Question Bank › Identified near-term contributors not yet in the

Identified near-term contributors not yet in the reported numbers

Calls Tested
992
Answered YES
426
Hit Rate
42.9%
rare by design

Neurocrine Biosciences, Inc. (NBIX) — this company's answers

NO on the Q4 2015 call 2016-02-12 B+
The model's full reasoning — Q4 2015 call → NO我们根据要求,只使用提供的电话会议记录。问题:管理层是否指出了具体的、已确定的额外业务来源,这些业务已经获得或正在进行中,但对刚报告的结果贡献很少或没有贡献,并表明它们的贡献预计将在接下来大约一年内开始或增加,因此报告的数字低估了公司已经落实的业务? 在电话会议中,管理层提到了几个项目: - elagolix:AbbVie的第三阶段试验结果积极,计划2017年提交NDA。但这是合作伙伴的,不是Neurocrine的直接收入,且尚未提交。 - valbenazine(TD):计划今年提交NDA,商业化在2017年。这是即将到来的,但尚未获得批准。 - Tourette综合征:第二阶段试验正在进行,预计年底或明年初有数据。 - 基本震颤:第一阶段试验正在进行。 - CAH:备份化合物,计划今年晚些时候提交IND。 管理层还提到预商业化活动,招聘销售和营销人员,为2017年上市做准备。但这些都是未来计划,不是已经获得或正在进行的额外业务来源。 关键点:管理层是否指出了具体的、已经获得或正在进行的贡献者,这些贡献者将在未来几个季度开始或增加?例如,与AbbVie的合作协议,提到“$15 million revenue under the AbbVie collaboration agreement that will be earned upon first patient randomized into a Phase 3 uterine fibroid study.” 这15百万美元将在第一个患者随机进入子宫肌瘤第三阶段研究时获得。这些研究最近由AbbVie启动。所以这是一个具体的、已经确定的收入来源,但尚未实现,因为随机化尚未发生?管理层说“Both of these Phase 3 studies in uterine fibroids were recently initiated by AbbVie.” 所以研究已经启动,但收入将在第一个患者随机化时获得。这可能是“已经进行中”的贡献者,但尚未贡献。管理层还提到“we expect to have a cash burn of approximately $135 million to $145 million. This includes $15 million revenue under the AbbVie collaboration agreement that will be earned upon first patient randomized into a Phase 3 uterine fibroid study.” 所以这15百万美元是预期的收入,将在未来获得。这是具体的、已确定的,但尚未实现。此外,还有elagolix的NDA计划在2017年,但那是合作伙伴的。 另外,valbenazine的NDA提交和商业化是未来的,但尚未获得批准,所以是依赖于批准。 问题要求:贡献者必须是“已经获得或正在进行中”,并且“贡献很少或没有贡献”,但“预计将在接下来大约一年内开始或增加”。这里,AbbVie的15百万美元收入是合同规定的,研究已启动,但收入尚未实现,预计将在未来获得。这符合“已经获得或正在进行中”吗?合同已签署,研究已启动,所以是“已经进行中”。但收入尚未贡献,预计将在未来获得。这似乎是具体的。 此外,管理层还提到“we are vigorously putting together our commercial team and fully supporting a launch that we anticipate is going to be next year with our drug.” 但这是依赖于NDA批准,所以是依赖于批准。 所以,主要候选是AbbVie的15百万美元里程碑付款。但这是否“meaningfully add to results”?15百万美元相对于公司亏损来说可能不算大,但管理层将其纳入现金消耗指导中,表明是预期的。但问题要求“add meaningfully”,可能不够大。 另外,还有elagolix的NDA提交,但那是合作伙伴的,不是Neurocrine的直接收入。 管理层还提到“we do hope to put yet another new compound into the clinic”但那是未来的。 所以,我认为管理层没有明确指出具体的、已经获得或正在进行的额外业务来源,除了AbbVie的里程碑付款,但那是小额的,且可能不算“meaningfully”。此外,valbenazine的商业化是依赖于批准的。 因此,答案应为NO。

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Show the exact prompt the model was given
Using ONLY the supplied earnings call transcript and no outside information: On this call, does management point to SPECIFIC, IDENTIFIED sources of additional business that are ALREADY SECURED OR ALREADY IN MOTION but have contributed LITTLE OR NOTHING to the results just reported — and indicate that their contribution is expected to BEGIN OR RAMP WITHIN ROUGHLY THE NEXT YEAR, so that the reported numbers understate the business the company has already put in