New business is being written on visibly better terms than the company's own recent norm, and the mix shift has just beg
The model's full reasoning — Q2 2022 call → NOWe need to determine if management indicates that the economic terms of the company's newest business have stepped up meaningfully above the company's own recent norm, and that this improvement has only begun to flow into reported results because most of the business in the reported numbers was still written at older, less favorable terms. Let's analyze the transcript. The company is Xenia Hotels & Resorts, a hotel REIT. The "newest business" would be hotel bookings, group bookings, corporate transient rates, etc. Key points from the call: - RevPAR grew 2% in Q2 vs 2019, first quarter exceeding 2019. ADR increased 16.6% vs 2019, occupancy down 10 points. - They mention strong rate growth, and that they are seeing good pickup in group and corporate transient demand. - They mention that negotiated corporate rates could increase in high single or low double digits next year (that's future, not current). - They mention group room revenue pace improving, and rates for second half are up 10% vs 2019. - They mention that they are in early innings of recovery, and that corporate transient and group demand are still recovering. But the question is specifically about the economic terms of the company's newest business stepping up meaningfully above the company's own recent norm, and that this improvement has only begun to flow into reported results because most of the business in the reported numbers was still written at older, less favorable terms. Let's look for statements that convey both halves. First half: The terms of new business have visibly improved vs the company's own recent past. For example, are they signing new contracts at higher rates? They mention that group rates for second half are up 10% vs 2019. They also mention that corporate transient rates are expected to increase next year, but that's future. They mention that they are achieving higher ADR across the portfolio. But is that a step-up in the economics of new business? The ADR increase is across all business, but it's driven by leisure demand and rate increases. They say "Rate growth continues to be impressive as our estimated ADR exceeded July 2019 by approximately 18%." That's current performance, not necessarily new contracts. They also mention that group room revenue pace is improving, and that rates for second half are up 10% vs 2019.
| Ticker | Company | Call | Date | Call grade |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| CTO | CTO Realty Growth, Inc. | Q2 2023 | 2023-07-28 | B |
| CARS | Cars.com Inc. | Q1 2023 | 2023-05-06 | B |
| BRX | Brixmor Property Group Inc. | Q1 2023 | 2023-05-02 | A |
| CRBG | Corebridge Financial, Inc. | Q4 2022 | 2023-02-22 | B |
| FLR | Fluor Corporation | Q2 2022 | 2022-08-05 | D |
| CRL | Charles River Laboratories International | Q2 2022 | 2022-08-03 | C |
| BRKL | Brookline Bancorp, Inc. | Q2 2022 | 2022-07-30 | B+ |
| INVH | Invitation Homes Inc. | Q2 2022 | 2022-07-28 | B+ |
| MTB | M&T Bank Corporation | Q2 2022 | 2022-07-20 | B+ |
| GFS | GLOBALFOUNDRIES Inc. | Q3 2021 | 2021-11-30 | A |
| GNK | Genco Shipping & Trading Limited | Q2 2021 | 2021-08-07 | A |
| ESS | Essex Property Trust, Inc. | Q2 2018 | 2018-08-03 | B+ |
| ALLY | Ally Financial Inc. | Q1 2018 | 2018-04-26 | B+ |
CRL · Q2 2022 → YESThe question is about whether management indicates that the economic terms of the company's newest business have stepped up meaningfully above the company's own recent norm, and that this improvement ...YES Management's comments on Safety Assessment pricing and backlog directly address both required elements: they describe current bookings and backlog at "escalating prices" and "meaningful price increases" that are already achieved on real transactions (not targets or future expectations), while noting that the reported Q2 results are still dominated by older 2022 terms and that the stronger pricing is accelerating into H2 and 2023 bookings.
ESS · Q2 2018 → YESThe question is about whether management indicates that the economic terms of the company's newest business have stepped up meaningfully above the company's own recent norm, and that this improvement ...YES Management describes the loss-to-lease metric rising to 3.
CTO · Q2 2023 → YESThe question is about whether management indicates that the economic terms of the company's newest business have stepped up meaningfully above the company's own recent norm, and that this improvement ...