Second demand front open and funded: a different kind of buyer is now paying, and management is resourcing it while it i
The model's full reasoning — Q2 2022 call → NOWe need answer YES/NO based on transcript. Need identify second front different in kind, already paying, still small and being fed. Let's parse. Company Civista Bancshares. Historical mainstay? Community banking in Ohio. They have tax refund processing program (income tax refund processing) generating fee income. Also mortgage lending. Also wealth management. Also PPP loans. Also Comunibanc acquisition expanding into Toledo. Need see if management describes a second front of demand different from established business that is already paying real money and they are actively putting resources behind while still small. Possible candidates: Wealth management? They mention wealth management revenues consistent, year-to-date increased to $2.5M from $2.3M, as gains in new accounts and additions kept pace with declines. They view expansion of these services across entire footprint as opportunity to diversify and grow non-interest income. Is that a second front? It is different from traditional lending/deposits. Already paying (revenue). Still small? Wealth management revenue $2.5M YTD vs total non-interest income? Need compare. Non-interest income YTD declined 27.1% to? Q2 non-interest income declined $2M from linked quarter. Q1? Let's estimate. Q2 non-interest income? They said non-interest income declined $2 million or 26.3% from linked quarter. So Q1 non-interest income = Q2 + $2M /0.263? Actually decline 26.3% means Q2 = Q1*(1-0.263) = 0.737 Q1, so Q1 = Q2/0.737. Difference = 0.263 Q1 = $2M => Q1 = $7.6M, Q2 = $5.6M. YTD ~$13.2M. Wealth management $2.5M YTD ~19% of non-interest income. Still smaller than mortgage gains? Mortgage gains YTD? Q2 $573k, Q1 $? They said Q2 gains declined 38.8% from linked quarter, so Q1 = $573k/(0.612)= $936k. YTD ~$1.5M. Wealth management $2.5M larger. But main business is net interest income ~? Q2 NII increased $1.3M from linked quarter. Q2 NII maybe $23M? Non-interest income $5.6M. Wealth management small relative. Are they actively putting resources? They say "we view the expansion of these services across our entire footprint, as an opportunity to diversify and grow non-interest income." That's somewhat aspirational, not concrete resources.
| Ticker | Company | Call | Date | Call grade |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ASO | Academy Sports and Outdoors, Inc. | Q1 2024 | 2024-06-11 | C+ |
| CRGO | Freightos Limited | Q1 2024 | 2024-05-20 | C+ |
| RCEL | AVITA Medical, Inc. | Q1 2024 | 2024-05-14 | F |
| FWONK | Formula One Group | Q1 2024 | 2024-05-08 | C+ |
| LINC | Lincoln Educational Services Corporation | Q1 2024 | 2024-05-06 | B+ |
| NC | NACCO Industries, Inc. | Q1 2024 | 2024-05-05 | C+ |
| AES | The AES Corporation | Q1 2024 | 2024-05-03 | C+ |
| ROCK | Gibraltar Industries, Inc. | Q1 2024 | 2024-05-01 | B+ |
| LTRX | Lantronix, Inc. | Q3 2024 | 2024-04-29 | C |
| TNET | TriNet Group, Inc. | Q1 2024 | 2024-04-26 | C |
| HUYA | HUYA Inc. | Q4 2023 | 2024-03-19 | C |
| LEGH | Legacy Housing Corporation | Q4 2023 | 2024-03-18 | C |
| GIII | G-III Apparel Group, Ltd. | Q4 2024 | 2024-03-14 | C |
| NICE | NICE Ltd. | Q4 2023 | 2024-02-22 | B+ |
| OUT | Outfront Media Inc. | Q4 2023 | 2024-02-21 | C+ |
| SANG | Sangoma Technologies Corporation | Q2 2024 | 2024-02-08 | D |
| GPRE | Green Plains Inc. | Q4 2023 | 2024-02-07 | F |
| CHT | Chunghwa Telecom Co., Ltd. | Q4 2023 | 2024-01-30 | C |
| CPRT | Copart, Inc. | Q1 2024 | 2023-11-16 | B+ |
