New business is being written on visibly better terms than the company's own recent norm, and the mix shift has just beg
The model's full reasoning — Q2 2022 call → NOWe need to determine if management indicates that the economic terms of the newest business have stepped up meaningfully above the company's own recent norm, and that this improvement has only begun to flow into reported results. Let's analyze the transcript. Key points: - The company announced a partnership with Pilot and GM (eXtend). They describe the cash flow profile: in the core model, year zero negative, then positive. In eXtend, EVgo sees positive cash flow immediately because customer incurs CapEx, while EVgo generates margin as developer and builder, plus ongoing revenues. They say "we believe that these eXtend partnerships create long-term value" and "we are targeting to get a minimum of a double-digit cash flow margin" for eXtend deals. But is this a step-up above their own recent norm? They don't explicitly compare to their own past terms. They say they underwrite to a minimum double-digit unlevered pre-tax IRR for core, and for eXtend they target a minimum double-digit cash flow margin. That's not necessarily a step-up; it's a different metric. They don't say "this is better than what we used to get." - They mention the Delta supply agreement for chargers, but that's about supply, not pricing. - They mention regulatory credits, but that's not about new business terms. - They mention the Inflation Reduction Act, but that's future. - They mention NEVI, but that's future. - They mention the Pilot deal as "exceeds those hurdles" (referring to internal rate of return or margin hurdles). But that's just meeting their hurdle, not necessarily a step-up above recent norm. - They don't explicitly say that the terms of new business are better than their own recent past. They talk about the eXtend model having positive cash flow immediately, but that's a structural difference, not necessarily better economics. They don't compare to their own previous deals. - They also mention that they are affirming guidance, and that the second half will have heavier loads due to PFJ and fleet contracts, but that's about revenue timing, not about better terms. - They don't say that the reported results still reflect old terms. They say that some revenues from PFJ and fleet will kick in later, but that's not about terms being better. - They don't mention any price increases or rate improvements on their charging services.
| Ticker | Company | Call | Date | Call grade |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| CTO | CTO Realty Growth, Inc. | Q2 2023 | 2023-07-28 | B |
| CARS | Cars.com Inc. | Q1 2023 | 2023-05-06 | B |
| BRX | Brixmor Property Group Inc. | Q1 2023 | 2023-05-02 | A |
| CRBG | Corebridge Financial, Inc. | Q4 2022 | 2023-02-22 | B |
| FLR | Fluor Corporation | Q2 2022 | 2022-08-05 | D |
| CRL | Charles River Laboratories International | Q2 2022 | 2022-08-03 | C |
| BRKL | Brookline Bancorp, Inc. | Q2 2022 | 2022-07-30 | B+ |
| INVH | Invitation Homes Inc. | Q2 2022 | 2022-07-28 | B+ |
| MTB | M&T Bank Corporation | Q2 2022 | 2022-07-20 | B+ |
| GFS | GLOBALFOUNDRIES Inc. | Q3 2021 | 2021-11-30 | A |
| GNK | Genco Shipping & Trading Limited | Q2 2021 | 2021-08-07 | A |
| ESS | Essex Property Trust, Inc. | Q2 2018 | 2018-08-03 | B+ |
| ALLY | Ally Financial Inc. | Q1 2018 | 2018-04-26 | B+ |
CRL · Q2 2022 → YESThe question is about whether management indicates that the economic terms of the company's newest business have stepped up meaningfully above the company's own recent norm, and that this improvement ...YES Management's comments on Safety Assessment pricing and backlog directly address both required elements: they describe current bookings and backlog at "escalating prices" and "meaningful price increases" that are already achieved on real transactions (not targets or future expectations), while noting that the reported Q2 results are still dominated by older 2022 terms and that the stronger pricing is accelerating into H2 and 2023 bookings.
ESS · Q2 2018 → YESThe question is about whether management indicates that the economic terms of the company's newest business have stepped up meaningfully above the company's own recent norm, and that this improvement ...YES Management describes the loss-to-lease metric rising to 3.
CTO · Q2 2023 → YESThe question is about whether management indicates that the economic terms of the company's newest business have stepped up meaningfully above the company's own recent norm, and that this improvement ...