New business is being written on visibly better terms than the company's own recent norm, and the mix shift has just beg
The model's full reasoning — Q2 2022 call → NOWe need to determine if management indicates that the economic terms of new business have stepped up meaningfully above the company's own recent norm, and that this improvement has only begun to flow into reported results because most of the reported numbers still reflect older, less favorable terms. Let's analyze the transcript. The call is about Q2 2022 results. Management discusses loan growth, net interest margin, etc. They mention that net interest income increased due to loan growth and rising interest rates. They say: "Assuming interest rates continue to rise with our PPP loan process, all but concluded, and the liquidity generated by our tax program continuing to subside, we expect our asset-sensitive balance sheet to yield strong margin expansion, as we move into the third and fourth quarters." This suggests that they expect margin expansion in the future due to rising rates, but that is not necessarily about new business terms being better than recent norm. They also mention that the reported margin was affected by PPP accretion and excess cash. They say: "Similarly, the net impact of PPP fee accretion and excess cash from our tax program, reduced our 2022 year-to-date margin by 7 basis points, while an increase our 2021 year-to-date margin by 9 basis points." So they are adjusting for those effects. But the question is specifically about the economic terms of new business - like pricing, rates, spreads, etc. Are they saying that new loans are being written at higher rates than before? They mention rising interest rates, but that is a market condition. They say: "Our net interest income increased $1.3 million or 5.8% from the linked quarter, fueled by low growth and rising interest rates." That is about the overall portfolio, not necessarily new business terms. They also discuss deposit pricing: "we have started to see a few specials being offered in our markets as far as deposit pricing. But obviously, having kept up with the loan increases, we’ve not seen much movement in our rates." So they haven't raised deposit rates much. They say they will have to give a little back, but they are disciplined. That doesn't indicate a step-up in new business terms. They talk about loan growth and pipelines.
| Ticker | Company | Call | Date | Call grade |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| CTO | CTO Realty Growth, Inc. | Q2 2023 | 2023-07-28 | B |
| CARS | Cars.com Inc. | Q1 2023 | 2023-05-06 | B |
| BRX | Brixmor Property Group Inc. | Q1 2023 | 2023-05-02 | A |
| CRBG | Corebridge Financial, Inc. | Q4 2022 | 2023-02-22 | B |
| FLR | Fluor Corporation | Q2 2022 | 2022-08-05 | D |
| CRL | Charles River Laboratories International | Q2 2022 | 2022-08-03 | C |
| BRKL | Brookline Bancorp, Inc. | Q2 2022 | 2022-07-30 | B+ |
| INVH | Invitation Homes Inc. | Q2 2022 | 2022-07-28 | B+ |
| MTB | M&T Bank Corporation | Q2 2022 | 2022-07-20 | B+ |
| GFS | GLOBALFOUNDRIES Inc. | Q3 2021 | 2021-11-30 | A |
| GNK | Genco Shipping & Trading Limited | Q2 2021 | 2021-08-07 | A |
| ESS | Essex Property Trust, Inc. | Q2 2018 | 2018-08-03 | B+ |
| ALLY | Ally Financial Inc. | Q1 2018 | 2018-04-26 | B+ |
CRL · Q2 2022 → YESThe question is about whether management indicates that the economic terms of the company's newest business have stepped up meaningfully above the company's own recent norm, and that this improvement ...YES Management's comments on Safety Assessment pricing and backlog directly address both required elements: they describe current bookings and backlog at "escalating prices" and "meaningful price increases" that are already achieved on real transactions (not targets or future expectations), while noting that the reported Q2 results are still dominated by older 2022 terms and that the stronger pricing is accelerating into H2 and 2023 bookings.
ESS · Q2 2018 → YESThe question is about whether management indicates that the economic terms of the company's newest business have stepped up meaningfully above the company's own recent norm, and that this improvement ...YES Management describes the loss-to-lease metric rising to 3.
CTO · Q2 2023 → YESThe question is about whether management indicates that the economic terms of the company's newest business have stepped up meaningfully above the company's own recent norm, and that this improvement ...