| SCPH | scPharmaceuticals Inc. | Q3 2023 | 2023-11-08 | B |
| OPAD | Offerpad Solutions Inc. | Q3 2023 | 2023-11-01 | C |
| RVLV | Revolve Group, Inc. | Q3 2023 | 2023-11-01 | C |
| DASH | DoorDash, Inc. | Q3 2023 | 2023-11-01 | C+ |
| GRBK | Green Brick Partners, Inc. | Q3 2023 | 2023-11-01 | B |
| TEL | TE Connectivity Ltd. | Q4 2023 | 2023-11-01 | B |
| FSBC | Five Star Bancorp | Q3 2023 | 2023-10-31 | B |
| ANGO | AngioDynamics, Inc. | Q1 2024 | 2023-10-04 | B |
| BZUN | Baozun Inc. | Q2 2023 | 2023-08-28 | D |
| APPS | Digital Turbine, Inc. | Q1 2024 | 2023-08-08 | D |
| TGLS | Tecnoglass Inc. | Q2 2023 | 2023-08-08 | A |
| AKYA | Akoya Biosciences, Inc. | Q2 2023 | 2023-08-07 | C+ |
| AEIS | Advanced Energy Industries, Inc. | Q2 2023 | 2023-08-03 | B |
| PERI | Perion Network Ltd. | Q2 2023 | 2023-08-02 | A |
| AFL | Aflac Incorporated | Q2 2023 | 2023-08-02 | C+ |
| PFIE | Profire Energy, Inc. | Q1 2023 | 2023-05-13 | B |
| PRPH | ProPhase Labs, Inc. | Q1 2023 | 2023-05-11 | F |
| FTHM | Fathom Holdings, Inc. | Q1 2023 | 2023-05-10 | C |
| SLDP | Solid Power, Inc. | Q1 2023 | 2023-05-08 | C+ |
| TSN | Tyson Foods, Inc. | Q2 2023 | 2023-05-08 | D |
| ULCC | Frontier Group Holdings, Inc. | Q1 2023 | 2023-05-07 | C+ |
| INGN | Inogen, Inc. | Q1 2023 | 2023-05-05 | F |
| SBRA | Sabra Health Care REIT, Inc. | Q1 2023 | 2023-05-04 | B |
| AYI | Acuity Brands, Inc. | Q2 2023 | 2023-04-04 | C+ |
| TACT | TransAct Technologies Incorporated | Q4 2022 | 2023-03-08 | A |
| DKS | DICK'S Sporting Goods, Inc. | Q4 2022 | 2023-03-07 | B |
| M | Macy's, Inc. | Q4 2022 | 2023-03-02 | D |
| ORGO | Organogenesis Holdings Inc. | Q4 2022 | 2023-03-01 | C |
| TWLO | Twilio Inc. | Q4 2022 | 2023-02-15 | D |
| CEIX | CONSOL Energy Inc. | Q4 2022 | 2023-02-07 | B |
| ADM | Archer-Daniels-Midland Company | Q4 2022 | 2023-01-26 | C+ |
| WGO | Winnebago Industries, Inc. | Q1 2023 | 2022-12-16 | D |
| BLZE | Backblaze, Inc. | Q3 2022 | 2022-11-11 | D |
| SIBN | SI-BONE, Inc. | Q3 2022 | 2022-11-07 | C+ |
| HBB | Hamilton Beach Brands Holding Company | Q3 2022 | 2022-11-05 | C |
| CMLS | Cumulus Media Inc. | Q3 2022 | 2022-10-28 | D |
| PKX | POSCO Holdings Inc. | Q3 2022 | 2022-10-24 | D |
| KEY | KeyCorp | Q3 2022 | 2022-10-20 | B+ |
| WD | Walker & Dunlop, Inc. | Q2 2022 | 2022-08-09 | C+ |
| GDRX | GoodRx Holdings, Inc. | Q2 2022 | 2022-08-08 | F |
| CRL | Charles River Laboratories International | Q2 2022 | 2022-08-03 | C |
| HLNE | Hamilton Lane Incorporated | Q1 2023 | 2022-08-02 | C+ |
| IT | Gartner, Inc. | Q2 2022 | 2022-08-02 | A |
| CME | CME Group Inc. | Q2 2022 | 2022-07-27 | B |
| OGI | OrganiGram Holdings Inc. | Q3 2022 | 2022-07-14 | B+ |
| KFY | Korn Ferry | Q4 2022 | 2022-06-22 | B |
| SE | Sea Limited | Q1 2022 | 2022-05-17 | F |
| FLYW | Flywire Corporation | Q1 2022 | 2022-05-14 | B+ |
| ZVIA | Zevia PBC | Q1 2022 | 2022-05-12 | B |
| VNRX | VolitionRx Limited | Q1 2022 | 2022-05-12 | F |
| OPK | OPKO Health, Inc. | Q1 2022 | 2022-05-09 | D |
| BFIN | BankFinancial Corporation | Q1 2022 | 2022-05-06 | A |
| CCRN | Cross Country Healthcare, Inc. | Q1 2022 | 2022-05-04 | B |
| BXP | Boston Properties, Inc. | Q1 2022 | 2022-05-03 | A |
| ADSE | ADS-TEC Energy PLC | Q4 2021 | 2022-04-28 | D |
| CNXC | Concentrix Corporation | Q1 2022 | 2022-03-30 | B |
| ZENV | Zenvia Inc. | Q4 2021 | 2022-03-17 | C+ |
| CDXC | ChromaDex Corporation | Q4 2021 | 2022-03-09 | C+ |
| VNDA | Vanda Pharmaceuticals Inc. | Q4 2021 | 2022-02-23 | F |
| AKAM | Akamai Technologies, Inc. | Q4 2021 | 2022-02-15 | B |
| FLUX | Flux Power Holdings, Inc. | Q2 2022 | 2022-02-10 | D |
