Quietly replacing the old way: customers are switching to the company from an entrenched alternative, and the switching
The model's full reasoning — Q1 2022 call → NOWe need to determine if management describes customers switching from an entrenched alternative to the company, and that this switching is still early with most potential switchers not yet converted. Look for evidence in transcript. Management mentions "clients looking to move more volume nearshore or offshore" - that's about location, not switching from a competitor. They mention "vendor consolidation" - that is about clients consolidating onto the company from other vendors. That is a substitution pattern. Also "taking other partners out of our client ecosystems" - that is displacing incumbents. And they say "about 75% of our growth comes from existing clients" and a chunk from taking other partners out. That suggests switching is happening. But is it early? They say "we still see a steady pace" - not necessarily early. They also mention "new economy clients" growth, but that's not about switching. The question asks if management conveys that switching is still in early stages with most potential switchers not yet converted. The transcript does not explicitly say that. They mention "vendor consolidation" as a trend, but no indication of how much is left. They say "we continue to see good benefits from the consolidation" - that implies ongoing, but not necessarily early. Also they mention "clients looking to move more volume nearshore or offshore" - that's about geography, not switching from an alternative. The only clear switching is vendor consolidation, but no statement about early stages. So answer NO. Check if any other evidence: "we are seeing some clients looking to move more volume nearshore or offshore now that the pandemic has subsided" - that's about location, not about displacing an incumbent. "We won digital transformation and CX solutions businesses with over 2 dozen new logos" - that's new logos, but not necessarily displacing incumbents. The question specifically asks about switching from an entrenched alternative. The transcript mentions "vendor consolidation" and "taking other partners out" - that is switching. But does management convey it's early? They don't say that. They say "we still see a steady pace" - that suggests it's ongoing but not early. Also they say "about 75% of our growth comes from existing clients" - that implies most growth is from existing, not necessarily from switching.
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|---|---|---|---|---|
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BLKB · Q1 2017 → YESThe question is: Does management describe that customers are currently SWITCHING TO THE COMPANY FROM AN ENTRENCHED ALTERNATIVE THEY PREVIOUSLY RELIED ON, and that this switching is still in its early ...YES Management describes customers switching from entrenched alternatives (legacy hardware systems, older Raiser's Edge versions, standalone point solutions) to Blackbaud's cloud solutions like NXT, with examples of recent replacements and migrations already occurring. They also note that much of the potential remains, as the installed base of legacy methods is still large 25% of subscription revenue, and they describe the opportunity as "really early days" with substantial distance left to run. This fits the criteria of a present-tense substitution pattern in the market, not just future hope. The high retention on their own base (93%) combined with declining maintenance revenue shows the shift is active and ongoing, while new wins against competitors and legacy alternatives are happening now. The TAM of $7 billion with hundreds of thousands of addressable customers reinforces that switching is early-stage relative to the total opportunity. The answer is YES. The question is answered with YES. The question is answered with YES.
BLZE · Q3 2022 → YESThe question is: Does management describe that customers are currently SWITCHING TO THE COMPANY FROM AN ENTRENCHED ALTERNATIVE THEY PREVIOUSLY RELIED ON, and that this switching is still in its early ...YES The transcript shows management describing current customer switches from entrenched alternatives (AWS for urlscan.io; Synology NAS/on-prem for Fiture; broader AWS and on-prem users), with these as real, ongoing patterns. They explicitly note that much of the potential remains ("so much of the world's data is still on-premises" and "customers that are inside of AWS and others"), confirming the substitution is early-stage relative to the large installed base. This is conveyed directly in Gleb's responses as a present-tense reality, not merely anticipated. The two examples plus the broader opportunity framing establish a coherent substitution underway, with the company being substituted in. The investor question on percentages and Gleb's reply reinforce the pattern without contradicting the current movement. No single-event or future-only framing applies here. Thus, both conditions are met.
APPS · Q1 2024 → YESThe question is: Does management describe that customers are currently SWITCHING TO THE COMPANY FROM AN ENTRENCHED ALTERNATIVE THEY PREVIOUSLY RELIED ON, and that this switching is still in its early ...YES The transcript shows management describing customers shifting from Apple/Google app stores to DT Hub and SingleTap-enabled alternative distribution as an ongoing, early-stage substitution. Bill Stone notes the company has already launched DT Hub with four U.S. operators and is generating revenue today, while highlighting "increasing pressure on the duopoly" and 5 monetization ways for SingleTap that enable publishers to direct-download apps outside traditional stores. He explicitly calls it "very early days and not yet material to our overall results" and "early innings," confirming the installed base of the old way remains large and the switch is just beginning with incremental RPD gains from devices engaging the new platform. This meets the criteria of a present-tense substitution underway, with the company positioned as the alternative being adopted.