Question Bank › Identified near-term contributors not yet in the

Identified near-term contributors not yet in the reported numbers

Calls Tested
992
Answered YES
426
Hit Rate
42.9%
rare by design

Artisan Partners Asset Management Inc. (APAM) — this company's answers

NO on the Q3 2023 call 2023-11-01 C+
The model's full reasoning — Q3 2023 call → NO我们需要判断管理层是否指出了具体的、已经确定的新增业务来源,这些来源已经获得或正在进行,但对报告结果贡献甚微,并表明其贡献预计将在未来一年左右开始或增加。 在通话中,管理层提到了: - 完成首个封闭式基金(dislocation opportunities fund)的第一轮关闭。 - 新增机构账户:新兴市场本地机会策略4.25亿美元,全球无约束策略2.5亿美元,高收益策略年内净流入超10亿美元。 - 但这些流入是否已经反映在报告的结果中?第三季度AUM下降,净流出主要在股票方面,但这些新账户是第三季度内增加的,所以已经纳入Q3的AUM了吗?实际上,新账户是在第三季度增加的,所以已经反映在结果中。但问题是这些是否已经贡献了收益?新账户可能在季度后期才加入,所以贡献可能很小。管理层提到“onboarded”这些账户,意味着他们已经在第三季度加入,所以已经包含在期末AUM中,但收益可能直到下个季度才完全显现。管理层没有明确说这些新业务将在未来几个季度带来增量,而是强调了这些策略的未来机会。 另外,管理层提到“expect to earn some performance fees in the fourth quarter”但金额较小。还有“fourth quarter distributions”导致的流出等。 关键点是:管理层是否指出了具体的、已确定的未来增量来源?他们提到了新基金(dislocation fund)的首次关闭,但该基金可能还没有重大资产?他们说“first close”,意味着资金已经承诺,但投资可能才开始。这可能被视为“已在进行中”。但管理层是否说它将在未来几个季度带来显著贡献?他们没有具体说明该基金的规模或预期贡献。他们只是提到“提供定向访问”和“继续利用这个机会”。 此外,他们提到“会在未来做更多高附加值信用”但这是机会,不是具体来源。 关于EM策略,他们说“我们继续前进”但这是长期机会。 总的来说,管理层提到了具体的新账户和基金关闭,但这些是否已经反映在报告的结果中?因为是第三季度内发生的,所以已经包含在AUM中。但管理层是否说这些将在未来几个季度带来增量?他们提到“我们正专注于信用机会和全球无约束策略,两者都有出色的跟踪记录”,但这是现状,不是新贡献。 我们评估标准:是否具体且已获得,但贡献很小,并将在未来一年开始/增加?新账户可能已经在第三季度贡献了部分管理费,因为它们在季度内加入,但平均AUM可能只包含部分月份。实际上,平均AUM是基于季度内每日余额,所以新账户可能只贡献了部分天数。因此,它们的贡献可能不完全反映在季度平均中,但它们已经在期末AUM中。 但问题问的是“已经确定来源,但贡献很小,并且将在未来一年开始或增加”。管理层没有明确说这些账户将“ramp up”或“begin to contribute”在未来几个季度。他们只是提到“onboarded”,这意味着它们已经加入,可能已经产生费用。而且他们提到的高收益策略流入已经说“year-to-date”超过10亿美元,这已经发生。 所以,他们没有具体指出未来将开始贡献的新来源。他们提到的新基金仅“第一关闭”,但可能还处于早期,没有给出具体时间表或规模。此外,他们提到“我们预计将在未来几年增加更多固定收益人才”但这是招聘计划。 因此,我认为答案是NO,因为管理层没有明确具体、近期的增量贡献者,而是谈论机会和管道。 但让我们再检查一下:在第三季度,他们“onboarded”了两个机构账户,这些是新增业务,已经发生,但可能对业绩贡献很小,因为可能在季度后期。但管理层没有说它们将在未来几个季度带来增长,而是把它们作为已经成功的例子。 而且,他们提到“我们预计将在Q4获得一些绩效费”但金额较小。这表明绩效费可能是一种新的贡献,但已经说“较小”,所以不是实质性的。 所以我认为没有具体指向。 因此答案应为NO。

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Show the exact prompt the model was given
Using ONLY the supplied earnings call transcript and no outside information: On this call, does management point to SPECIFIC, IDENTIFIED sources of additional business that are ALREADY SECURED OR ALREADY IN MOTION but have contributed LITTLE OR NOTHING to the results just reported — and indicate that their contribution is expected to BEGIN OR RAMP WITHIN ROUGHLY THE NEXT YEAR, so that the reported numbers understate the business the company has already put in place? Answer YES when management, in its own words, identifies one or more concrete, near-dated incremental contributors — in whatever form fits the business — such as: a new facility, capacity, store base, fleet, or asset that is built or being commissioned and starts