Still getting better as they speak: strength that has continued or built past the reported period, tied to named live dr
The model's full reasoning — Q3 2016 call → NOWe need to determine if management conveys that positive momentum has continued or strengthened beyond the reported period, and ties it to a named, live driver. The reported period is Q3 FY16 (quarter ending around December 2015, call on Feb 18, 2016). Management discusses results. Look for statements about activity after the quarter, current order flow, etc. In the transcript, Louis Gries says: "As far as our order file right now, it's fine but remember, I think we kind of indicated last year and I know, I think we indicated earlier this year, maybe even this call I mentioned, we had a price increase last year in March and poisoned volume forward from 2016 into 2015. So we won't comp at 12% in the fourth quarter but not because their order file is off, it's because their comp is lot higher in the fourth quarter than it was in the third quarter." This indicates that current order file is fine (i.e., activity continuing) but he also mentions that the 12% volume growth was partly due to a pull-forward from a price increase last year. However, he says "not because their order file is off" – so order file is fine. But does he say it's strong or continuing at the same pace? He says it's fine. That's a bit weak. Also, he attributes the strong volume to a price increase pull-forward, which is a one-time event. However, he says the order file is fine, meaning current activity is okay. But does he tie that to a named driver? He doesn't really name a driver for the continuation; he just says order file is fine. The driver for the quarter's strength was volume and input costs, but for continuation, he doesn't identify a specific live driver. Also, earlier he says "the story on the quarter is it went very much as expected. The volumes are good, plants continue to run well." That's about the quarter. He doesn't explicitly say the strength has continued beyond the period. He mentions "our order file right now" – that suggests current activity, but he doesn't say it's strong or at or above the reported pace. He says it's fine. And he also says the next quarter is a more difficult comp because of the price increase pull-forward, implying that the volume growth will be lower. That suggests momentum might slow. So management is not conveying that strength has continued or strengthened beyond the period; they are caveating that the fourth quarter will be a tougher comp.
| Ticker | Company | Call | Date | Call grade |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| WRBY | Warby Parker Inc. | Q1 2024 | 2024-05-09 | A |
| AZEK | The AZEK Company Inc. | Q2 2024 | 2024-05-08 | B+ |
| CTRA | Coterra Energy Inc. | Q1 2024 | 2024-05-03 | A |
| PPC | Pilgrim's Pride Corporation | Q1 2024 | 2024-05-03 | A |
| CW | Curtiss-Wright Corporation | Q1 2024 | 2024-05-02 | B+ |
| ROCK | Gibraltar Industries, Inc. | Q1 2024 | 2024-05-01 | B+ |
| PDS | Precision Drilling Corporation | Q1 2024 | 2024-04-25 | B |
| ASM | Avino Silver & Gold Mines Ltd. | Q4 2023 | 2024-03-21 | C+ |
| GIII | G-III Apparel Group, Ltd. | Q4 2024 | 2024-03-14 | C |
| MNKD | MannKind Corporation | Q4 2023 | 2024-02-27 | C |
| NICE | NICE Ltd. | Q4 2023 | 2024-02-22 | B+ |
| MET | MetLife, Inc. | Q4 2023 | 2024-02-01 | B+ |
