First tranche delivered, larger tranches en route: the same engine that just produced has visibly more already scheduled
The model's full reasoning — Q2 2023 call → NOWe need to determine if management describes an identifiable engine of new business with both a landed first tranche and larger tranches already in motion. The transcript mentions several things: SuperVision shipments, ZEEKR rollout, Volkswagen ID Buzz testing, Porsche design win, etc. But we need a specific engine where a first tranche has actually landed in the reported period (Q2 2023) and larger tranches are already committed/scheduled. Consider the ZEEKR SuperVision: They shipped 10,000 units in Q2, and they mention that Q1 had 25,000, and they are ramping. They also mention that ZEEKR broadened users for Highway Navigate on Pilot, and expect full rollout within weeks. But is that a "first tranche" with larger tranches? The shipments are ongoing, but the description is more about volume fluctuations. Also, they mention that the full-year guidance is reaffirmed, with Q4 higher than Q3. That suggests a ramp, but is it a new engine? It's an existing product line. Another candidate: The Volkswagen Group relationship. They mention a recent design win for Cascade REM across most of the group, and that SuperVision is expected to be adopted by other premium brands. But that is not yet landed; it's a design win, not a delivery. The ID Buzz testing: They delivered multiple self-driving systems integrated into VW ID Buzz for testing. That is a delivery, but it's for testing, not commercial. And they say "hopefully this will mature into an official design win hopefully this year." So that's not a landed business with larger tranches. The Porsche SuperVision design win: That is a design win, but no shipments yet? They mention that Porsche shares platforms, and they expect adoption by other premium brands. But that's future. What about the EyeQ business? They talk about volume ramp in second half, but that's existing business. The question asks for an identifiable engine of new business. Perhaps the SuperVision product line itself? But they have been shipping for a while. The first tranche could be the ZEEKR shipments, and larger tranches are the additional models and other OEMs. But management says "we continue to expect full-year shipment consistent with our prior guidance, Q4 will be higher than Q3." That indicates a ramp, but is it a new engine? They also mention that they have nine OEMs in advanced stages, but those are not yet landed.
| Ticker | Company | Call | Date | Call grade |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ASO | Academy Sports and Outdoors, Inc. | Q1 2024 | 2024-06-11 | C+ |
| ATAT | Atour Lifestyle Holdings Limited | Q1 2024 | 2024-05-23 | B+ |
| LINC | Lincoln Educational Services Corporation | Q1 2024 | 2024-05-06 | B+ |
| LTRX | Lantronix, Inc. | Q3 2024 | 2024-04-29 | C |
| E | Eni S.p.A. | Q1 2024 | 2024-04-24 | B+ |
| FRPH | FRP Holdings, Inc. | Q4 2023 | 2024-03-07 | C+ |
| ZLAB | Zai Lab Limited | Q4 2023 | 2024-02-28 | C |
| VMI | Valmont Industries, Inc. | Q4 2023 | 2024-02-22 | C |
| TBLA | Taboola.com Ltd. | Q3 2023 | 2023-11-08 | B+ |
| JLL | Jones Lang LaSalle Incorporated | Q3 2023 | 2023-11-02 | F |
| TEL | TE Connectivity Ltd. | Q4 2023 | 2023-11-01 | B |
| CLNE | Clean Energy Fuels Corp. | Q2 2023 | 2023-08-09 | C+ |
| LUCD | Lucid Diagnostics Inc. | Q1 2023 | 2023-05-16 | C+ |
| CEIX | CONSOL Energy Inc. | Q4 2022 | 2023-02-07 | B |
| ARE | Alexandria Real Estate Equities, Inc. | Q4 2022 | 2023-01-31 | C+ |
| SOL | ReneSola Ltd | Q3 2022 | 2022-12-01 | C+ |
| SYM | Symbotic Inc. | Q3 2022 | 2022-08-01 | B+ |
| CDMO | Avid Bioservices, Inc. | Q3 2022 | 2022-03-08 | B+ |
| DG | Dollar General Corporation | Q2 2021 | 2021-08-26 | A |
| DOV | Dover Corporation | Q2 2021 | 2021-07-20 | B+ |
| MAS | Masco Corporation | Q3 2018 | 2018-10-30 | C |
| FEIM | Frequency Electronics, Inc. | Q1 2019 | 2018-09-13 | B+ |
| SRDX | Surmodics, Inc. | Q3 2018 | 2018-08-06 | A |
| IRT | Independence Realty Trust, Inc. | Q2 2018 | 2018-08-02 | B |
| MGA | Magna International Inc. | Q1 2018 | 2018-05-10 | B+ |
| SATS | EchoStar Corporation | Q1 2018 | 2018-05-10 | C+ |
| RACE | Ferrari N.V. | Q3 2017 | 2017-11-02 | C+ |
| FLEX | Flex Ltd. | Q1 2018 | 2017-07-28 | F |
| HR | Healthcare Realty Trust Incorporated | Q1 2017 | 2017-05-08 | A |
| BDN | Brandywine Realty Trust | Q1 2017 | 2017-04-21 | C+ |
| WTS | Watts Water Technologies, Inc. | Q4 2016 | 2017-02-10 | B |
| PSX | Phillips 66 | Q4 2016 | 2017-02-03 | C+ |
| LBTYK | Liberty Global's | Q1 2016 | 2016-05-10 | C+ |
| GOGO | Gogo Inc. | Q1 2016 | 2016-05-06 | C+ |
| MTRX | Matrix Service Company | Q3 2016 | 2016-05-05 | D |
| CLF | Cleveland-Cliffs Inc. | Q1 2016 | 2016-04-29 | F |
| DD | DuPont de Nemours, Inc. | Q1 2016 | 2016-04-26 | B+ |
CDMO · Q3 2022 → YESThe question is about whether management describes ONE identifiable engine of new business that meets two criteria: NO The transcript describes the first phase of the Myford expansion as now operational and scheduling client projects, with management noting they are already utilizing the new space and that an extra $5 million is arguably in backlog attributable to it.
LINC · Q1 2024 → YESThe question is about whether management describes ONE identifiable engine of new business that meets two criteria: YES The transcript identifies the new-campus expansion strategy as the engine. East Point opened in Q1 with 29 starts and $90k revenue (first tranche, concrete and delivered).
LTRX · Q3 2024 → YESThe question is about whether management describes one identifiable engine of new business that meets two criteria: a first tranche has actually landed in the just-reported period, and larger tranches...