producing soon; a signed contract, program, or partnership whose deliveries or volumes are only now starting; a newly won customer or group of customers whose spending has only begun to phase in; a product, service, or market launch that has just gone live or is imminent after being secured or approved; or an acquisition or expansion that closed too recently to show in the period — AND management conveys that these identified contributors will add meaningfully to the company's results as they come online over the coming quarters. The contributors must be described as real and specific (nameable things that exist or are committed), not as pipeline, opportunity, or hoped-for demand; and the timing must be near-term (beginning or ramping over the next few quarters), not a distant or undated future. Answer NO if the forward story is generic optimism, market opportunity, or pipeline talk without identified contributors already secured or in motion; NO if the identified items are already fully reflected in the reported results with no meaningful ramp still ahead; NO if the contributors are contingent on approvals, financing, negotiations, or decisions not yet obtained; NO if the expected contribution is described as immaterial, offsetting declines elsewhere, or merely returning the business to where it was; and NO if the idea appears only in an analyst's question or model that management does not itself affirm. Use only the supplied transcript. Answer only YES or NO.

Companies that answered YES

TickerCompanyCallDateCall grade
FRBA First Bank Q2 2024 2024-07-26 A
TPH Tri Pointe Homes, Inc. Q2 2024 2024-07-25 A
MMLP Martin Midstream Partners L.P. Q2 2024 2024-07-18 B
ASO Academy Sports and Outdoors, Inc. Q1 2024 2024-06-11 C+
BBY Best Buy Co., Inc. Q1 2025 2024-05-30 C
CRGO Freightos Limited Q1 2024 2024-05-20 C+
BIOX Bioceres Crop Solutions Corp. Q3 2024 2024-05-14 C+
ERO Ero Copper Corp. Q1 2024 2024-05-10 A
WRBY Warby Parker Inc. Q1 2024 2024-05-09 A
AZEK The AZEK Company Inc. Q2 2024 2024-05-08 B+
SNCR Synchronoss Technologies, Inc. Q1 2024 2024-05-07 C+
TALO Talos Energy Inc. Q1 2024 2024-05-07 B+
LINC Lincoln Educational Services Corporation Q1 2024 2024-05-06 B+
PACK Ranpak Holdings Corp. Q1 2024 2024-05-04 B
AES The AES Corporation Q1 2024 2024-05-03 C+
PPC Pilgrim's Pride Corporation Q1 2024 2024-05-03 A
TRP TC Energy Corporation Q1 2024 2024-05-03 B
CW Curtiss-Wright Corporation Q1 2024 2024-05-02 B+
WEC WEC Energy Group, Inc. Q1 2024 2024-05-01 A
ROCK Gibraltar Industries, Inc. Q1 2024 2024-05-01 B+
LTRX Lantronix, Inc. Q3 2024 2024-04-29 C
TS Tenaris S.A. Q1 2024 2024-04-26 C
ASB Associated Banc-Corp Q1 2024 2024-04-25 A
LECO Lincoln Electric Holdings, Inc. Q1 2024 2024-04-25 B
E Eni S.p.A. Q1 2024 2024-04-24 B+
TFIN Triumph Financial, Inc. Q1 2024 2024-04-18 D