place? Answer YES when management, in its own words, identifies one or more concrete, near-dated incremental contributors — in whatever form fits the business — such as: a new facility, capacity, store base, fleet, or asset that is built or being commissioned and starts producing soon; a signed contract, program, or partnership whose deliveries or volumes are only now starting; a newly won customer or group of customers whose spending has only begun to phase in; a product, service, or market launch that has just gone live or is imminent after being secured or approved; or an acquisition or expansion that closed too recently to show in the period — AND management conveys that these identified contributors will add meaningfully to the company's results as they come online over the coming quarters. The contributors must be described as real and specific (nameable things that exist or are committed), not as pipeline, opportunity, or hoped-for demand; and the timing must be near-term (beginning or ramping over the next few quarters), not a distant or undated future. Answer NO if the forward story is generic optimism, market opportunity, or pipeline talk without identified contributors already secured or in motion; NO if the identified items are already fully reflected in the reported results with no meaningful ramp still ahead; NO if the contributors are contingent on approvals, financing, negotiations, or decisions not yet obtained; NO if the expected contribution is described as immaterial, offsetting declines elsewhere, or merely returning the business to where it was; and NO if the idea appears only in an analyst's question or model that management does not itself affirm. Use only the supplied transcript. Answer only YES or NO.

Companies that answered YES

TickerCompanyCallDateCall grade
FRBA First Bank Q2 2024 2024-07-26 A
TPH Tri Pointe Homes, Inc. Q2 2024 2024-07-25 A
MMLP Martin Midstream Partners L.P. Q2 2024 2024-07-18 B
ASO Academy Sports and Outdoors, Inc. Q1 2024 2024-06-11 C+
BBY Best Buy Co., Inc. Q1 2025 2024-05-30 C
CRGO Freightos Limited Q1 2024 2024-05-20 C+
BIOX Bioceres Crop Solutions Corp. Q3 2024 2024-05-14 C+
ERO Ero Copper Corp. Q1 2024 2024-05-10 A
WRBY Warby Parker Inc. Q1 2024 2024-05-09 A
AZEK The AZEK Company Inc. Q2 2024 2024-05-08 B+
SNCR Synchronoss Technologies, Inc. Q1 2024 2024-05-07 C+
TALO Talos Energy Inc. Q1 2024 2024-05-07 B+
LINC Lincoln Educational Services Corporation Q1 2024 2024-05-06 B+
PACK Ranpak Holdings Corp. Q1 2024 2024-05-04 B
AES The AES Corporation Q1 2024 2024-05-03 C+
PPC Pilgrim's Pride Corporation Q1 2024 2024-05-03 A
TRP TC Energy Corporation Q1 2024 2024-05-03 B
CW Curtiss-Wright Corporation Q1 2024 2024-05-02 B+
WEC WEC Energy Group, Inc. Q1 2024 2024-05-01 A
ROCK Gibraltar Industries, Inc. Q1 2024 2024-05-01 B+
LTRX Lantronix, Inc. Q3 2024 2024-04-29 C