| SLQT | SelectQuote, Inc. | Q2 2022 | 2022-02-07 | F |
| GTES | Gates Industrial Corporation plc | Q4 2021 | 2022-02-07 | C+ |
| FORM | FormFactor, Inc. | Q4 2021 | 2022-02-02 | B |
| LC | LendingClub Corporation | Q4 2021 | 2022-01-26 | A |
| MOMO | Hello Group Inc. | Q3 2021 | 2021-11-30 | D |
| GFS | GLOBALFOUNDRIES Inc. | Q3 2021 | 2021-11-30 | A |
| BFI | BurgerFi International, Inc. | Q3 2021 | 2021-11-12 | C |
| ALHC | Alignment Healthcare, Inc. | Q3 2021 | 2021-11-06 | B+ |
| KTB | Kontoor Brands, Inc. | Q3 2021 | 2021-11-04 | A |
| IPGP | IPG Photonics Corporation | Q3 2021 | 2021-11-02 | C |
| SXC | SunCoke Energy, Inc. | Q3 2021 | 2021-11-01 | A |
| IRBT | iRobot Corporation | Q3 2021 | 2021-10-28 | D |
| FFWM | First Foundation Inc. | Q3 2021 | 2021-10-26 | B |
| LPTH | LightPath Technologies, Inc. | Q4 2021 | 2021-09-09 | D |
| ASAN | Asana, Inc. | Q2 2022 | 2021-09-01 | B+ |
| OWL | Blue Owl Capital Inc. | Q2 2021 | 2021-08-10 | B+ |
| LOPE | Grand Canyon Education, Inc. | Q2 2021 | 2021-08-08 | C |
| EEX | Emerald Holding, Inc. | Q2 2021 | 2021-08-01 | C+ |
| CRS | Carpenter Technology Corporation | Q4 2021 | 2021-08-01 | A |
| EHTH | eHealth, Inc. | Q2 2021 | 2021-07-29 | F |
| TENB | Tenable Holdings, Inc. | Q2 2021 | 2021-07-27 | A |
| DGX | Quest Diagnostics Incorporated | Q2 2021 | 2021-07-22 | B+ |
| ADSK | Autodesk, Inc. | Q3 2019 | 2018-11-20 | A |
| UMH | UMH Properties, Inc. | Q3 2018 | 2018-11-02 | C+ |
| WES | Western Midstream Partners, LP | Q3 2018 | 2018-10-31 | D |
| AMGN | Amgen Inc. | Q3 2018 | 2018-10-30 | B+ |
| CUBI | Customers Bancorp, Inc. | Q3 2018 | 2018-10-26 | C+ |
| T | AT&T Inc. | Q3 2018 | 2018-10-24 | C+ |
| LRN | Stride, Inc. | Q1 2019 | 2018-10-23 | B |
| SRDX | Surmodics, Inc. | Q3 2018 | 2018-08-06 | A |
| ORAN | Orange SA | Q2 2018 | 2018-07-26 | B |
| CP | Canadian Pacific Railway Limited | Q2 2018 | 2018-07-19 | B+ |
| HPE | Hewlett Packard Enterprise Company | Q2 2018 | 2018-05-22 | B+ |
| FOSL | Fossil Group, Inc. | Q1 2018 | 2018-05-08 | C |
| TOUR | Tuniu Corporation | Q4 2017 | 2018-03-14 | D |
| FI | Fiserv, Inc. | Q4 2017 | 2018-02-27 | C |
| INST | Instructure's | Q4 2017 | 2018-02-12 | B+ |
| UNH | UnitedHealth Group Incorporated | Q4 2017 | 2018-01-16 | A |
| HOLX | Hologic, Inc. | Q4 2017 | 2017-11-08 | D |
| MITK | Mitek Systems, Inc. | Q4 2017 | 2017-11-07 | C+ |
| UAA | Under Armour, Inc. | Q3 2017 | 2017-10-31 | F |
| IR | Ingersoll-Rand Plc | Q3 2017 | 2017-10-25 | B |
| SBFG | SB Financial Group, Inc. | Q3 2017 | 2017-10-20 | A |
| STKL | SunOpta Inc. | Q2 2017 | 2017-08-09 | C+ |
| MXL | MaxLinear, Inc. | Q2 2017 | 2017-08-08 | C+ |
| EPC | Edgewell Personal Care Company | Q3 2017 | 2017-08-08 | D |
| CCOI | Cogent Communications Holdings, Inc. | Q2 2017 | 2017-08-03 | B |
| FLEX | Flex Ltd. | Q1 2018 | 2017-07-28 | F |
| BIIB | Biogen Inc. | Q2 2017 | 2017-07-25 | B |
| CNS | Cohen & Steers, Inc. | Q2 2017 | 2017-07-20 | B |
| PTC | PTC Inc. | Q3 2017 | 2017-07-19 | C+ |
| TPB | Turning Point Brands, Inc. | Q1 2017 | 2017-05-11 | B |
| KHC | The Kraft Heinz Company | Q1 2017 | 2017-05-03 | F |
| SHOO | Steven Madden, Ltd. | Q1 2017 | 2017-04-21 | C |
| MDLZ | Mondelez International, Inc. | Q4 2016 | 2017-02-07 | C |
| BDC | Belden Inc. | Q4 2016 | 2017-02-02 | B |
| AEHR | Aehr Test Systems | Q2 2017 | 2017-01-05 | F |
| LEE | Lee Enterprises, Incorporated | Q4 2016 | 2016-12-09 | C |
| FNV | Franco-Nevada Corporation | Q3 2016 | 2016-11-08 | B+ |
| NTCT | NetScout Systems, Inc. | Q2 2017 | 2016-10-27 | D |
| MAT | Mattel, Inc. | Q3 2016 | 2016-10-19 | C |
