crude pipeline. These moves are already producing results: Gulf Coast refineries are “already processing our production levels and more, capturing the benefits of disadvantaged feed cost.
KMDA · Q2 2023 → YESThe question is about whether management describes the company currently moving itself further up or down its own value chain, taking ownership of a step that someone else used to perform, and that th...YES The transcript shows management describing the 2021 acquisition of the Beaumont plasma collection center as the company's entry into U.S. plasma collection, with the explicit goal of becoming a "fully integrated specialty plasma product company." They state they are "successfully expanding" capacity at the first center (already acquired and operational) and plan to open the second in Houston in early 2024. This is presented as an active, ongoing move to internalize plasma collection that previously depended on external suppliers.