TS Tenaris S.A. Q1 2024 2024-04-26 C
ASB Associated Banc-Corp Q1 2024 2024-04-25 A
LECO Lincoln Electric Holdings, Inc. Q1 2024 2024-04-25 B
E Eni S.p.A. Q1 2024 2024-04-24 B+
TFIN Triumph Financial, Inc. Q1 2024 2024-04-18 D
DUOT Duos Technologies Group, Inc. Q4 2023 2024-04-01 F
ASM Avino Silver & Gold Mines Ltd. Q4 2023 2024-03-21 C+
KOPN Kopin Corporation Q4 2023 2024-03-14 C+
GIII G-III Apparel Group, Ltd. Q4 2024 2024-03-14 C
HSAI Hesai Group Q4 2023 2024-03-12 D
PBR Petróleo Brasileiro S.A. - Petrobras Q4 2023 2024-03-08 D
FRPH FRP Holdings, Inc. Q4 2023 2024-03-07 C+
PSFE Paysafe Limited Q4 2023 2024-03-07 C+
GTLB GitLab Inc. Q4 2024 2024-03-04 C+
ZLAB Zai Lab Limited Q4 2023 2024-02-28 C
MNKD MannKind Corporation Q4 2023 2024-02-27 C
NICE NICE Ltd. Q4 2023 2024-02-22 B+
PUMP ProPetro Holding Corp. Q4 2023 2024-02-21 C+
DXCM DexCom, Inc. Q4 2023 2024-02-08 B+
RAMP LiveRamp Holdings, Inc. Q3 2024 2024-02-08 B+
INTR Inter & Co, Inc. Q4 2023 2024-02-08 B+
SPH Suburban Propane Partners, L.P. Q1 2024 2024-02-08 B
HP Helmerich & Payne, Inc. Q1 2024 2024-01-30 C
PFE Pfizer Inc. Q4 2023 2024-01-30 F
EMKR EMCORE Corporation Q4 2023 2023-12-12 C+
CSPI CSP Inc. Q4 2023 2023-12-12 D
LULU Lululemon Athletica Inc. Q3 2023 2023-12-07 B+
GEF Greif, Inc. Q4 2023 2023-12-07 C
BRBR BellRing Brands, Inc. Q4 2023 2023-11-21 B+
SONO Sonos, Inc. Q3 2023 2023-11-15 C+
AWH Aspira Women's Health Inc. Q3 2023 2023-11-13 D
AIRG Airgain, Inc. Q3 2023 2023-11-09 F
EFXT Enerflex Ltd. Q3 2023 2023-11-09 C+
SWKH SWK Holdings Corporation Q3 2023 2023-11-09 B
LGO Largo Inc. Q3 2023 2023-11-09 D
SCPH scPharmaceuticals Inc. Q3 2023 2023-11-08 B
TBLA Taboola.com Ltd. Q3 2023 2023-11-08 B+
BMBL Bumble Inc. Q3 2023 2023-11-07 F
QTRX Quanterix Corporation Q3 2023 2023-11-07 B
ENOV Enovis Corporation Q3 2023 2023-11-07 A
GMED Globus Medical, Inc. Q3 2023 2023-11-07 B
GOLD Barrick Gold Corporation Q3 2023 2023-11-02 C
JLL Jones Lang LaSalle Incorporated Q3 2023 2023-11-02 F
LANC Lancaster Colony Corporation Q1 2024 2023-11-02 B
OPAD Offerpad Solutions Inc. Q3 2023 2023-11-01 C
RVLV Revolve Group, Inc. Q3 2023 2023-11-01 C
TEL TE Connectivity Ltd. Q4 2023 2023-11-01 B
WEAV Weave Communications, Inc. Q3 2023 2023-11-01 B+
MTCH Match Group, Inc. Q3 2023 2023-11-01 B
MAC The Macerich Company Q3 2023 2023-10-31 D
STZ Constellation Brands, Inc. Q2 2024 2023-10-05 B+
MYTE MYT Netherlands Parent B.V. Q4 2023 2023-09-14 B
CTLP Cantaloupe, Inc. Q4 2023 2023-09-06 B+
OXM Oxford Industries, Inc. Q2 2023 2023-08-31 C
BZUN Baozun Inc. Q2 2023 2023-08-28 D
DXLG Destination XL Group, Inc. Q2 2023 2023-08-24 D
KC Kingsoft Cloud Holdings Limited Q2 2023 2023-08-22 C
PINC Premier, Inc. Q4 2023 2023-08-22 F
CSAN Cosan S.A. Q2 2023 2023-08-15 D
NU Nu Holdings Ltd. Q2 2023 2023-08-15 B
PNNT PennantPark Investment Corporation Q3 2023 2023-08-10 B+
ZOM Zomedica Corp. Q2 2023 2023-08-10 C