DUOT Duos Technologies Group, Inc. Q4 2023 2024-04-01 F
ASM Avino Silver & Gold Mines Ltd. Q4 2023 2024-03-21 C+
KOPN Kopin Corporation Q4 2023 2024-03-14 C+
GIII G-III Apparel Group, Ltd. Q4 2024 2024-03-14 C
HSAI Hesai Group Q4 2023 2024-03-12 D
PBR Petróleo Brasileiro S.A. - Petrobras Q4 2023 2024-03-08 D
FRPH FRP Holdings, Inc. Q4 2023 2024-03-07 C+
PSFE Paysafe Limited Q4 2023 2024-03-07 C+
GTLB GitLab Inc. Q4 2024 2024-03-04 C+
ZLAB Zai Lab Limited Q4 2023 2024-02-28 C
MNKD MannKind Corporation Q4 2023 2024-02-27 C
NICE NICE Ltd. Q4 2023 2024-02-22 B+
PUMP ProPetro Holding Corp. Q4 2023 2024-02-21 C+
DXCM DexCom, Inc. Q4 2023 2024-02-08 B+
RAMP LiveRamp Holdings, Inc. Q3 2024 2024-02-08 B+
INTR Inter & Co, Inc. Q4 2023 2024-02-08 B+
SPH Suburban Propane Partners, L.P. Q1 2024 2024-02-08 B
HP Helmerich & Payne, Inc. Q1 2024 2024-01-30 C
PFE Pfizer Inc. Q4 2023 2024-01-30 F
EMKR EMCORE Corporation Q4 2023 2023-12-12 C+
CSPI CSP Inc. Q4 2023 2023-12-12 D
LULU Lululemon Athletica Inc. Q3 2023 2023-12-07 B+
GEF Greif, Inc. Q4 2023 2023-12-07 C
BRBR BellRing Brands, Inc. Q4 2023 2023-11-21 B+
SONO Sonos, Inc. Q3 2023 2023-11-15 C+
AWH Aspira Women's Health Inc. Q3 2023 2023-11-13 D
AIRG Airgain, Inc. Q3 2023 2023-11-09 F
EFXT Enerflex Ltd. Q3 2023 2023-11-09 C+
SWKH SWK Holdings Corporation Q3 2023 2023-11-09 B
LGO Largo Inc. Q3 2023 2023-11-09 D
SCPH scPharmaceuticals Inc. Q3 2023 2023-11-08 B
TBLA Taboola.com Ltd. Q3 2023 2023-11-08 B+
BMBL Bumble Inc. Q3 2023 2023-11-07 F
QTRX Quanterix Corporation Q3 2023 2023-11-07 B
ENOV Enovis Corporation Q3 2023 2023-11-07 A
GMED Globus Medical, Inc. Q3 2023 2023-11-07 B
GOLD Barrick Gold Corporation Q3 2023 2023-11-02 C
JLL Jones Lang LaSalle Incorporated Q3 2023 2023-11-02 F
LANC Lancaster Colony Corporation Q1 2024 2023-11-02 B
OPAD Offerpad Solutions Inc. Q3 2023 2023-11-01 C
RVLV Revolve Group, Inc. Q3 2023 2023-11-01 C
TEL TE Connectivity Ltd. Q4 2023 2023-11-01 B
WEAV Weave Communications, Inc. Q3 2023 2023-11-01 B+
MTCH Match Group, Inc. Q3 2023 2023-11-01 B
MAC The Macerich Company Q3 2023 2023-10-31 D
STZ Constellation Brands, Inc. Q2 2024 2023-10-05 B+
MYTE MYT Netherlands Parent B.V. Q4 2023 2023-09-14 B
CTLP Cantaloupe, Inc. Q4 2023 2023-09-06 B+
OXM Oxford Industries, Inc. Q2 2023 2023-08-31 C
BZUN Baozun Inc. Q2 2023 2023-08-28 D
DXLG Destination XL Group, Inc. Q2 2023 2023-08-24 D
KC Kingsoft Cloud Holdings Limited Q2 2023 2023-08-22 C
PINC Premier, Inc. Q4 2023 2023-08-22 F
CSAN Cosan S.A. Q2 2023 2023-08-15 D
NU Nu Holdings Ltd. Q2 2023 2023-08-15 B
PNNT PennantPark Investment Corporation Q3 2023 2023-08-10 B+
ZOM Zomedica Corp. Q2 2023 2023-08-10 C
LSF Laird Superfood, Inc. Q2 2023 2023-08-09 D
CLNE Clean Energy Fuels Corp. Q2 2023 2023-08-09 C+
APPS Digital Turbine, Inc. Q1 2024 2023-08-08 D
