Stale terms, scheduled reset: the existing book is priced for a world that has moved on
The model's full reasoning — Q3 2023 call → NOWe need to determine if management describes a meaningful portion of existing business being carried at old terms below current market, with a schedule for resetting to current terms, without needing new customers. Looking at the transcript, management discusses yield declines in 2022 and how they are now stabilizing. They mention that ex-TAC gross profit was roughly in line with last year, reflecting margin compression due to ad rate declines in 2022 which have since stabilized. They expect ex-TAC to return to positive growth in Q4. This suggests that the existing business is still feeling the effects of past rate declines, but they are not describing a reset of existing contracts to higher rates. They are talking about yield expansion driven by investments in AI and technology, not about existing contracts rolling off to higher rates. The improvement is expected from new technology adoption (Max Conversions, Gen AI) and new supply (Yahoo), not from repricing existing book. The question asks: does management describe that a meaningful portion of existing business is still carried at prices set in the past below current market, and that this existing business is coming up for repricing on a schedule, so economics improve as old terms roll off? The transcript does not mention any such repricing of existing contracts. The yield decline was in 2022, and they are now seeing stabilization, but they are not saying that existing contracts are being repriced upward. They are investing in yield improvement through technology, which is a new initiative, not a reset of existing terms. Also, they mention that they expect ex-TAC to return to positive growth in Q4, but that is due to lapping easier comparables and new initiatives, not due to repricing existing book. Thus, the answer is NO.
| Ticker | Company | Call | Date | Call grade |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SNV | Synovus Financial Corp. | Q1 2024 | 2024-04-18 | B |
| FISI | Financial Institutions, Inc. | Q4 2023 | 2024-01-26 | B |
| UMBF | UMB Financial Corporation | Q3 2022 | 2022-10-26 | C+ |
| CRK | Comstock Resources, Inc. | Q2 2022 | 2022-08-02 | B+ |
| ADSK | Autodesk, Inc. | Q3 2019 | 2018-11-20 | A |
| T | AT&T Inc. | Q3 2018 | 2018-10-24 | C+ |
| DBX | Dropbox, Inc. | Q2 2018 | 2018-08-09 | B |
| ESS | Essex Property Trust, Inc. | Q2 2018 | 2018-08-03 | B+ |
| PTC | PTC Inc. | Q3 2017 | 2017-07-19 | C+ |
| BDN | Brandywine Realty Trust | Q1 2017 | 2017-04-21 | C+ |
FISI · Q4 2023 → YESThe question is about whether management describes a meaningful portion of the existing business being carried at below-current-market terms, and that it's coming up for repricing on a visible schedul...YES The transcript shows management describing exactly this situation for the company's existing loan and securities portfolios (yields rolling off) and for a meaningful portion of its deposit book (the money-market campaign with 12-month guarantees that reset in July 2024). Jack Plants explicitly ties the expected margin expansion to these scheduled repric ings and redeployments of existing cash flows, stating that the improvement is already embedded in the company's current commitments and does not require new customers or demand. This matches the criteria for a "meaningful portion" of the existing business coming up for repricing on a visible schedule. The answer is therefore YES.
PTC · Q3 2017 → YESThe question is about whether management describes a meaningful portion of the existing business being carried at below-current-market prices/terms that are coming up for repricing on a visible schedu...YES Management describes a meaningful portion of the existing business (large enterprise customers on volume purchase agreements / perpetual licenses with discounted maintenance) being carried at below-current off-the-shelf rates. These older terms are expiring on a visible schedule (many in Q4 2017), creating a compelling event where customers must either convert 50%+ ACV uplift to subscription or renew maintenance at 25% higher rates. This repricing is already embedded in the existing book and will improve economics without new customers or demand, as confirmed by the large pipeline of such opportunities and the fact that most large deals are already moving to subscription.
UMBF · Q3 2022 → YESThe question is about whether management describes a meaningful portion of the existing business being carried at below-current-market terms that will reprice/reset on a known schedule, improving econ...YES The transcript shows management describing a meaningful portion of the existing loan book carried at past terms that are now below current market levels, with repricing already scheduled: 61% of loans (~$12.1 billion) are variable-rate, 60% repricing in the next quarter and 71% within 12 months, tied to short-end indices. Loan yields rose 74 bp quarter-over-quarter to 4.46% (cycle-to-date beta 37%), and the securities portfolio is rolling off at ~1.83% yield while cash flows fund higher-yielding loans.