LSF Laird Superfood, Inc. Q2 2023 2023-08-09 D
CLNE Clean Energy Fuels Corp. Q2 2023 2023-08-09 C+
APPS Digital Turbine, Inc. Q1 2024 2023-08-08 D
AKYA Akoya Biosciences, Inc. Q2 2023 2023-08-07 C+
PTLO Portillo's Inc. Q2 2023 2023-08-05 B
SPT Sprout Social, Inc. Q2 2023 2023-08-04 B+
FOUR Shift4 Payments, Inc. Q2 2023 2023-08-03 B+
PBI Pitney Bowes Inc. Q2 2023 2023-08-03 F
ET Energy Transfer LP Q2 2023 2023-08-02 C+
CTO CTO Realty Growth, Inc. Q2 2023 2023-07-28 B
MBLY Mobileye Global Inc. Q2 2023 2023-07-28 B+
IMAX IMAX Corporation Q2 2023 2023-07-26 B+
NWE NorthWestern Corporation Q2 2023 2023-07-26 D
ZDGE Zedge, Inc. Q3 2023 2023-06-12 D
LUCD Lucid Diagnostics Inc. Q1 2023 2023-05-16 C+
VLN Valens Semiconductor Ltd. Q1 2023 2023-05-13 C
SLF Sun Life Financial Inc. Q1 2023 2023-05-12 B
ICD Independence Contract Drilling, Inc. Q1 2023 2023-05-12 B+
GGR Gogoro Inc. Q1 2023 2023-05-11 D
CDE Coeur Mining, Inc. Q1 2023 2023-05-11 C+
SU Suncor Energy Inc. Q1 2023 2023-05-09 C+
TSN Tyson Foods, Inc. Q2 2023 2023-05-08 D
CARS Cars.com Inc. Q1 2023 2023-05-06 B
KE Kimball Electronics, Inc. Q3 2023 2023-05-06 C+
KNTK Kinetik Holdings Inc. Q1 2023 2023-05-06 B+
AKR Acadia Realty Trust Q4 2022 2023-05-06 B+
INGN Inogen, Inc. Q1 2023 2023-05-05 F
FIGS FIGS, Inc. Q1 2023 2023-05-05 B+
CYRX Cryoport, Inc. Q1 2023 2023-05-05 C
BRX Brixmor Property Group Inc. Q1 2023 2023-05-02 A
CADE Cadence Bank Q1 2023 2023-04-25 C+
ALIM Alimera Sciences, Inc. Q4 2022 2023-03-31 C+
TACT TransAct Technologies Incorporated Q4 2022 2023-03-08 A
DKS DICK'S Sporting Goods, Inc. Q4 2022 2023-03-07 B
NCSM NCS Multistage Holdings, Inc. Q4 2022 2023-03-07 A
M Macy's, Inc. Q4 2022 2023-03-02 D
NEWT Newtek Business Services' Q4 2022 2023-02-28 D
VRE Veris Residential, Inc. Q4 2022 2023-02-22 D
OEC Orion Engineered Carbons S.A. Q4 2022 2023-02-17 B+
BJRI BJ's Restaurants, Inc. Q4 2022 2023-02-16 A
DLR Digital Realty Trust, Inc. Q4 2022 2023-02-16 C+
ESEA Euroseas Ltd. Q4 2022 2023-02-15 C+
CIM Chimera Investment Corporation Q4 2022 2023-02-15 D
ADPT Adaptive Biotechnologies Corporation Q4 2022 2023-02-14 C+
HIW Highwoods Properties, Inc. Q4 2022 2023-02-08 B
FRT Federal Realty Investment Trust Q4 2022 2023-02-08 B+
CEIX CONSOL Energy Inc. Q4 2022 2023-02-07 B
CLFD Clearfield, Inc. Q1 2023 2023-02-02 C+
ARE Alexandria Real Estate Equities, Inc. Q4 2022 2023-01-31 C+
ADM Archer-Daniels-Midland Company Q4 2022 2023-01-26 C+
ISRG Intuitive Surgical, Inc. Q4 2022 2023-01-24 C
UAL United Airlines Holdings, Inc. Q4 2022 2023-01-18 B
SOL ReneSola Ltd Q3 2022 2022-12-01 C+
A Agilent Technologies, Inc. Q4 2022 2022-11-21 B+
CIG Companhia Energética de Minas Gerais Q3 2022 2022-11-16 C+
PKOH Park-Ohio Holdings Corp. Q3 2022 2022-11-13 B
BLZE Backblaze, Inc. Q3 2022 2022-11-11 D
FET Forum Energy Technologies, Inc. Q3 2022 2022-11-09 B
