Selling into a wave of new capacity being built by others: management describes its customers' own build-out spending as
The model's full reasoning — Q3 2023 call → NOWe need to determine if management explains the company's momentum and near-term trajectory chiefly by pointing to a wave of new building/equipping/capacity-creation by other parties, with the company already supplying part of what they must buy, and that this build-out is early/intensifying. Let's examine the transcript. The CEO Gunnar Kleveland talks about the company's technologies, innovation, and positioning. He mentions that within Aerospace, the push towards lighter weight, more environmentally friendly designs is the number one challenge for next generation commercial aircraft. Albany's proprietary composite technologies, such as 3D woven composites, are well positioned. In Machine Clothing, customers value Albany's product technology and technical expertise. He talks about operational discipline, continuous improvement, etc. He does not explicitly describe a wave of new building by others. He mentions that AEC is well positioned and continues to win new programs, both commercial and defense. But that's about winning programs, not necessarily about a build-out by others. He says "This will collectively contribute to AEC's long-term growth over the coming years." That's about future growth, but not specifically about a wave of capacity creation by others. Rob Starr, CFO, discusses results. He mentions LEAP program revenue, 787, space programs. He mentions CH-53K program. He says "We now expect full year ASC LEAP revenues to be up approximately $15 million compared to the full year 2022." That's about production volumes, not about others building new capacity. He mentions that AEC revenue growth is driven by year-over-year growth on LEAP, 787, and various space programs. That's about existing programs ramping up, not necessarily about new capacity creation by others. The 787 is an aircraft program, but the company supplies components. The demand is from aircraft production, which is not necessarily a new build-out by others; it's the ongoing production of aircraft. The company is a supplier to aircraft manufacturers. The aircraft manufacturers are producing planes, but that's not a wave of new building by others in the sense of creating new capacity. It's more like ongoing production.
| Ticker | Company | Call | Date | Call grade |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| AES | The AES Corporation | Q1 2024 | 2024-05-03 | C+ |
| LTRX | Lantronix, Inc. | Q3 2024 | 2024-04-29 | C |
| RDCM | RADCOM Ltd. | Q4 2023 | 2024-01-31 | A |
| TEL | TE Connectivity Ltd. | Q4 2023 | 2023-11-01 | B |
| EVGO | EVgo, Inc. | Q2 2022 | 2022-08-09 | C+ |
| FLR | Fluor Corporation | Q2 2022 | 2022-08-05 | D |
| SYM | Symbotic Inc. | Q3 2022 | 2022-08-01 | B+ |
| ADSE | ADS-TEC Energy PLC | Q4 2021 | 2022-04-28 | D |
| FAT | FAT Brands Inc. | Q4 2021 | 2022-03-21 | F |
| IPGP | IPG Photonics Corporation | Q3 2021 | 2021-11-02 | C |
| PRIM | Primoris Services Corporation | Q2 2018 | 2018-08-11 | C+ |
| ATI | Allegheny Technologies Incorporated | Q1 2018 | 2018-04-24 | B |
TEL · Q4 2023 → YESThe question is about whether management explains the company's current momentum and near-term trajectory by pointing to a wave of new building or capacity-creation by others, that's early or intensif...YES The transcript shows management framing the company's momentum chiefly through a wave of external capacity creation: EV production growth (40% in 2023, expected continued growth next year, with Asia as driver), renewable energy adoption (wind/solar), and AI/cloud applications. They describe others (OEMs, installers 3rd parties) building new productive capability—new EV platforms, renewable sites, AI clusters—while TE already supplies into it via content outperformance and early ramps. Current business is real (sequential order growth, $1.3B pipeline, $100M+ incremental AI revenue). The wave is early/intensifying 2024–2025 (3–4 year programs, more phases ahead, destocking normalizing). This is presented as the primary secular driver offsetting cyclical weakness, not just consumption or pricing. Other elements (destocking, FX) are secondary. Thus all three conditions are met in substance.
ATI · Q1 2018 → YESThe question is about whether management explains the company's current momentum and near-term trajectory by pointing to a wave of new building or capacity-creation by other parties, like customers, t...YES The transcript shows management attributing HPMC momentum chiefly to the "ongoing production ramp of next-generation jet engines at all of our major engine OEM customers" and the "industry is currently in the early phases of a multi-year production expansion." This describes OEMs creating new productive capacity through rate ramps and build growth for next generation engines. Management confirms current business from this wave with "next-generation product sales reached 48% of total jet engine product sales" and "65% increase in next-generation product sales," plus "seventh consecutive quarter of year-over-year margin expansion.
RDCM · Q4 2023 → YESThe question is about whether management explains the company's current momentum and near-term trajectory by pointing to a wave of new building, equipping, or capacity-creation by other parties (custo...YES The transcript shows management framing 2024 momentum around operators’ ongoing 5G standalone network build-outs (new productive capacity being created by customers), with RADCOM already supplying assurance software to those projects and the wave described as still early and accelerating. All three conditions are met in Eyal Harari’s prepared remarks and Q&A.