AKYA Akoya Biosciences, Inc. Q2 2023 2023-08-07 C+
PTLO Portillo's Inc. Q2 2023 2023-08-05 B
SPT Sprout Social, Inc. Q2 2023 2023-08-04 B+
FOUR Shift4 Payments, Inc. Q2 2023 2023-08-03 B+
PBI Pitney Bowes Inc. Q2 2023 2023-08-03 F
ET Energy Transfer LP Q2 2023 2023-08-02 C+
CTO CTO Realty Growth, Inc. Q2 2023 2023-07-28 B
MBLY Mobileye Global Inc. Q2 2023 2023-07-28 B+
IMAX IMAX Corporation Q2 2023 2023-07-26 B+
NWE NorthWestern Corporation Q2 2023 2023-07-26 D
ZDGE Zedge, Inc. Q3 2023 2023-06-12 D
LUCD Lucid Diagnostics Inc. Q1 2023 2023-05-16 C+
VLN Valens Semiconductor Ltd. Q1 2023 2023-05-13 C
SLF Sun Life Financial Inc. Q1 2023 2023-05-12 B
ICD Independence Contract Drilling, Inc. Q1 2023 2023-05-12 B+
GGR Gogoro Inc. Q1 2023 2023-05-11 D
CDE Coeur Mining, Inc. Q1 2023 2023-05-11 C+
SU Suncor Energy Inc. Q1 2023 2023-05-09 C+
TSN Tyson Foods, Inc. Q2 2023 2023-05-08 D
CARS Cars.com Inc. Q1 2023 2023-05-06 B
KE Kimball Electronics, Inc. Q3 2023 2023-05-06 C+
KNTK Kinetik Holdings Inc. Q1 2023 2023-05-06 B+
AKR Acadia Realty Trust Q4 2022 2023-05-06 B+
INGN Inogen, Inc. Q1 2023 2023-05-05 F
FIGS FIGS, Inc. Q1 2023 2023-05-05 B+
CYRX Cryoport, Inc. Q1 2023 2023-05-05 C
BRX Brixmor Property Group Inc. Q1 2023 2023-05-02 A
CADE Cadence Bank Q1 2023 2023-04-25 C+
ALIM Alimera Sciences, Inc. Q4 2022 2023-03-31 C+
TACT TransAct Technologies Incorporated Q4 2022 2023-03-08 A
DKS DICK'S Sporting Goods, Inc. Q4 2022 2023-03-07 B
NCSM NCS Multistage Holdings, Inc. Q4 2022 2023-03-07 A
M Macy's, Inc. Q4 2022 2023-03-02 D
NEWT Newtek Business Services' Q4 2022 2023-02-28 D
VRE Veris Residential, Inc. Q4 2022 2023-02-22 D
OEC Orion Engineered Carbons S.A. Q4 2022 2023-02-17 B+
BJRI BJ's Restaurants, Inc. Q4 2022 2023-02-16 A
DLR Digital Realty Trust, Inc. Q4 2022 2023-02-16 C+
ESEA Euroseas Ltd. Q4 2022 2023-02-15 C+
CIM Chimera Investment Corporation Q4 2022 2023-02-15 D
ADPT Adaptive Biotechnologies Corporation Q4 2022 2023-02-14 C+
HIW Highwoods Properties, Inc. Q4 2022 2023-02-08 B
FRT Federal Realty Investment Trust Q4 2022 2023-02-08 B+
CEIX CONSOL Energy Inc. Q4 2022 2023-02-07 B
CLFD Clearfield, Inc. Q1 2023 2023-02-02 C+
ARE Alexandria Real Estate Equities, Inc. Q4 2022 2023-01-31 C+
ADM Archer-Daniels-Midland Company Q4 2022 2023-01-26 C+
ISRG Intuitive Surgical, Inc. Q4 2022 2023-01-24 C
UAL United Airlines Holdings, Inc. Q4 2022 2023-01-18 B
SOL ReneSola Ltd Q3 2022 2022-12-01 C+
A Agilent Technologies, Inc. Q4 2022 2022-11-21 B+
CIG Companhia Energética de Minas Gerais Q3 2022 2022-11-16 C+
PKOH Park-Ohio Holdings Corp. Q3 2022 2022-11-13 B
BLZE Backblaze, Inc. Q3 2022 2022-11-11 D
FET Forum Energy Technologies, Inc. Q3 2022 2022-11-09 B
SIBN SI-BONE, Inc. Q3 2022 2022-11-07 C+
FLL Full House Resorts, Inc. Q3 2022 2022-11-07 B
HBB Hamilton Beach Brands Holding Company Q3 2022 2022-11-05 C