SIBN SI-BONE, Inc. Q3 2022 2022-11-07 C+
FLL Full House Resorts, Inc. Q3 2022 2022-11-07 B
HBB Hamilton Beach Brands Holding Company Q3 2022 2022-11-05 C
MEC Mayville Engineering Company, Inc. Q3 2022 2022-11-05 B+
GOOS Canada Goose Holdings Inc. Q2 2023 2022-11-02 D
SYY Sysco Corporation Q1 2023 2022-11-01 C+
AWRE Aware, Inc. Q3 2022 2022-10-30 F
FSLR First Solar, Inc. Q3 2022 2022-10-28 C+
VSEC VSE Corporation Q3 2022 2022-10-28 B+
UMBF UMB Financial Corporation Q3 2022 2022-10-26 C+
WBA Walgreens Boots Alliance, Inc. Q4 2022 2022-10-13 C
APOG Apogee Enterprises, Inc. Q2 2023 2022-09-20 A
SWBI Smith & Wesson Brands, Inc. Q1 2023 2022-09-08 C+
CURV Torrid Holdings Inc. Q2 2022 2022-09-07 D
YMM Full Truck Alliance Co. Ltd. Q2 2022 2022-08-25 C+
TMCI Treace Medical Concepts, Inc. Q2 2022 2022-08-13 B+
EXFY Expensify, Inc. Q2 2022 2022-08-12 D
RICK RCI Hospitality Holdings, Inc. Q3 2022 2022-08-10 A
EVGO EVgo, Inc. Q2 2022 2022-08-09 C+
UUUU Energy Fuels Inc. Q2 2022 2022-08-09 C
BGSF BGSF, Inc. Q2 2022 2022-08-07 B+
BBSI Barrett Business Services, Inc. Q2 2022 2022-08-06 A
TWO Two Harbors Investment Corp. Q2 2022 2022-08-04 C+
COLD Americold Realty Trust, Inc. Q2 2022 2022-08-04 D
HLNE Hamilton Lane Incorporated Q1 2023 2022-08-02 C+
DVN Devon Energy Corporation Q2 2022 2022-08-02 B+
ZBRA Zebra Technologies Corporation Q2 2022 2022-08-02 C+
CRK Comstock Resources, Inc. Q2 2022 2022-08-02 B+
SYM Symbotic Inc. Q3 2022 2022-08-01 B+
CIVB Civista Bancshares, Inc. Q2 2022 2022-07-31 B
PRG PROG Holdings, Inc. Q2 2022 2022-07-30 D
MHO M/I Homes, Inc. Q2 2022 2022-07-27 B
SHW The Sherwin-Williams Company Q2 2022 2022-07-27 D
OGI OrganiGram Holdings Inc. Q3 2022 2022-07-14 B+
REPX Riley Exploration Permian, Inc. Q2 2022 2022-05-15 A
FLYW Flywire Corporation Q1 2022 2022-05-14 B+
DCGO DocGo Inc. Q1 2022 2022-05-14 C
UGRO urban-gro, Inc. Q1 2022 2022-05-13 D
ZVIA Zevia PBC Q1 2022 2022-05-12 B
VNRX VolitionRx Limited Q1 2022 2022-05-12 F
XMTR Xometry, Inc. Q1 2022 2022-05-11 B+
OPK OPKO Health, Inc. Q1 2022 2022-05-09 D
NSIT Insight Enterprises, Inc. Q1 2022 2022-05-08 A
CAH Cardinal Health, Inc. Q3 2022 2022-05-05 F
MGNI Magnite, Inc. Q1 2022 2022-05-04 D
KAR KAR Auction Services, Inc. Q1 2022 2022-05-04 C+
BXP Boston Properties, Inc. Q1 2022 2022-05-03 A
FLGT Fulgent Genetics, Inc. Q1 2022 2022-05-03 B
ABNB Airbnb, Inc. Q1 2022 2022-05-03 B+
SILC Silicom Ltd. Q1 2022 2022-04-30 B+
STC Stewart Information Services Corporation Q1 2022 2022-04-29 C+
ADSE ADS-TEC Energy PLC Q4 2021 2022-04-28 D
BSX Boston Scientific Corporation Q1 2022 2022-04-27 B
RGEN Repligen Corporation Q1 2022 2022-04-27 C+
CCK Crown Holdings, Inc. Q1 2022 2022-04-26 C+
FLXS Flexsteel Industries, Inc. Q3 2022 2022-04-26 B
FR First Industrial Realty Trust, Inc. Q1 2022 2022-04-21 A
WOR Worthington Industries, Inc. Q3 2022 2022-03-23 B
FAT FAT Brands Inc. Q4 2021 2022-03-21 F