| HP | Helmerich & Payne, Inc. | Q1 2024 | 2024-01-30 | C |
| EMKR | EMCORE Corporation | Q4 2023 | 2023-12-12 | C+ |
| BRBR | BellRing Brands, Inc. | Q4 2023 | 2023-11-21 | B+ |
| SCPH | scPharmaceuticals Inc. | Q3 2023 | 2023-11-08 | B |
| CMG | Chipotle Mexican Grill, Inc. | Q3 2023 | 2023-10-27 | B+ |
| TGLS | Tecnoglass Inc. | Q2 2023 | 2023-08-08 | A |
| ET | Energy Transfer LP | Q2 2023 | 2023-08-02 | C+ |
| NMR | Nomura Holdings, Inc. | Q1 2024 | 2023-08-02 | D |
| CTO | CTO Realty Growth, Inc. | Q2 2023 | 2023-07-28 | B |
| IMAX | IMAX Corporation | Q2 2023 | 2023-07-26 | B+ |
| DAL | Delta Air Lines, Inc. | Q2 2023 | 2023-07-13 | A |
| FTHM | Fathom Holdings, Inc. | Q1 2023 | 2023-05-10 | C |
| BXSL | Blackstone Secured Lending Fund | Q1 2023 | 2023-05-10 | A |
| BRX | Brixmor Property Group Inc. | Q1 2023 | 2023-05-02 | A |
| TACT | TransAct Technologies Incorporated | Q4 2022 | 2023-03-08 | A |
| VRE | Veris Residential, Inc. | Q4 2022 | 2023-02-22 | D |
| ADPT | Adaptive Biotechnologies Corporation | Q4 2022 | 2023-02-14 | C+ |
| PI | Impinj, Inc. | Q4 2022 | 2023-02-08 | B+ |
| CNA | CNA Financial Corporation | Q4 2022 | 2023-02-06 | B |
| UAL | United Airlines Holdings, Inc. | Q4 2022 | 2023-01-18 | B |
| SIBN | SI-BONE, Inc. | Q3 2022 | 2022-11-07 | C+ |
| CHUY | Chuy's Holdings, Inc. | Q3 2022 | 2022-11-05 | C+ |
| SBGI | Sinclair Broadcast Group, Inc. | Q3 2022 | 2022-11-02 | C |
| YMM | Full Truck Alliance Co. Ltd. | Q2 2022 | 2022-08-25 | C+ |
| ASTS | AST SpaceMobile, Inc. | Q2 2022 | 2022-08-15 | D |
| TMCI | Treace Medical Concepts, Inc. | Q2 2022 | 2022-08-13 | B+ |
| WD | Walker & Dunlop, Inc. | Q2 2022 | 2022-08-09 | C+ |
| DM | Desktop Metal, Inc. | Q2 2022 | 2022-08-08 | F |
| FLR | Fluor Corporation | Q2 2022 | 2022-08-05 | D |
| XHR | Xenia Hotels & Resorts, Inc. | Q2 2022 | 2022-08-05 | A |
| CRL | Charles River Laboratories International | Q2 2022 | 2022-08-03 | C |
| IT | Gartner, Inc. | Q2 2022 | 2022-08-02 | A |
| BRKL | Brookline Bancorp, Inc. | Q2 2022 | 2022-07-30 | B+ |
| INVH | Invitation Homes Inc. | Q2 2022 | 2022-07-28 | B+ |
| CME | CME Group Inc. | Q2 2022 | 2022-07-27 | B |
| JBHT | J.B. Hunt Transport Services, Inc. | Q2 2022 | 2022-07-19 | C+ |
| OGI | OrganiGram Holdings Inc. | Q3 2022 | 2022-07-14 | B+ |
| ZVIA | Zevia PBC | Q1 2022 | 2022-05-12 | B |
| VNRX | VolitionRx Limited | Q1 2022 | 2022-05-12 | F |
| WHF | WhiteHorse Finance, Inc. | Q1 2022 | 2022-05-10 | B+ |
| HLIO | Helios Technologies, Inc. | Q1 2022 | 2022-05-10 | C |
| BFIN | BankFinancial Corporation | Q1 2022 | 2022-05-06 | A |
| CCRN | Cross Country Healthcare, Inc. | Q1 2022 | 2022-05-04 | B |
| BXP | Boston Properties, Inc. | Q1 2022 | 2022-05-03 | A |
| WRB | W. R. Berkley Corporation | Q1 2022 | 2022-04-26 | B |
| FAT | FAT Brands Inc. | Q4 2021 | 2022-03-21 | F |
| SOPH | SOPHiA GENETICS SA | Q4 2021 | 2022-03-15 | C |
| HROW | Harrow Health, Inc. | Q4 2021 | 2022-03-10 | C |
| NGVT | Ingevity Corporation | Q4 2021 | 2022-02-25 | B |
| FLUX | Flux Power Holdings, Inc. | Q2 2022 | 2022-02-10 | D |
| GTES | Gates Industrial Corporation plc | Q4 2021 | 2022-02-07 | C+ |
| EXP | Eagle Materials Inc. | Q3 2022 | 2022-01-27 | B |
| OOMA | Ooma, Inc. | Q3 2022 | 2021-12-02 | B+ |
| GFS | GLOBALFOUNDRIES Inc. | Q3 2021 | 2021-11-30 | A |
| RNW | ReNew Energy Global Plc | Q2 2022 | 2021-11-18 | C |
| LOW | Lowe's Companies, Inc. | Q3 2021 | 2021-11-17 | B+ |