| NWSA | News Corporation | Q2 2016 | 2016-08-08 | C+ |
| CHDN | Churchill Downs Incorporated | Q2 2016 | 2016-08-04 | C+ |
| DUK | Duke Energy Corporation | Q2 2016 | 2016-08-04 | B |
| GEO | The GEO Group, Inc. | Q2 2016 | 2016-08-02 | B+ |
| CGNX | Cognex Corporation | Q2 2016 | 2016-08-01 | A |
| LBTYK | Liberty Global's | Q1 2016 | 2016-05-10 | C+ |
| GOGO | Gogo Inc. | Q1 2016 | 2016-05-06 | C+ |
| INGR | Ingredion Incorporated | Q1 2016 | 2016-05-01 | B+ |
| RCL | Royal Caribbean Cruises Ltd. | Q1 2016 | 2016-04-29 | C+ |
| WK | Workiva Inc. | Q4 2015 | 2016-03-01 | B |
| ALE | ALLETE, Inc. | Q4 2015 | 2016-02-18 | B |
| HXL | Hexcel Corporation | Q4 2015 | 2016-01-22 | B+ |
FFWM · Q3 2021 → YESThe question is: Does management describe a SECOND, DIFFERENT FRONT OF DEMAND that is ALREADY PAYING IT REAL MONEY, and are they ACTIVELY PUTTING RESOURCES BEHIND that second front while it's still sm...YES The transcript shows management describing a second front in Texas (and soon Florida) that is genuinely different in kind from the historical California-Nevada-Hawaii focus. They explicitly frame it as expansion into new geographies with new customers and channels, not more of the same. Texas is already generating real revenue: the L PO group "started to put numbers on the board last quarter" with $100-150 million annual run rate expected in Q1, and builder finance is "officially up and running and beginning to bring in new business" with first loans funded. Equipment finance and C&I (43% of originations) are also contributing to the shift. Management is actively feeding it with resources: recruiting, opening offices in Irving and Plano, staffing up, and treating it as core to the transformation.
T · Q3 2018 → YESThe question is: Does management describe that the company now has a SECOND, DIFFERENT FRONT OF DEMAND that is ALREADY PAYING IT REAL MONEY, and is management ACTIVELY PUTTING RESOURCES BEHIND that se...NO The transcript does not meet the criteria for a clear second front. WarnerMedia is an acquisition just consolidated, which is explicitly excluded. Xandr is described as a new advertising platform launched in the quarter, with revenues up more than 30% partly due to the AppNexus acquisition, but it is tied to 7 billion in consolidated annual ad revenues and is not framed as a distinct, different front from the historical business. The advertising activity, while growing, is presented as an expansion of existing capabilities rather than a genuinely new source of demand. Management is actively investing in it, but it does not satisfy the requirement of being a clearly smaller, different front already paying real money in a distinct way.
AEHR · Q2 2017 → YESThe question is about whether management describes a second, different front of demand that's already paying real money, and they're actively putting resources behind it while it's still smaller. NO The transcript describes the FOX-XP system as a new, exciting market for optical devices, photonics, sensors, and automotive ICs, with initial shipments in engineering configuration and expectations for production shipments in Q3. However, it does not clearly establish that this second front is already generating real current revenue or paying 100% of the conditions: the production shipments are still prospective, the FOX-1P shipments are mentioned but not explicitly tied as the primary new front, and while resources are being invested, the evidence for immediate revenue from the distinct optical/photonics front is not sufficiently concrete to meet all three criteria simultaneously.