Sequential re-rating: management describes the same offering landing bigger the second and third time around
The model's full reasoning — Q2 2017 call → NOWe need to determine if management describes successive engagements of the same kind coming in at progressively larger size. The question asks: does management convey that deals, orders, contracts, projects, customers, sites, or programs it is landing NOW are individually bigger, broader, or longer than the ones it was landing for the same offering not long ago, so that each new instance of essentially the same business is worth more to the company than the last? We need to look for any statement in the transcript that indicates an escalation in unit size of repeatable business. The transcript discusses various aspects: portfolio optimization, exiting pouch products, investments in Mexican fruit processing, adding roaster and press to cocoa facility, etc. But does management say that new contracts or orders are larger than before? They talk about building pipeline, new business opportunities, but not specifically that the size of each deal is increasing. They mention "we are building the pipeline for future revenue growth" and "we continue to develop meaningful opportunities" but no comparison of deal size. They also mention "we recently launched a new line of nondairy products in a control brand format, specifically targeting food service operators" but that's a product launch, not necessarily larger deals. There is no mention of average order size increasing, customers starting at higher levels, follow-on commitments at multiples, etc. The only thing close is that they are investing in capacity expansions, but that's about their own production capacity, not about the size of customer commitments. They also mention "we have experienced growth in the contract for organic ingredients ahead of prior year" but that's just growth, not necessarily larger individual contracts. Thus, the answer is NO. The management does not convey that successive engagements are coming in at progressively larger size. They talk about building pipeline and future growth, but not about escalation of unit size. So answer NO.
| Ticker | Company | Call | Date | Call grade |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ASO | Academy Sports and Outdoors, Inc. | Q1 2024 | 2024-06-11 | C+ |
| AKYA | Akoya Biosciences, Inc. | Q2 2023 | 2023-08-07 | C+ |
| SPT | Sprout Social, Inc. | Q2 2023 | 2023-08-04 | B+ |
| SGRY | Surgery Partners, Inc. | Q2 2022 | 2022-08-02 | B+ |
| CYBR | CyberArk Software Ltd. | Q3 2021 | 2021-11-04 | B+ |
| ASAN | Asana, Inc. | Q2 2022 | 2021-09-01 | B+ |
| OWL | Blue Owl Capital Inc. | Q2 2021 | 2021-08-10 | B+ |
AKYA · Q2 2023 → YESThe question is: Does management describe that the company's SUCCESSIVE ENGAGEMENTS OF THE SAME KIND ARE COMING IN AT PROGRESSIVELY LARGER SIZE? YES The transcript shows management describing a clear pattern of escalating project sizes in the translational/clinical space. Brian notes a migration from exploratory studies (reasonable size) to larger retrospective studies and even larger retrospective-prospective ongoing clinical studies, with projects moving "further and further downstream.
ASAN · Q2 2022 → YESThe question is: Does management describe that the company's SUCCESSIVE ENGAGEMENTS OF THE SAME KIND ARE COMING IN AT PROGRESSIVELY LARGER SIZE? YES Management describes exactly this pattern. Dustin notes the company is “closing larger deals and expanding seats across departments and geographies quickly in large organizations,” and that the growth in the >$50k cohort “reflected an acceleration in our largest enterprise customers.
SGRY · Q2 2022 → YESThe question is: Does management describe that the company's SUCCESSIVE ENGAGEMENTS OF THE SAME KIND ARE COMING IN AT PROGRESSIVELY LARGER SIZE? YES The transcript shows management describing exactly this pattern for physician recruiting cohorts. Wayne notes that the 2022 cohorts are “no exception to this trend, bringing more cases with a higher overall net revenue per case than our 2021 cohorts did in the same period last year.