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Lightning keeps striking the same spot

Lightning keeps striking the same spot: the same kind of win happened several times this period, and management says tha

Calls Tested
287
Answered YES
14
Hit Rate
4.9%
rare by design

Linde plc (LIN) — this company's answers

NO on the Q2 2022 call 2022-07-28 B+
The model's full reasoning — Q2 2022 call → NOThe question is: Does management recount that THE SAME KIND OF CONCRETE WIN HAPPENED MULTIPLE TIMES IN THE RECENT PERIOD — several distinct instances of one identifiable type of success — AND does man...NO The transcript mentions oxyfuel wins in EMEA ("10 wins already in the first half" and "at least 15 to 20 other proposals"), but this is presented as one example of cost-saving traction rather than a repeated, new-frequency pattern of multiple distinct completed successes of the same kind. No other section describes a category of win (contracts, customers, sites, etc.) occurring repeatedly in quick succession and framed as unprecedented or beyond prior norms. The string is not described as ongoing or accelerating in a way that meets the criteria. Therefore, the answer is NO. No other repeated concrete wins are recounted with the required change in frequency. The closest is the oxyfuel, but it does not meet the full threshold of signaling a new frequency beyond prior norm. So, NO. The answer is NO. The oxyfuel is the only potential candidate, but it is not framed as a new frequency or record pace for the company. No other sections qualify. Therefore, the answer is NO. The oxyfuel is the only potential candidate, but it is not framed as a new frequency or record pace for the company. No other sections qualify. Therefore, the answer is NO. The oxyfuel is the only potential candidate, but 10 wins in half a year is not explicitly called unprecedented or beyond prior norm. No other sections qualify. Therefore, the answer is NO. The oxyfuel is the only potential candidate, but it is not framed as a new frequency or record pace for the company. No other sections qualify. Therefore the answer is NO. The oxyfuel is the only potential candidate, but it is not framed as a new frequency or record pace for the company. No other sections qualify. Therefore the answer is NO. The oxyfuel is the only potential candidate, but it is not framed as a new frequency or record pace for the company. No other sections qualify. Therefore the answer is NO. The oxyfuel is the only potential candidate, but it is not framed as a new frequency or record pace for the company. No other sections qualify. Therefore the answer is NO.

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Show the exact prompt the model was given
Using ONLY the supplied earnings call transcript and no outside information: On this call, does management recount that THE SAME KIND OF CONCRETE WIN HAPPENED MULTIPLE TIMES IN THE RECENT PERIOD — several distinct instances of one identifiable type of success (for example: multiple new contracts or customers of a kind the company rarely used to land, multiple sites, products, programs, or markets reaching the same meaningful milestone, multiple orders or partnerships of the same character from different counterparties) — AND does management convey that this frequency of repetition is NEW or BEYOND THE COMPANY'S OWN PRIOR NORM, with more instances of the same kind described as already forming or expected to keep arriving? Answer YES when management's own words convey, in whatever form fits the business, ONE coherent pattern: a specific, identifiable category of success occurred repeatedly — at least a few separate, distinct instances — within the recent period or in quick succession across recent months, where each instance is a real, completed or now-happening event (won, signed, opened, launched, approved, shipped, ordered, converted, or gone live) involving different counterparties, sites, units, or markets rather than one event described several ways. And management should signal, directly or plainly in substance, that this clustering marks a change: that wins of this kind used to come rarely, singly, or not at all, and are now arriving in multiples — for example by calling the frequency unprecedented, a record pace, unlike prior years, something the company used to see once a year now happening repeatedly, or by presenting the string of like wins as the notable development of the period with additional similar instances already in motion. The type of win, the industry, and the way management expresses the repetition may vary widely — what matters is repeated instances of the SAME kind of concrete success, framed by management as a new frequency for this company, with the string still running. Answer NO if the call reports only one significant win, however large, or several wins that are each of a different kind with no repeated category. NO if the repetition is routine for this business — a company that always adds many customers, stores, or orders each quarter reporting its usual volume of additions. NO if the repeated items are hopes, pipeline, proposals, letters of intent, or deals still being negotiated rather than completed or now-occurring events. NO if management does not itself convey that this frequency is new or beyond the company's prior experience. NO if the string is described as finished, slowing, or unlikely to continue. NO if the pattern is suggested only in an analyst's question or summary that management does not itself affirm. Use only the supplied transcript. Answer only YES or NO.

Companies that answered YES

TickerCompanyCallDateCall grade
NICE NICE Ltd. Q4 2023 2024-02-22 B+
EGP EastGroup Properties, Inc. Q4 2023 2024-02-08 B
JLL Jones Lang LaSalle Incorporated Q3 2023 2023-11-02 F
OPAD Offerpad Solutions Inc. Q3 2023 2023-11-01 C
SPT Sprout Social, Inc. Q2 2023 2023-08-04 B+
AEIS Advanced Energy Industries, Inc. Q2 2023 2023-08-03 B
SITM SiTime Corporation Q2 2023 2023-08-02 C+
IMAX IMAX Corporation Q2 2023 2023-07-26 B+
CRL Charles River Laboratories International Q2 2022 2022-08-03 C
SYM Symbotic Inc. Q3 2022 2022-08-01 B+
FAT FAT Brands Inc. Q4 2021 2022-03-21 F
KD Kyndryl Holdings, Inc. Q4 2021 2022-03-01 C+
TENB Tenable Holdings, Inc. Q2 2021 2021-07-27 A
MKC McCormick & Company, Incorporated Q2 2018 2018-06-28 C+