How the model reasoned

DV · Q3 2021 → YESThe question is: Does management point to SPECIFIC, IDENTIFIED sources of additional business that are ALREADY SECURED OR ALREADY IN MOTION but have contributed LITTLE OR NOTHING to the results just r...NO The OpenSlate acquisition is described as not yet closed, so it is contingent on a future event (closing) and management explicitly states it will not have a material impact on 2021 results. The TikTok partnership is presented as a recent launch that has already begun contributing to coverage, not as a future 2022 ramp. The new Q3 logo wins are noted as positioning for growth into 2022, but they are not tied to any specific, named contributors with quantified near-term ramps; they are framed as general enterprise momentum rather than concrete, identifiable sources already in motion. Meetrics is called out as immaterial.
GMED · Q3 2023 → YESThe question is: Does management point to SPECIFIC, IDENTIFIED sources of additional business that are ALREADY SECURED OR ALREADY IN MOTION but have contributed LITTLE OR NOTHING to the results just r...YES The transcript shows management identifying specific, already-secured contributors: the NuVasive merger (closed September 1, only one month in Q3), cross-selling of existing portfolios (investments made earlier this year, poised to begin as early as next quarter), and a record year of product launches (nine products 2024, more by year-end, including E-hub Navigation and expansions to expandable portfolio). These are described as real, nameable items already in motion or recently closed, with meaningful ramps expected in the coming quarters, so the reported results understate the business in place.
LKQ · Q4 2016 → YESThe question is: Does management point to SPECIFIC, IDENTIFIED sources of additional business that are ALREADY SECURED OR ALREADY IN MOTION but have contributed LITTLE OR NOTHING to the results just r...NO The T2 project qualifies as a specific, in-motion contributor with near-term ramp (deliveries Q3 2017, full live Q1 2018), but the transcript does not tie it explicitly to “additional business” or “incremental revenue” beyond the project’s own costs and accretion. The 2017 incremental costs are noted, yet the forward impact is framed as project-specific rather than a broad source of new secured business. Andrew Page remains contingent on CMA approval, and other items (new branches, Mekonomen) are either already contributing or not framed as additional secured sources.

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Not investment advice. Artul.ai publishes AI-generated earnings-call quality grades and expected-volatility estimates — never buy or sell recommendations. We tested over 1,600 predictive hypotheses against 165,000 transcripts; the honest result, including what failed, is documented in our methodology.