Stale terms, scheduled reset: the existing book is priced for a world that has moved on
The model's full reasoning — Q2 2017 call → NOWe need to determine if management describes that a meaningful portion of existing business is still at prices/rates/terms set in the past that are below current market, and that this existing business is coming up for repricing/renewal/reset on a schedule they can see, so economics improve as those older terms roll off, without needing new customers. Look at the transcript. Eric Long says: "We also improved visibility regarding demand for our services and corresponding contracting activities, well into 2018. Given this tightness, we have increased the monthly service fees we charge on many types of equipment we use to provide our services." That suggests they are raising rates on new contracts or existing? "increased the monthly service fees we charge on many types of equipment" - could be for new contracts or existing? But then later: "Forward pricing continues to be at attractive levels, and we would expect a continued tightness in the market to further positively impact pricing as we move through the balance of the year and into 2018." That is about forward pricing, not existing book. They mention "we have increased the monthly service fees we charge on many types of equipment" - that might be for new contracts. But do they talk about existing contracts rolling off and being repriced at higher rates? They talk about "contracting activity" and "new contracts" for 160,000 horsepower. They talk about "we’ve already contracted to build and take delivery of approximately 150,000 horsepower throughout the year with the majority already spoken for by our core customers." That is new business. They mention "monthly unit stops at levels below our historical average" - that's about utilization. They talk about "pricing, as measured by average revenue per revenue generating horsepower per month, was essentially flat from Q1 at $14.95." And they explain that the shift to larger horsepower lowers that metric. They don't mention that existing contracts are being repriced upward. They say "Forward pricing continues to be at attractive levels" - that's for new contracts. They don't describe a situation where existing book is at below-market rates and will reset. They talk about increasing rates on "many types of equipment" but that could be for new contracts. They don't explicitly say that existing contracts are below market and will roll off.
| Ticker | Company | Call | Date | Call grade |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SNV | Synovus Financial Corp. | Q1 2024 | 2024-04-18 | B |
| FISI | Financial Institutions, Inc. | Q4 2023 | 2024-01-26 | B |
| UMBF | UMB Financial Corporation | Q3 2022 | 2022-10-26 | C+ |
| CRK | Comstock Resources, Inc. | Q2 2022 | 2022-08-02 | B+ |
| ADSK | Autodesk, Inc. | Q3 2019 | 2018-11-20 | A |
| T | AT&T Inc. | Q3 2018 | 2018-10-24 | C+ |
| DBX | Dropbox, Inc. | Q2 2018 | 2018-08-09 | B |
| ESS | Essex Property Trust, Inc. | Q2 2018 | 2018-08-03 | B+ |
| PTC | PTC Inc. | Q3 2017 | 2017-07-19 | C+ |
| BDN | Brandywine Realty Trust | Q1 2017 | 2017-04-21 | C+ |
FISI · Q4 2023 → YESThe question is about whether management describes a meaningful portion of the existing business being carried at below-current-market terms, and that it's coming up for repricing on a visible schedul...YES The transcript shows management describing exactly this situation for the company's existing loan and securities portfolios (yields rolling off) and for a meaningful portion of its deposit book (the money-market campaign with 12-month guarantees that reset in July 2024). Jack Plants explicitly ties the expected margin expansion to these scheduled repric ings and redeployments of existing cash flows, stating that the improvement is already embedded in the company's current commitments and does not require new customers or demand. This matches the criteria for a "meaningful portion" of the existing business coming up for repricing on a visible schedule. The answer is therefore YES.
PTC · Q3 2017 → YESThe question is about whether management describes a meaningful portion of the existing business being carried at below-current-market prices/terms that are coming up for repricing on a visible schedu...YES Management describes a meaningful portion of the existing business (large enterprise customers on volume purchase agreements / perpetual licenses with discounted maintenance) being carried at below-current off-the-shelf rates. These older terms are expiring on a visible schedule (many in Q4 2017), creating a compelling event where customers must either convert 50%+ ACV uplift to subscription or renew maintenance at 25% higher rates. This repricing is already embedded in the existing book and will improve economics without new customers or demand, as confirmed by the large pipeline of such opportunities and the fact that most large deals are already moving to subscription.
UMBF · Q3 2022 → YESThe question is about whether management describes a meaningful portion of the existing business being carried at below-current-market terms that will reprice/reset on a known schedule, improving econ...YES The transcript shows management describing a meaningful portion of the existing loan book carried at past terms that are now below current market levels, with repricing already scheduled: 61% of loans (~$12.1 billion) are variable-rate, 60% repricing in the next quarter and 71% within 12 months, tied to short-end indices. Loan yields rose 74 bp quarter-over-quarter to 4.46% (cycle-to-date beta 37%), and the securities portfolio is rolling off at ~1.83% yield while cash flows fund higher-yielding loans.