MEC Mayville Engineering Company, Inc. Q3 2022 2022-11-05 B+
GOOS Canada Goose Holdings Inc. Q2 2023 2022-11-02 D
SYY Sysco Corporation Q1 2023 2022-11-01 C+
AWRE Aware, Inc. Q3 2022 2022-10-30 F
FSLR First Solar, Inc. Q3 2022 2022-10-28 C+
VSEC VSE Corporation Q3 2022 2022-10-28 B+
UMBF UMB Financial Corporation Q3 2022 2022-10-26 C+
WBA Walgreens Boots Alliance, Inc. Q4 2022 2022-10-13 C
APOG Apogee Enterprises, Inc. Q2 2023 2022-09-20 A
SWBI Smith & Wesson Brands, Inc. Q1 2023 2022-09-08 C+
CURV Torrid Holdings Inc. Q2 2022 2022-09-07 D
YMM Full Truck Alliance Co. Ltd. Q2 2022 2022-08-25 C+
TMCI Treace Medical Concepts, Inc. Q2 2022 2022-08-13 B+
EXFY Expensify, Inc. Q2 2022 2022-08-12 D
RICK RCI Hospitality Holdings, Inc. Q3 2022 2022-08-10 A
EVGO EVgo, Inc. Q2 2022 2022-08-09 C+
UUUU Energy Fuels Inc. Q2 2022 2022-08-09 C
BGSF BGSF, Inc. Q2 2022 2022-08-07 B+
BBSI Barrett Business Services, Inc. Q2 2022 2022-08-06 A
TWO Two Harbors Investment Corp. Q2 2022 2022-08-04 C+
COLD Americold Realty Trust, Inc. Q2 2022 2022-08-04 D
HLNE Hamilton Lane Incorporated Q1 2023 2022-08-02 C+
DVN Devon Energy Corporation Q2 2022 2022-08-02 B+
ZBRA Zebra Technologies Corporation Q2 2022 2022-08-02 C+
CRK Comstock Resources, Inc. Q2 2022 2022-08-02 B+
SYM Symbotic Inc. Q3 2022 2022-08-01 B+
CIVB Civista Bancshares, Inc. Q2 2022 2022-07-31 B
PRG PROG Holdings, Inc. Q2 2022 2022-07-30 D
MHO M/I Homes, Inc. Q2 2022 2022-07-27 B
SHW The Sherwin-Williams Company Q2 2022 2022-07-27 D
OGI OrganiGram Holdings Inc. Q3 2022 2022-07-14 B+
REPX Riley Exploration Permian, Inc. Q2 2022 2022-05-15 A
FLYW Flywire Corporation Q1 2022 2022-05-14 B+
DCGO DocGo Inc. Q1 2022 2022-05-14 C
UGRO urban-gro, Inc. Q1 2022 2022-05-13 D
ZVIA Zevia PBC Q1 2022 2022-05-12 B
VNRX VolitionRx Limited Q1 2022 2022-05-12 F
XMTR Xometry, Inc. Q1 2022 2022-05-11 B+
OPK OPKO Health, Inc. Q1 2022 2022-05-09 D
NSIT Insight Enterprises, Inc. Q1 2022 2022-05-08 A
CAH Cardinal Health, Inc. Q3 2022 2022-05-05 F
MGNI Magnite, Inc. Q1 2022 2022-05-04 D
KAR KAR Auction Services, Inc. Q1 2022 2022-05-04 C+
BXP Boston Properties, Inc. Q1 2022 2022-05-03 A
FLGT Fulgent Genetics, Inc. Q1 2022 2022-05-03 B
ABNB Airbnb, Inc. Q1 2022 2022-05-03 B+
SILC Silicom Ltd. Q1 2022 2022-04-30 B+
STC Stewart Information Services Corporation Q1 2022 2022-04-29 C+
ADSE ADS-TEC Energy PLC Q4 2021 2022-04-28 D
BSX Boston Scientific Corporation Q1 2022 2022-04-27 B
RGEN Repligen Corporation Q1 2022 2022-04-27 C+
CCK Crown Holdings, Inc. Q1 2022 2022-04-26 C+
FLXS Flexsteel Industries, Inc. Q3 2022 2022-04-26 B
FR First Industrial Realty Trust, Inc. Q1 2022 2022-04-21 A
WOR Worthington Industries, Inc. Q3 2022 2022-03-23 B
FAT FAT Brands Inc. Q4 2021 2022-03-21 F

How the model reasoned

