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First tranche delivered, larger tranches en route

First tranche delivered, larger tranches en route: the same engine that just produced has visibly more already scheduled

Calls Tested
952
Answered YES
37
Hit Rate
3.9%
rare by design

América Móvil, S.A.B. de C.V. (AMX) — this company's answers

NO on the Q2 2023 call 2023-07-12 B+
The model's full reasoning — Q2 2023 call → NO我们根据提供的财报电话会议记录,判断管理层是否描述了一个可识别的新业务引擎,且满足两个条件:第一笔实际落地,且后续更大份额已在推进中。 浏览记录,管理层提到了几个项目:如墨西哥的Amigo Paguitos(预付费手机融资平台)、Telmex的光纤扩展、巴西的固定宽带增长、奥地利铁塔公司分拆等。但需要找到具体描述“第一笔已交付”和“后续更大份额已在推进”的同一引擎。 Amigo Paguitos:Daniel Hajj说“we have a new platform called Amigo Paguitos that we're financing to some customers a prepaid phone and it's been successful, it's growing. We are being a little bit cautious with that. But as we finance in the postpaid segment, we are starting to finance also in the prepaid segment. Good, I think it's good for the people, it's good for us and it's been taking traction. We have been putting this platform in America in Telcel. I think we're going to do that all around America Movil if it works and we're happy the way it's been developing.” 这里提到平台已经成功并增长,但未明确说第一笔已交付,且后续是“if it works”才推广,属于计划,不是已承诺的更大份额。 Telmex光纤:Oscar说“we've been doing very aggressive investment in fiber. Now 73% of the customer base is already connected with fiber.” 这是已完成的,但后续没有提到更大份额在推进,只是现状。 巴西固定宽带:Oscar说“we are still growing the last three quarters. We were in negative before.” 这是增长,但未明确第一笔和后续。 奥地利铁塔公司:Carlos说“The tower company in Austria as you point out is still in the process of being spun off. We expect this will happen sometime in the third quarter before the end of the third quarter. And in fact this tower company has already raised the financing that it needs to be fully funded from day one.” 这是分拆,尚未完成,没有第一笔交付。 其他如企业市场、云合同等,没有具体描述。 因此,没有找到符合条件的具体引擎。管理层没有明确描述一个“第一笔已落地且后续更大份额已在推进”的特定业务。回答NO。

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Show the exact prompt the model was given
Using ONLY the supplied earnings call transcript and no outside information: On this call, does management describe ONE identifiable engine of new business — such as a specific contract, program, product, facility, customer relationship, market, or expansion — for which BOTH of the following are true in management's own account: (1) A FIRST TRANCHE HAS ACTUALLY LANDED: a real, concrete portion of that engine's business was actually delivered, shipped, completed, opened, billed, or recognized in the just-reported period — described as an accomplished fact with operating substance behind it, not as a plan, pipeline, letter of intent, or hoped-for demand; AND (2) LARGER TRANCHES ARE ALREADY IN MOTION BEHIND IT: management identifies further portions of that SAME engine that are already committed, scheduled, contracted, in production, ramping, or otherwise concretely underway — and conveys, directly or plainly in substance, that what has been delivered so far is the SMALLER share, with the majority of the engine's contribution still ahead over roughly the coming year? The engine, the form of the first delivery, and the form of the continuation may take whatever shape fits the industry — deliveries against a multi-unit order, the first locations of a rollout with more under construction, the first phase of a program with later phases contracted, initial shipments of a ramping product with committed volumes ahead, a first cohort of customers live with more already signed and onboarding — so long as BOTH halves attach to the SAME engine and management treats delivering the remainder as a matter of execution and timing rather than of winning new demand. Answer YES only when management's own words establish the landed portion as real and recent, the continuation as already secured or already in motion (not merely expected, negotiated, or in pipeline), and the remainder as larger than what has been recognized so far. Answer NO if the engine's business is all still ahead with nothing yet delivered; NO if the engine has already substantially completed, with the delivered portion being the larger share and little remaining; NO if the continuation rests on hoped-for demand, market recovery, renewals not yet committed, or approvals, financing, or decisions not yet obtained; NO if the landed and continuing portions belong to different, unconnected parts of the business; NO if the engine is routine, ordinary-course business at the company's usual scale that management does not treat as meaningful to its trajectory; NO if management is chiefly explaining delays, cancellations, or problems with previously scheduled tranches; and NO if the pattern is assembled only in an analyst's question or model that management does not itself affirm. Use only the supplied transcript. Answer only YES or NO.

