New business is being written on visibly better terms than the company's own recent norm, and the mix shift has just beg
The model's full reasoning — Q4 2021 call → NOWe need to determine if management indicates that economic terms of newest business have stepped up meaningfully above company's own recent norm, and that this improvement has only begun to flow into reported results. We need to find evidence in transcript. Management discusses pricing, orders, backlog, etc. They mention inflation, cost increases, but also that market is accepting price increases. However, the question is about terms of new business improving vs own recent past, and that reported results still reflect old terms. Let's scan transcript for relevant statements. Thomas Speidel: "The commodity prices are going up. So what we see, and we see that also on the competition or competitors' side, prices are going up, we see that commodities lithium, nickel, manganese, but let's say almost everything has a huge price increase. The good thing is that the market is accepting it, what we see. So when we're talking to customers or potential customers, they know that prices are going up. They see that on the other side, on their expenses, electricity cost has gone up significantly and will further go up and that makes the business model even more attractive..." This suggests that they are raising prices due to cost increases, and market accepts it. But is that a step-up in economics? It might be passing through costs. The question says NO if better pricing is described mainly as passing through the company's own cost increases. Here, they mention commodity prices going up, and they are likely raising prices to cover costs. They don't explicitly say they are achieving higher margins or better terms beyond cost pass-through. Also, they talk about order backlog of €60 million, and guidance for 2022 revenue €80-100 million. They mention that revenue will be backloaded to second half. But do they say that the new orders are at better terms than previous? They don't explicitly compare pricing on new orders vs old. They mention "we have a good order backlog. Year-to-date having just completed Q1 at more than $60 million." But no mention of improved pricing. They also mention "we expect that our positive adjusted gross margin in 2021 will improve in 2022." That could indicate better margins, but is that due to better terms or scale? They don't specify.
| Ticker | Company | Call | Date | Call grade |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| CTO | CTO Realty Growth, Inc. | Q2 2023 | 2023-07-28 | B |
| CARS | Cars.com Inc. | Q1 2023 | 2023-05-06 | B |
| BRX | Brixmor Property Group Inc. | Q1 2023 | 2023-05-02 | A |
| CRBG | Corebridge Financial, Inc. | Q4 2022 | 2023-02-22 | B |
| FLR | Fluor Corporation | Q2 2022 | 2022-08-05 | D |
| CRL | Charles River Laboratories International | Q2 2022 | 2022-08-03 | C |
| BRKL | Brookline Bancorp, Inc. | Q2 2022 | 2022-07-30 | B+ |
| INVH | Invitation Homes Inc. | Q2 2022 | 2022-07-28 | B+ |
| MTB | M&T Bank Corporation | Q2 2022 | 2022-07-20 | B+ |
| GFS | GLOBALFOUNDRIES Inc. | Q3 2021 | 2021-11-30 | A |
| GNK | Genco Shipping & Trading Limited | Q2 2021 | 2021-08-07 | A |
| ESS | Essex Property Trust, Inc. | Q2 2018 | 2018-08-03 | B+ |
| ALLY | Ally Financial Inc. | Q1 2018 | 2018-04-26 | B+ |
CRL · Q2 2022 → YESThe question is about whether management indicates that the economic terms of the company's newest business have stepped up meaningfully above the company's own recent norm, and that this improvement ...YES Management's comments on Safety Assessment pricing and backlog directly address both required elements: they describe current bookings and backlog at "escalating prices" and "meaningful price increases" that are already achieved on real transactions (not targets or future expectations), while noting that the reported Q2 results are still dominated by older 2022 terms and that the stronger pricing is accelerating into H2 and 2023 bookings.
ESS · Q2 2018 → YESThe question is about whether management indicates that the economic terms of the company's newest business have stepped up meaningfully above the company's own recent norm, and that this improvement ...YES Management describes the loss-to-lease metric rising to 3.
CTO · Q2 2023 → YESThe question is about whether management indicates that the economic terms of the company's newest business have stepped up meaningfully above the company's own recent norm, and that this improvement ...