DV · Q3 2021 → YESThe question is: Does management point to SPECIFIC, IDENTIFIED sources of additional business that are ALREADY SECURED OR ALREADY IN MOTION but have contributed LITTLE OR NOTHING to the results just r...NO The OpenSlate acquisition is described as not yet closed, so it is contingent on a future event (closing) and management explicitly states it will not have a material impact on 2021 results. The TikTok partnership is presented as a recent launch that has already begun contributing to coverage, not as a future 2022 ramp. The new Q3 logo wins are noted as positioning for growth into 2022, but they are not tied to any specific, named contributors with quantified near-term ramps; they are framed as general enterprise momentum rather than concrete, identifiable sources already in motion. Meetrics is called out as immaterial.
GMED · Q3 2023 → YESThe question is: Does management point to SPECIFIC, IDENTIFIED sources of additional business that are ALREADY SECURED OR ALREADY IN MOTION but have contributed LITTLE OR NOTHING to the results just r...YES The transcript shows management identifying specific, already-secured contributors: the NuVasive merger (closed September 1, only one month in Q3), cross-selling of existing portfolios (investments made earlier this year, poised to begin as early as next quarter), and a record year of product launches (nine products 2024, more by year-end, including E-hub Navigation and expansions to expandable portfolio). These are described as real, nameable items already in motion or recently closed, with meaningful ramps expected in the coming quarters, so the reported results understate the business in place.
LKQ · Q4 2016 → YESThe question is: Does management point to SPECIFIC, IDENTIFIED sources of additional business that are ALREADY SECURED OR ALREADY IN MOTION but have contributed LITTLE OR NOTHING to the results just r...NO The T2 project qualifies as a specific, in-motion contributor with near-term ramp (deliveries Q3 2017, full live Q1 2018), but the transcript does not tie it explicitly to “additional business” or “incremental revenue” beyond the project’s own costs and accretion. The 2017 incremental costs are noted, yet the forward impact is framed as project-specific rather than a broad source of new secured business. Andrew Page remains contingent on CMA approval, and other items (new branches, Mekonomen) are either already contributing or not framed as additional secured sources.

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Not investment advice. Artul.ai publishes AI-generated earnings-call quality grades and expected-volatility estimates — never buy or sell recommendations. We tested over 1,600 predictive hypotheses against 165,000 transcripts; the honest result, including what failed, is documented in our methodology.