Sequential re-rating: management describes the same offering landing bigger the second and third time around
The model's full reasoning — Q2 2018 call → NOWe need to determine if management describes successive engagements of the same kind coming in at progressively larger size. The question asks about deals, orders, contracts, projects, customers, sites, or programs. We need to see if management conveys that the unit size of its repeatable business is escalating. Looking at the transcript, there are several mentions of growth in projects, but we need to see if there is a specific comparison against the company's own recent past for the same offering, indicating that each new instance is bigger. Key points: In Guyana, they increased estimated resources from 3.2 billion to 4 billion barrels, and they are planning up to 5 FPSOs producing over 750,000 barrels per day by 2025, up from 3 FPSOs and 500,000 barrels per day. That is an escalation in the size of the development. They also mention that they are adding a second exploration vessel, bringing total to three drillships. This is about exploration, but the development size is increasing. In the Permian, they are increasing rigs and production, but that is more about volume growth, not necessarily unit size of individual projects. In Mozambique, they are aligning on two large LNG trains each 7.6 million tons, but that is a specific project. The question is about "successive engagements of the same kind" coming in at progressively larger size. For example, in Guyana, they have multiple FPSOs planned, and the size of each FPSO is increasing? Actually, Liza Phase 1 is 120,000 bpd, Liza Phase 2 is 220,000 bpd, and Payara is 180,000 bpd. So the second phase is larger than the first, but the third is smaller than the second. However, the overall development is larger in terms of total production. But the question asks if management conveys that the deals, orders, contracts, projects, customers, sites, or programs it is landing NOW are individually bigger, broader, or longer than the ones it was landing for the same offering not long ago. So we need to see if there is a clear statement that the size of each new project is larger than previous ones.
| Ticker | Company | Call | Date | Call grade |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ASO | Academy Sports and Outdoors, Inc. | Q1 2024 | 2024-06-11 | C+ |
| AKYA | Akoya Biosciences, Inc. | Q2 2023 | 2023-08-07 | C+ |
| SPT | Sprout Social, Inc. | Q2 2023 | 2023-08-04 | B+ |
| SGRY | Surgery Partners, Inc. | Q2 2022 | 2022-08-02 | B+ |
| CYBR | CyberArk Software Ltd. | Q3 2021 | 2021-11-04 | B+ |
| ASAN | Asana, Inc. | Q2 2022 | 2021-09-01 | B+ |
| OWL | Blue Owl Capital Inc. | Q2 2021 | 2021-08-10 | B+ |
AKYA · Q2 2023 → YESThe question is: Does management describe that the company's SUCCESSIVE ENGAGEMENTS OF THE SAME KIND ARE COMING IN AT PROGRESSIVELY LARGER SIZE? YES The transcript shows management describing a clear pattern of escalating project sizes in the translational/clinical space. Brian notes a migration from exploratory studies (reasonable size) to larger retrospective studies and even larger retrospective-prospective ongoing clinical studies, with projects moving "further and further downstream.
ASAN · Q2 2022 → YESThe question is: Does management describe that the company's SUCCESSIVE ENGAGEMENTS OF THE SAME KIND ARE COMING IN AT PROGRESSIVELY LARGER SIZE? YES Management describes exactly this pattern. Dustin notes the company is “closing larger deals and expanding seats across departments and geographies quickly in large organizations,” and that the growth in the >$50k cohort “reflected an acceleration in our largest enterprise customers.
SGRY · Q2 2022 → YESThe question is: Does management describe that the company's SUCCESSIVE ENGAGEMENTS OF THE SAME KIND ARE COMING IN AT PROGRESSIVELY LARGER SIZE? YES The transcript shows management describing exactly this pattern for physician recruiting cohorts. Wayne notes that the 2022 cohorts are “no exception to this trend, bringing more cases with a higher overall net revenue per case than our 2021 cohorts did in the same period last year.