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Recently unlocked door

Recently unlocked door: a fresh permission, approval, or qualification is already producing first real business

Calls Tested

499

Answered YES

Hit Rate

4.8%

rare by design

Green Brick Partners, Inc. (GRBK) — this company's answers

NO on the Q3 2023 call 2023-11-01 B

The model's full reasoning — Q3 2023 call → NO我们根据提供的文本，寻找管理层描述公司最近获得某种许可、批准、认证、上市或访问权，并且已经产生了首批业务，且大部分潜力尚未开发的证据。在文本中，管理层提到了多个事项： - 新社区开放（如Trinity Ranch在Austin，7月底开放，已售出18套）。 - 土地收购（如Vero Beach的78个宅基地，Braker Valley在Austin）。 - 但这些都是公司自身开发或收购，不是外部授予的许可或准入权。 - 没有提到获得任何政府批准、监管许可、认证、供应商名单准入等。唯一可能有关的是“45L能源效率税收抵免”，但那是税收抵免，不是准入权。而且文本说“今年与2022年相比，符合资格的家庭更少”，所以不是新获得的。因此，没有描述任何由外部权威授予的准入权。答案是NO。

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Show the exact prompt the model was given

Using ONLY the supplied earnings call transcript and no outside information: On this call, does management describe that the company RECENTLY OBTAINED A PERMISSION, APPROVAL, QUALIFICATION, CERTIFICATION, LISTING, OR ACCESS RIGHT it did not previously hold — something granted by an outside authority, customer, partner, or institution that newly allows the company to sell, serve, or operate where it previously could not — AND that real first business through that newly opened door has ALREADY BEGUN, with most of what the access permits still ahead?

Answer YES when management's own words convey, in whatever form fits the business, ONE coherent development with all three present: (1) the access is REAL AND RECENTLY IN HAND — granted, completed, or effective within roughly the last few quarters, not pending, applied-for, or expected; the form may be a regulatory approval or clearance, a customer or platform qualification, a certification or accreditation, a license, a formulary or program listing, entry onto an approved-supplier roster, or any equivalent gate that previously excluded the company; (2) FIRST BUSINESS IS ALREADY FLOWING — actual initial orders, customers, shipments, enrollments, placements, or revenue attributable to the new access, occurring now, however small; and (3) management conveys that what the access opens is LARGE RELATIVE TO WHAT HAS FLOWED SO FAR — the population, market, or activity now reachable is mostly unserved, so the reported results reflect only the first trickle through the door.

Answer NO if the access is still pending, hoped for, or contingent. NO if the gate was cleared but nothing has yet transacted through it. NO if the access is routine renewal of permissions the company has long held. NO if the business through the new access is already mature and substantially reflected in results. NO if the door and its significance appear only in an analyst's question that management does not itself affirm. Use only the supplied transcript. Answer only YES or NO.

Companies that answered YES

Ticker	Company	Call	Date	Call grade
DXCM	DexCom, Inc.	Q4 2023	2024-02-08	B+
RDCM	RADCOM Ltd.	Q4 2023	2024-01-31	A
PFE	Pfizer Inc.	Q4 2023	2024-01-30	F
NVAX	Novavax, Inc.	Q3 2023	2023-11-09	F
RVLV	Revolve Group, Inc.	Q3 2023	2023-11-01	C
APPS	Digital Turbine, Inc.	Q1 2024	2023-08-08	D
SIBN	SI-BONE, Inc.	Q3 2022	2022-11-07	C+
HBB	Hamilton Beach Brands Holding Company	Q3 2022	2022-11-05	C
CMLS	Cumulus Media Inc.	Q3 2022	2022-10-28	D
YMM	Full Truck Alliance Co. Ltd.	Q2 2022	2022-08-25	C+
CDXC	ChromaDex Corporation	Q4 2021	2022-03-09	C+
VNDA	Vanda Pharmaceuticals Inc.	Q4 2021	2022-02-23	F
AGIO	Agios Pharmaceuticals, Inc.	Q3 2018	2018-11-01	C
AMGN	Amgen Inc.	Q3 2018	2018-10-30	B+
MAS	Masco Corporation	Q3 2018	2018-10-30	C
PRIM	Primoris Services Corporation	Q2 2018	2018-08-11	C+
ATI	Allegheny Technologies Incorporated	Q1 2018	2018-04-24	B
HOLX	Hologic, Inc.	Q4 2017	2017-11-08	D
BIIB	Biogen Inc.	Q2 2017	2017-07-25	B
CNS	Cohen & Steers, Inc.	Q2 2017	2017-07-20	B
IONS	Ionis Pharmaceuticals, Inc.	Q1 2017	2017-05-09	C
PDCO	Patterson Companies, Inc.	Q3 2017	2017-02-23	C
BMY	Bristol-Myers Squibb Company	Q4 2016	2017-01-26	F
MAT	Mattel, Inc.	Q3 2016	2016-10-19	C

How the model reasoned

NVAX · Q3 2023 → YESThe question is: Does management describe that the company RECENTLY OBTAINED A PERMISSION, APPROVAL, QUALIFICATION, CERTIFICATION, LISTING, OR ACCESS RIGHT it did not previously hold — something grant...NO The transcript describes shipments of the updated COVID vaccine that began three weeks ago in the US after competitor launches, along with EU approval in October. However, these details do not meet the criteria for a YES answer because the transcript does not explicitly frame this as a newly obtained permission or access right that the company did not previously hold. Instead, it presents the launch as an update to their existing COVID-19 vaccine platform, with references to prior versions and the ability to update for seasonal strains.

MAT · Q3 2016 → YESThe question is about whether management describes that the company recently obtained a permission, approval, etc., that it didn't previously hold, and that real first business through that newly open...YES The transcript shows management describing a recent new partnership with Toys "R" Us for American Girl, granting exclusive store-within-store access that previously excluded the company. Initial shipping began in the first full quarter, with the distribution build still in early stages and most of the market potential ahead.

MAS · Q3 2018 → YESThe question is about whether management describes that the company recently obtained a permission, approval, etc., that it didn't previously hold, and that real first business through that newly open...YES The transcript shows management describing a recent program access at Menards that enables sales of stock cabinetry, with initial performance already underway and ramping toward an $80 million annual run rate in Q4—indicating the door is newly open and most of the potential volume remains ahead.

Recently unlocked door

Green Brick Partners, Inc. (GRBK) — this company's answers

Companies that answered YES

How the model reasoned

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