Sequential re-rating: management describes the same offering landing bigger the second and third time around
The model's full reasoning — Q2 2022 call → NOWe need to determine if management describes that successive engagements of the same kind are coming in at progressively larger size. The question asks about a specific phenomenon: the unit size of repeatable business escalating. We need to find if management conveys that deals, orders, contracts, projects, customers, sites, or programs are individually bigger, broader, or longer than before. Scanning the transcript, I see discussions about growth in various segments. For example, in Dedicated, Nick Hobbs says: "Demand for our professional outsourced private fleet solutions remained strong as evidenced by our continued growth in our fleet during the quarter. Our backlog and pipeline also remained strong. After selling 600 trucks in Q1, we sold slightly over 800 trucks in the second quarter." That's about volume, not necessarily size of individual deals. He also says "We've added nearly 2,200 trucks to our business in the last 12 months" - again volume. In Intermodal, Darren Field talks about demand exceeding ability to serve, but no mention of larger individual contracts. In Highway Services, Brad Hicks mentions volume growth of 14% in truckload, but that's volume. Shelley Simpson talks about "opportunity to provide and create efficiencies for our customers is greater this year than at any point over the last two" - that's about opportunity, not deal size. There is no mention of average deal size increasing, customers starting at larger scope, follow-on commitments at multiples, etc. The growth described is in terms of volume, fleet additions, and revenue, but not that each new contract is bigger than the last. The question specifically asks for a comparison against the company's own recent past regarding the size of individual engagements. I don't see that. Management talks about strong demand, growth, but not about the unit size of deals escalating. Thus, the answer is NO.
| Ticker | Company | Call | Date | Call grade |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ASO | Academy Sports and Outdoors, Inc. | Q1 2024 | 2024-06-11 | C+ |
| AKYA | Akoya Biosciences, Inc. | Q2 2023 | 2023-08-07 | C+ |
| SPT | Sprout Social, Inc. | Q2 2023 | 2023-08-04 | B+ |
| SGRY | Surgery Partners, Inc. | Q2 2022 | 2022-08-02 | B+ |
| CYBR | CyberArk Software Ltd. | Q3 2021 | 2021-11-04 | B+ |
| ASAN | Asana, Inc. | Q2 2022 | 2021-09-01 | B+ |
| OWL | Blue Owl Capital Inc. | Q2 2021 | 2021-08-10 | B+ |
AKYA · Q2 2023 → YESThe question is: Does management describe that the company's SUCCESSIVE ENGAGEMENTS OF THE SAME KIND ARE COMING IN AT PROGRESSIVELY LARGER SIZE? YES The transcript shows management describing a clear pattern of escalating project sizes in the translational/clinical space. Brian notes a migration from exploratory studies (reasonable size) to larger retrospective studies and even larger retrospective-prospective ongoing clinical studies, with projects moving "further and further downstream.
ASAN · Q2 2022 → YESThe question is: Does management describe that the company's SUCCESSIVE ENGAGEMENTS OF THE SAME KIND ARE COMING IN AT PROGRESSIVELY LARGER SIZE? YES Management describes exactly this pattern. Dustin notes the company is “closing larger deals and expanding seats across departments and geographies quickly in large organizations,” and that the growth in the >$50k cohort “reflected an acceleration in our largest enterprise customers.
SGRY · Q2 2022 → YESThe question is: Does management describe that the company's SUCCESSIVE ENGAGEMENTS OF THE SAME KIND ARE COMING IN AT PROGRESSIVELY LARGER SIZE? YES The transcript shows management describing exactly this pattern for physician recruiting cohorts. Wayne notes that the 2022 cohorts are “no exception to this trend, bringing more cases with a higher overall net revenue per case than our 2021 cohorts did in the same period last year.