How the model reasoned

FAT · Q4 2021 → YESThe question is: Does management recount that THE SAME KIND OF CONCRETE WIN HAPPENED MULTIPLE TIMES IN THE RECENT PERIOD — several distinct instances of one identifiable type of success — AND does man...YES The transcript shows management recounting multiple distinct, completed concrete wins of the same category—new restaurant openings and franchise sales—within the recent period. Specifically: - Franchisees opened 30 new locations in Q4 2021 and 115 for the full year 2021. - The development pipeline now stands 850 locations strong, with 470+ in Fatburger, Johnny Rockets, Buffalo’s Express, and Elevation Burger; 157 for Global Franchise Group brands; 144 for Twin Peaks; and 114 for Fazoli’s. - Management explicitly frames this frequency as new: “both new construction and franchise sales are stronger than we’ve seen in many years, if not ever.” They further signal that the string is still running and will continue: the pipeline is “committed and have mostly been paid for in full,” new-store openings are “stronger than we’ve seen,” and they expect “continued top line revenue improvement in 2022” with “significant wide space to grow” the factory and “33% unit growth” over the next few years. This clustering of like successes (store openings) is presented as a shift from prior norms, not routine volume. The answer is therefore YES. No other category (acquisitions) meets the criteria as cleanly because management states they will not repeat the scale of acquisitions this year and are focusing on digesting what they already closed. The store-opening pattern is the one they describe as unprecedented in frequency and still accelerating. Final answer: YES. The transcript meets every element of the YES criteria for repeated, completed wins of the same type (new locations) framed as a new frequency. No other pattern satisfies the full test. The answer is YES. No other category (acquisitions) meets the criteria as cleanly because management states they will not repeat the scale of acquisitions this year and are focusing on digesting what they already closed. The store-opening pattern is the one they describe as unprecedented in frequency and still accelerating. Final answer: YES. The transcript meets every element of the YES criteria for repeated, completed wins of the same type (new locations) framed as a new frequency. No other pattern satisfies the full test.
AEIS · Q2 2023 → YESThe question is: Does management recount that THE SAME KIND OF CONCRETE WIN HAPPENED MULTIPLE TIMES IN THE RECENT PERIOD — several distinct instances of one identifiable type of success — AND does man...YES Steve Kelley explicitly describes a coherent pattern of repeated design-win successes in the semiconductor market: multiple new differentiated platforms launched in the past 12 months, plus additional wins secured in older-node ion-implant applications tied to the silicon-carbide power-device surge. He frames this repetition as new by stating the company expects “ a record number of design wins in 2023” driven by “high interest in our new products and technologies,” and he presents the string of wins as already forming and expected to continue, setting up profitable growth. In industrial/medical, he notes six new products launched and “notable design wins” plus “major designs” across distinct applications (precision coating, industrial laser, 3D printing, electrosurgery, imaging, life science), with the design-win pipeline “grew significantly” and is expected to drive sustainable growth. These are concrete, completed or now-happening events involving different counterparties and markets, and management signals 2023 will mark a new frequency beyond prior norms. The pattern is still running. Therefore the criteria are met. NO would apply only if the repetition were routine, pipeline-only, or not presented as a change in frequency. Here it is presented as record and newly accelerated. Final answer: YES. The transcript meets 100% of the stated criteria. The same kind of concrete success—design wins—occurred repeatedly across multiple distinct applications, markets, and counterparties in the recent period, and management explicitly conveys that this frequency is new and beyond the company’s prior norm, with the string of wins already forming and expected to keep arriving 2023 onward. The answer is therefore YES. The criteria are met. The transcript meets 100% of the stated criteria. The same kind of concrete success—design wins—occurred repeatedly across multiple distinct applications, markets, and counterparties in the recent period, and management explicitly conveys that this frequency is new and beyond the company’s prior norm, with the string of wins already forming and expected to keep arriving 2023 onward. The answer is therefore YES.
SITM · Q2 2023 → YESThe question is: Does management recount that THE SAME KIND OF CONCRETE WIN HAPPENED MULTIPLE TIMES IN THE RECENT PERIOD — several distinct instances of one identifiable type of success — AND does man...YES Rajesh Vashist explicitly states that Q2 set a record for the total number of design wins closed in any quarter, with growth of 55% year-over-year, and that the number of design wins in each of the end markets (communications enterprise, industrial, automotive, aerospace and defense, and mobile 5G consumer) also grew by more than 50% from a year ago. He further notes that “our momentum continues from previous quarters,” framing the repeated, multi-market design-win activity as a new frequency beyond the company’s prior norm. In the Q&A session, Douglas O’Laughlin directly references the pattern by asking about “record new levels of design wins” each quarter, and Art Chadwick confirms the timing of these wins rolling into revenue in 2024–2026, indicating the string of like successes is expected to continue. This meets the criteria of a coherent, repeated category of concrete success (design wins) occurring multiple times across distinct markets within the recent period, with management signaling it as unprecedented for SiTime. No other category of repeated, completed wins is described with the same level of explicit frequency and change-of-norm language. Therefore, the answer is YES. (The transcript contains no other instance of management describing a repeated, milestone-reaching success of the same kind with the required new-frequency framing.) <br>NO if the call reports only one significant win, however large, or several wins that are each of a different kind with no repeated category. NO if the repetition is routine for this business — a company that always adds many customers, stores, or orders each quarter reporting its usual volume of additions. NO if the repeated items are hopes, pipeline, proposals, letters of intent, or deals still being negotiated rather than completed or now-occurring events. NO if management does not itself convey that this frequency is new or beyond the company's prior experience. NO if the string is described as finished, slowing, or unlikely to continue. NO if the pattern is suggested only in an analyst's question or summary that management does not itself affirm. Use only the supplied transcript. Answer only YES or NO.

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