Companies that answered YES

TickerCompanyCallDateCall grade
ASO Academy Sports and Outdoors, Inc. Q1 2024 2024-06-11 C+
ATAT Atour Lifestyle Holdings Limited Q1 2024 2024-05-23 B+
LINC Lincoln Educational Services Corporation Q1 2024 2024-05-06 B+
LTRX Lantronix, Inc. Q3 2024 2024-04-29 C
E Eni S.p.A. Q1 2024 2024-04-24 B+
FRPH FRP Holdings, Inc. Q4 2023 2024-03-07 C+
ZLAB Zai Lab Limited Q4 2023 2024-02-28 C
VMI Valmont Industries, Inc. Q4 2023 2024-02-22 C
TBLA Taboola.com Ltd. Q3 2023 2023-11-08 B+
JLL Jones Lang LaSalle Incorporated Q3 2023 2023-11-02 F
TEL TE Connectivity Ltd. Q4 2023 2023-11-01 B
CLNE Clean Energy Fuels Corp. Q2 2023 2023-08-09 C+
LUCD Lucid Diagnostics Inc. Q1 2023 2023-05-16 C+
CEIX CONSOL Energy Inc. Q4 2022 2023-02-07 B
ARE Alexandria Real Estate Equities, Inc. Q4 2022 2023-01-31 C+
SOL ReneSola Ltd Q3 2022 2022-12-01 C+
SYM Symbotic Inc. Q3 2022 2022-08-01 B+
CDMO Avid Bioservices, Inc. Q3 2022 2022-03-08 B+
DG Dollar General Corporation Q2 2021 2021-08-26 A
DOV Dover Corporation Q2 2021 2021-07-20 B+
MAS Masco Corporation Q3 2018 2018-10-30 C
FEIM Frequency Electronics, Inc. Q1 2019 2018-09-13 B+
SRDX Surmodics, Inc. Q3 2018 2018-08-06 A
IRT Independence Realty Trust, Inc. Q2 2018 2018-08-02 B
MGA Magna International Inc. Q1 2018 2018-05-10 B+
SATS EchoStar Corporation Q1 2018 2018-05-10 C+
RACE Ferrari N.V. Q3 2017 2017-11-02 C+
FLEX Flex Ltd. Q1 2018 2017-07-28 F
HR Healthcare Realty Trust Incorporated Q1 2017 2017-05-08 A
BDN Brandywine Realty Trust Q1 2017 2017-04-21 C+
WTS Watts Water Technologies, Inc. Q4 2016 2017-02-10 B
PSX Phillips 66 Q4 2016 2017-02-03 C+
LBTYK Liberty Global's Q1 2016 2016-05-10 C+
GOGO Gogo Inc. Q1 2016 2016-05-06 C+
MTRX Matrix Service Company Q3 2016 2016-05-05 D
CLF Cleveland-Cliffs Inc. Q1 2016 2016-04-29 F
DD DuPont de Nemours, Inc. Q1 2016 2016-04-26 B+

How the model reasoned

CDMO · Q3 2022 → YESThe question is about whether management describes ONE identifiable engine of new business that meets two criteria: NO The transcript describes the first phase of the Myford expansion as now operational and scheduling client projects, with management noting they are already utilizing the new space and that an extra $5 million is arguably in backlog attributable to it.
LINC · Q1 2024 → YESThe question is about whether management describes ONE identifiable engine of new business that meets two criteria: YES The transcript identifies the new-campus expansion strategy as the engine. East Point opened in Q1 with 29 starts and $90k revenue (first tranche, concrete and delivered).
LTRX · Q3 2024 → YESThe question is about whether management describes one identifiable engine of new business that meets two criteria: a first tranche has actually landed in the just-reported period, and larger tranches...

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Not investment advice. Artul.ai publishes AI-generated earnings-call quality grades and expected-volatility estimates — never buy or sell recommendations. We tested over 1,600 predictive hypotheses against 165,000 transcripts; the honest result, including what failed, is documented in our methodology.