Sequential re-rating: management describes the same offering landing bigger the second and third time around
The model's full reasoning — Q2 2018 call → NOWe need to determine if management describes successive engagements of the same kind coming in at progressively larger size. The question asks about escalation of unit size of repeatable business. We need to look for management's own words conveying that new deals/orders/contracts/projects/customers/sites/programs are individually bigger, broader, or longer than before. Scan the transcript. Management discusses growth in various segments, but does it specifically say that the size of individual deals or contracts is escalating? For example, in flavor solutions, they mention "new product and new customer wins" but not that the size of each win is larger. They talk about "incremental sales to over 19,000 new restaurant locations" - that's more locations, not necessarily larger per location. They mention "more than 10 large national accounts" - but that's just a count of large accounts, not a comparison to past size. They talk about "increased menu participation" but not that each account is larger than before. They also discuss distribution gains for Frank's and French's, but that's about shelf space and distribution points, not about the size of individual orders or contracts. There is no explicit statement that the average size of new orders, contracts, or deals has stepped up versus what the company used to sign. No mention of customers starting at higher levels, or follow-on commitments at multiples. No mention of initial commitments being full deployments rather than trials. The only possible hint is in the flavor solutions segment: "we are continuing to refine and optimize our portfolio, increasing our sales of higher margin flavor business and exiting lower margin business." That's about mix, not size. Also, they mention "new product and new customer wins" but not that these are larger. Thus, management does not convey the phenomenon described. They report strong growth, more customers, more distribution, but not that each individual engagement is larger than before. Answer NO.
| Ticker | Company | Call | Date | Call grade |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ASO | Academy Sports and Outdoors, Inc. | Q1 2024 | 2024-06-11 | C+ |
| AKYA | Akoya Biosciences, Inc. | Q2 2023 | 2023-08-07 | C+ |
| SPT | Sprout Social, Inc. | Q2 2023 | 2023-08-04 | B+ |
| SGRY | Surgery Partners, Inc. | Q2 2022 | 2022-08-02 | B+ |
| CYBR | CyberArk Software Ltd. | Q3 2021 | 2021-11-04 | B+ |
| ASAN | Asana, Inc. | Q2 2022 | 2021-09-01 | B+ |
| OWL | Blue Owl Capital Inc. | Q2 2021 | 2021-08-10 | B+ |
AKYA · Q2 2023 → YESThe question is: Does management describe that the company's SUCCESSIVE ENGAGEMENTS OF THE SAME KIND ARE COMING IN AT PROGRESSIVELY LARGER SIZE? YES The transcript shows management describing a clear pattern of escalating project sizes in the translational/clinical space. Brian notes a migration from exploratory studies (reasonable size) to larger retrospective studies and even larger retrospective-prospective ongoing clinical studies, with projects moving "further and further downstream.
ASAN · Q2 2022 → YESThe question is: Does management describe that the company's SUCCESSIVE ENGAGEMENTS OF THE SAME KIND ARE COMING IN AT PROGRESSIVELY LARGER SIZE? YES Management describes exactly this pattern. Dustin notes the company is “closing larger deals and expanding seats across departments and geographies quickly in large organizations,” and that the growth in the >$50k cohort “reflected an acceleration in our largest enterprise customers.
SGRY · Q2 2022 → YESThe question is: Does management describe that the company's SUCCESSIVE ENGAGEMENTS OF THE SAME KIND ARE COMING IN AT PROGRESSIVELY LARGER SIZE? YES The transcript shows management describing exactly this pattern for physician recruiting cohorts. Wayne notes that the 2022 cohorts are “no exception to this trend, bringing more cases with a higher overall net revenue per case than our 2021 cohorts did in the same period last year.