New business is being written on visibly better terms than the company's own recent norm, and the mix shift has just beg
The model's full reasoning — Q4 2017 call → NOThe question asks whether management indicates that the economic terms of the company's newest business have stepped up meaningfully above the company's own recent norm, and that this improvement has only begun to flow into reported results. Let me analyze the transcript for evidence of both parts: 1) Terms of new business improved versus company's own recent past: - Bo Stanley discusses Q4 originations: "we generate our highest quarterly level of gross origination, since inception of approximately $1.07 billion" - He mentions the weighted average total yield on amortized cost on debt fundings during the quarter was 9.3%, but "Adjusted for the expected duration of iHeart, the weighted average total yielded amortized costs on new debt fundings is 11%" - Josh Easterly discusses specific deals: "Lithium was LIBOR 800 one floor 9% plus fees. So that's right in the sweet spot. Industrial Physics LIBOR 7.00%, I think one four plus fees. And so when you –those had I could run the math of those had the amortized yields probably somewhere in the 10% to 11% range, when you include fees." - He also notes: "Ironically, we did look at the – there tends to be some – I don't – whatever we think Q4 over the last couple of years tends it to be – where we put on assets have a lower amortized yields, so for example, in Q4 2015 yield amortized cost and the new investments 9.3% and in Q4 2016, it was 9.1% and Q4 2017, it was 9.3%, but it was for adjusted for iHeart, it was 11%." So the new business yields (11% adjusted) are higher than the prior quarters' new investment yields (9.3%, 9.1%, 9.3%). This suggests improvement in terms of new business.
| Ticker | Company | Call | Date | Call grade |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| CTO | CTO Realty Growth, Inc. | Q2 2023 | 2023-07-28 | B |
| CARS | Cars.com Inc. | Q1 2023 | 2023-05-06 | B |
| BRX | Brixmor Property Group Inc. | Q1 2023 | 2023-05-02 | A |
| CRBG | Corebridge Financial, Inc. | Q4 2022 | 2023-02-22 | B |
| FLR | Fluor Corporation | Q2 2022 | 2022-08-05 | D |
| CRL | Charles River Laboratories International | Q2 2022 | 2022-08-03 | C |
| BRKL | Brookline Bancorp, Inc. | Q2 2022 | 2022-07-30 | B+ |
| INVH | Invitation Homes Inc. | Q2 2022 | 2022-07-28 | B+ |
| MTB | M&T Bank Corporation | Q2 2022 | 2022-07-20 | B+ |
| GFS | GLOBALFOUNDRIES Inc. | Q3 2021 | 2021-11-30 | A |
| GNK | Genco Shipping & Trading Limited | Q2 2021 | 2021-08-07 | A |
| ESS | Essex Property Trust, Inc. | Q2 2018 | 2018-08-03 | B+ |
| ALLY | Ally Financial Inc. | Q1 2018 | 2018-04-26 | B+ |
CRL · Q2 2022 → YESThe question is about whether management indicates that the economic terms of the company's newest business have stepped up meaningfully above the company's own recent norm, and that this improvement ...YES Management's comments on Safety Assessment pricing and backlog directly address both required elements: they describe current bookings and backlog at "escalating prices" and "meaningful price increases" that are already achieved on real transactions (not targets or future expectations), while noting that the reported Q2 results are still dominated by older 2022 terms and that the stronger pricing is accelerating into H2 and 2023 bookings.
ESS · Q2 2018 → YESThe question is about whether management indicates that the economic terms of the company's newest business have stepped up meaningfully above the company's own recent norm, and that this improvement ...YES Management describes the loss-to-lease metric rising to 3.
CTO · Q2 2023 → YESThe question is about whether management indicates that the economic terms of the company's newest business have stepped up meaningfully above the company's own recent norm, and that this improvement ...