Sequential re-rating: management describes the same offering landing bigger the second and third time around
The model's full reasoning — Q2 2018 call → NOWe need to determine if management describes successive engagements of the same kind coming in at progressively larger size. The transcript discusses various growth drivers, unit development, franchise agreements, etc. We need to see if there is a clear statement about the size of deals/contracts/programs escalating over time. Key points: They mention new master franchise agreements, Telepizza alliance, unit growth. But do they say that the deals are individually larger than before? For example, they mention Sforza Holding as master franchisee for all three brands in Brazil, with significant development agreements. They also mention Taco Bell master franchise agreements with Sforza and Casual Brands Group, committed to opening more than 400 restaurants over next decade. They mention Pizza Hut Russia with AmRest. But is there a comparison to past deals? They don't explicitly say "these deals are larger than what we used to sign." They talk about unit growth acceleration, but that's volume, not size per deal. The question asks about "successive engagements of the same kind" coming in at progressively larger size. For example, if they say "our new franchise agreements are larger than previous ones" or "the average size of new contracts has increased." I don't see that. They mention the Telepizza alliance as a landmark, but they don't frame it as part of an upward drift. They say it's expected to be EBITDA neutral short-term, accretive long-term. They don't say it's larger than previous alliances. They also mention that they are 97% franchised, on track to 98%. That's about refranchising, not about deal size. They talk about unit growth: "we've moved from consistently delivering 3% to now 4% net new unit growth." That's about number of units, not size of each unit or deal. They mention "new master franchise agreements" but no comparison to past ones. Thus, no evidence of escalating unit size of deals. They are just reporting more units, more growth, but not that each individual deal is bigger. Therefore, answer NO.
| Ticker | Company | Call | Date | Call grade |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ASO | Academy Sports and Outdoors, Inc. | Q1 2024 | 2024-06-11 | C+ |
| AKYA | Akoya Biosciences, Inc. | Q2 2023 | 2023-08-07 | C+ |
| SPT | Sprout Social, Inc. | Q2 2023 | 2023-08-04 | B+ |
| SGRY | Surgery Partners, Inc. | Q2 2022 | 2022-08-02 | B+ |
| CYBR | CyberArk Software Ltd. | Q3 2021 | 2021-11-04 | B+ |
| ASAN | Asana, Inc. | Q2 2022 | 2021-09-01 | B+ |
| OWL | Blue Owl Capital Inc. | Q2 2021 | 2021-08-10 | B+ |
AKYA · Q2 2023 → YESThe question is: Does management describe that the company's SUCCESSIVE ENGAGEMENTS OF THE SAME KIND ARE COMING IN AT PROGRESSIVELY LARGER SIZE? YES The transcript shows management describing a clear pattern of escalating project sizes in the translational/clinical space. Brian notes a migration from exploratory studies (reasonable size) to larger retrospective studies and even larger retrospective-prospective ongoing clinical studies, with projects moving "further and further downstream.
ASAN · Q2 2022 → YESThe question is: Does management describe that the company's SUCCESSIVE ENGAGEMENTS OF THE SAME KIND ARE COMING IN AT PROGRESSIVELY LARGER SIZE? YES Management describes exactly this pattern. Dustin notes the company is “closing larger deals and expanding seats across departments and geographies quickly in large organizations,” and that the growth in the >$50k cohort “reflected an acceleration in our largest enterprise customers.
SGRY · Q2 2022 → YESThe question is: Does management describe that the company's SUCCESSIVE ENGAGEMENTS OF THE SAME KIND ARE COMING IN AT PROGRESSIVELY LARGER SIZE? YES The transcript shows management describing exactly this pattern for physician recruiting cohorts. Wayne notes that the 2022 cohorts are “no exception to this trend, bringing more cases with a higher overall net revenue per case than our 2021 cohorts did in the same period last year.