First tranche delivered, larger tranches en route: the same engine that just produced has visibly more already scheduled
The model's full reasoning — Q1 2017 call → NOWe need to determine if management describes one identifiable engine of new business with both: (1) a first tranche actually landed in the reported quarter, and (2) larger tranches already in motion behind it, with the remainder larger than what's been delivered. Let's scan the transcript for specific new business engines. Key candidates: Ford Super Duty launch, Jeep Wrangler launch, Brevini acquisition, USM acquisition, Toyota HiLux, etc. - Ford Super Duty: Launched last year, ramping. In Q1 2017, they saw strong demand. But is this a new engine? It's a program that launched in 2016, so the first tranche landed earlier. The transcript says "recent launch of the Ford Super Duty" and "strong demand" in Q1. But the launch was in 2016, so the first tranche is not in the just-reported period. Also, the remainder? They don't talk about further tranches of Super Duty specifically. So not that. - Jeep Wrangler: Launch readiness proceeding, production later this year. So nothing landed yet. Not that. - Brevini acquisition: Closed in Q1. They talk about integration, synergies, cross-selling. But is there a first tranche of business landed? The acquisition itself is a business, but the revenue from Brevini is included in Q1. They say "acquisitions closed in the first quarter, Brevini and USM, added $80 million in sales and $7 million in adjusted EBITDA." So that's a first tranche of revenue from the acquired business. But is there a larger tranche behind it? They talk about synergy plans, but that's cost synergies, not necessarily new business. They also mention "positive customer response to the product cross-selling initiatives" but that's not a committed larger tranche. The acquisition is a one-time event; the revenue from Brevini is ongoing, but they don't describe a specific larger tranche of new business from Brevini that is already contracted or in motion. They expect the profit conversion to improve as cost synergies are implemented, but that's not new business. So not that. - USM acquisition: Similar, closed in Q1. They talk about vertical integration, but again, it's an acquisition, not a new business engine with tranches. - Toyota HiLux: "recent launch of the Toyota HiLux is also performing well" in South America. That's a launch. But is there a first tranche landed? Yes, the launch is recent and performing well.
| Ticker | Company | Call | Date | Call grade |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ASO | Academy Sports and Outdoors, Inc. | Q1 2024 | 2024-06-11 | C+ |
| ATAT | Atour Lifestyle Holdings Limited | Q1 2024 | 2024-05-23 | B+ |
| LINC | Lincoln Educational Services Corporation | Q1 2024 | 2024-05-06 | B+ |
| LTRX | Lantronix, Inc. | Q3 2024 | 2024-04-29 | C |
| E | Eni S.p.A. | Q1 2024 | 2024-04-24 | B+ |
| FRPH | FRP Holdings, Inc. | Q4 2023 | 2024-03-07 | C+ |
| ZLAB | Zai Lab Limited | Q4 2023 | 2024-02-28 | C |
| VMI | Valmont Industries, Inc. | Q4 2023 | 2024-02-22 | C |
| TBLA | Taboola.com Ltd. | Q3 2023 | 2023-11-08 | B+ |
| JLL | Jones Lang LaSalle Incorporated | Q3 2023 | 2023-11-02 | F |
| TEL | TE Connectivity Ltd. | Q4 2023 | 2023-11-01 | B |
| CLNE | Clean Energy Fuels Corp. | Q2 2023 | 2023-08-09 | C+ |
| LUCD | Lucid Diagnostics Inc. | Q1 2023 | 2023-05-16 | C+ |
| CEIX | CONSOL Energy Inc. | Q4 2022 | 2023-02-07 | B |
| ARE | Alexandria Real Estate Equities, Inc. | Q4 2022 | 2023-01-31 | C+ |
| SOL | ReneSola Ltd | Q3 2022 | 2022-12-01 | C+ |
| SYM | Symbotic Inc. | Q3 2022 | 2022-08-01 | B+ |
| CDMO | Avid Bioservices, Inc. | Q3 2022 | 2022-03-08 | B+ |
| DG | Dollar General Corporation | Q2 2021 | 2021-08-26 | A |
| DOV | Dover Corporation | Q2 2021 | 2021-07-20 | B+ |
| MAS | Masco Corporation | Q3 2018 | 2018-10-30 | C |
| FEIM | Frequency Electronics, Inc. | Q1 2019 | 2018-09-13 | B+ |
| SRDX | Surmodics, Inc. | Q3 2018 | 2018-08-06 | A |
| IRT | Independence Realty Trust, Inc. | Q2 2018 | 2018-08-02 | B |
| MGA | Magna International Inc. | Q1 2018 | 2018-05-10 | B+ |
| SATS | EchoStar Corporation | Q1 2018 | 2018-05-10 | C+ |
| RACE | Ferrari N.V. | Q3 2017 | 2017-11-02 | C+ |
| FLEX | Flex Ltd. | Q1 2018 | 2017-07-28 | F |
| HR | Healthcare Realty Trust Incorporated | Q1 2017 | 2017-05-08 | A |
| BDN | Brandywine Realty Trust | Q1 2017 | 2017-04-21 | C+ |
| WTS | Watts Water Technologies, Inc. | Q4 2016 | 2017-02-10 | B |
| PSX | Phillips 66 | Q4 2016 | 2017-02-03 | C+ |
| LBTYK | Liberty Global's | Q1 2016 | 2016-05-10 | C+ |
| GOGO | Gogo Inc. | Q1 2016 | 2016-05-06 | C+ |
| MTRX | Matrix Service Company | Q3 2016 | 2016-05-05 | D |
| CLF | Cleveland-Cliffs Inc. | Q1 2016 | 2016-04-29 | F |
| DD | DuPont de Nemours, Inc. | Q1 2016 | 2016-04-26 | B+ |
CDMO · Q3 2022 → YESThe question is about whether management describes ONE identifiable engine of new business that meets two criteria: NO The transcript describes the first phase of the Myford expansion as now operational and scheduling client projects, with management noting they are already utilizing the new space and that an extra $5 million is arguably in backlog attributable to it.
LINC · Q1 2024 → YESThe question is about whether management describes ONE identifiable engine of new business that meets two criteria: YES The transcript identifies the new-campus expansion strategy as the engine. East Point opened in Q1 with 29 starts and $90k revenue (first tranche, concrete and delivered).
LTRX · Q3 2024 → YESThe question is about whether management describes one identifiable engine of new business that meets two criteria: a first tranche has actually landed in the just-reported period, and larger tranches...