New business is being written on visibly better terms than the company's own recent norm, and the mix shift has just beg
The model's full reasoning — Q3 2021 call → NOWe need to determine if management indicates that the economic terms of the newest business have stepped up meaningfully above the company's own recent norm, and that this improvement has only begun to flow into reported results because most reported business was written at older, less favorable terms. From the transcript, we have several relevant statements. Rajiv Prasad says: "At our lift truck business, we have implemented price increases several times over the course of 2021 to address the effect of material cost inflation. But many of the orders in our backlog slated for production in the remainder of 2021 and the first half of 2022 do not reflect the full effect of all these price increases. As a result, we expect to continue to experience low margins in the fourth quarter of 2021 and our best in the first half of 2022. Due to the lag between unit price increase went into effect and when they are realized as the units are shipped, nevertheless, the lift truck sales team is working to try to improve these backlog margins. The team is also working diligently to ensure new orders are booked at target gross margins based on the future dates, they will be shipped, mainly given the current backlog in the fourth quarter of 2022." This indicates that price increases have been implemented, but the backlog still contains orders that don't reflect the full effect of these increases. So the reported results (current quarter) are still dominated by older, lower-priced orders. The new orders are being booked at target gross margins, which are presumably better. However, the question is whether the improvement is "meaningfully above the company's own recent norm" and that it has "only begun to flow into reported results." The transcript says that price increases were implemented to address material cost inflation. That might be seen as passing through costs, not necessarily a genuine step-up in economics. But the question is whether the terms of new business have improved relative to the company's own recent past. The price increases are higher than before, so the new orders are at higher prices. But is that a step-up in economics? It's partly to cover costs, but the company is also trying to achieve target gross margins.
| Ticker | Company | Call | Date | Call grade |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| CTO | CTO Realty Growth, Inc. | Q2 2023 | 2023-07-28 | B |
| CARS | Cars.com Inc. | Q1 2023 | 2023-05-06 | B |
| BRX | Brixmor Property Group Inc. | Q1 2023 | 2023-05-02 | A |
| CRBG | Corebridge Financial, Inc. | Q4 2022 | 2023-02-22 | B |
| FLR | Fluor Corporation | Q2 2022 | 2022-08-05 | D |
| CRL | Charles River Laboratories International | Q2 2022 | 2022-08-03 | C |
| BRKL | Brookline Bancorp, Inc. | Q2 2022 | 2022-07-30 | B+ |
| INVH | Invitation Homes Inc. | Q2 2022 | 2022-07-28 | B+ |
| MTB | M&T Bank Corporation | Q2 2022 | 2022-07-20 | B+ |
| GFS | GLOBALFOUNDRIES Inc. | Q3 2021 | 2021-11-30 | A |
| GNK | Genco Shipping & Trading Limited | Q2 2021 | 2021-08-07 | A |
| ESS | Essex Property Trust, Inc. | Q2 2018 | 2018-08-03 | B+ |
| ALLY | Ally Financial Inc. | Q1 2018 | 2018-04-26 | B+ |
CRL · Q2 2022 → YESThe question is about whether management indicates that the economic terms of the company's newest business have stepped up meaningfully above the company's own recent norm, and that this improvement ...YES Management's comments on Safety Assessment pricing and backlog directly address both required elements: they describe current bookings and backlog at "escalating prices" and "meaningful price increases" that are already achieved on real transactions (not targets or future expectations), while noting that the reported Q2 results are still dominated by older 2022 terms and that the stronger pricing is accelerating into H2 and 2023 bookings.
ESS · Q2 2018 → YESThe question is about whether management indicates that the economic terms of the company's newest business have stepped up meaningfully above the company's own recent norm, and that this improvement ...YES Management describes the loss-to-lease metric rising to 3.
CTO · Q2 2023 → YESThe question is about whether management indicates that the economic terms of the company's newest business have stepped up meaningfully above the company's own recent norm, and that this improvement ...