| KTB | Kontoor Brands, Inc. | Q3 2021 | 2021-11-04 | A |
| SXC | SunCoke Energy, Inc. | Q3 2021 | 2021-11-01 | A |
| ASAN | Asana, Inc. | Q2 2022 | 2021-09-01 | B+ |
| TJX | The TJX Companies, Inc. | Q2 2021 | 2021-08-18 | C |
| OWL | Blue Owl Capital Inc. | Q2 2021 | 2021-08-10 | B+ |
| AMC | AMC Entertainment Holdings, Inc. | Q2 2021 | 2021-08-09 | D |
| GNK | Genco Shipping & Trading Limited | Q2 2021 | 2021-08-07 | A |
| EMR | Emerson Electric Co. | Q3 2021 | 2021-08-04 | B+ |
| ESRT | Empire State Realty Trust, Inc. | Q2 2021 | 2021-07-29 | C+ |
| UMH | UMH Properties, Inc. | Q3 2018 | 2018-11-02 | C+ |
| CUBI | Customers Bancorp, Inc. | Q3 2018 | 2018-10-26 | C+ |
| ROP | Roper Technologies, Inc. | Q2 2018 | 2018-07-26 | A |
| CP | Canadian Pacific Railway Limited | Q2 2018 | 2018-07-19 | B+ |
| LAUR | Laureate Education, Inc. | Q1 2018 | 2018-05-13 | B+ |
| FSS | Federal Signal Corporation | Q1 2018 | 2018-05-12 | A |
| ILMN | Illumina, Inc. | Q1 2018 | 2018-04-24 | A |
| HOLX | Hologic, Inc. | Q4 2017 | 2017-11-08 | D |
| LIND | Lindblad Expeditions Holdings, Inc. | Q2 2017 | 2017-08-06 | C |
| FLEX | Flex Ltd. | Q1 2018 | 2017-07-28 | F |
| BIIB | Biogen Inc. | Q2 2017 | 2017-07-25 | B |
| IONS | Ionis Pharmaceuticals, Inc. | Q1 2017 | 2017-05-09 | C |
| ICFI | ICF International, Inc. | Q1 2017 | 2017-05-06 | B+ |
| BLKB | Blackbaud, Inc. | Q1 2017 | 2017-05-02 | B+ |
| SHOO | Steven Madden, Ltd. | Q1 2017 | 2017-04-21 | C |
| ABR | Arbor Realty Trust, Inc. | Q4 2016 | 2017-03-03 | B+ |
| EVBN | Evans Bancorp, Inc. | Q4 2016 | 2017-02-06 | B+ |
| PRI | Primerica, Inc. | Q3 2016 | 2016-11-10 | B+ |
| NDSN | Nordson Corporation | Q3 2016 | 2016-08-23 | A |
| NWSA | News Corporation | Q2 2016 | 2016-08-08 | C+ |
| GEO | The GEO Group, Inc. | Q2 2016 | 2016-08-02 | B+ |
| GES | Guess?, Inc. | Q1 2017 | 2016-05-25 | F |
| ARKR | Ark Restaurants Corp. | Q1 2016 | 2016-05-13 | B |
| GOGO | Gogo Inc. | Q1 2016 | 2016-05-06 | C+ |
| ESE | ESCO Technologies Inc. | Q2 2016 | 2016-05-03 | A |
| RCL | Royal Caribbean Cruises Ltd. | Q1 2016 | 2016-04-29 | C+ |
| CAL | Caleres, Inc. | Q4 2015 | 2016-03-15 | C+ |
| HPP | Hudson Pacific Properties, Inc. | Q4 2015 | 2016-02-25 | C |
| SAN | Banco Santander, S.A. | Q4 2015 | 2016-01-27 | B |
GES · Q1 2017 → YESThe question is about whether management conveys that the business's positive momentum has continued or strengthened beyond the period being reported, tied to a named, already-live driver. YES Management describes continued strength in Europe retail comps into Q2 ("up in the low double digits... maintaining the strong momentum we have seen since the second half of last year") and ties it to a specific, live driver: improved traffic and conversion rates. The wholesale order book also finished up 3%, confirming 3% growth in orders already placed. Product improvements are explicitly named as the underlying driver ("we are having a more comprehensive collection... improve our comps by generating more traffic... improve the product that we are offering"). This meets both criteria for continuation beyond the reported period tied to a named live driver.
ILMN · Q1 2018 → YESThe question is about whether management conveys that the business's positive momentum has continued or strengthened beyond the reported period, tied to a named, already-live driver. YES Management describes the sequencing consumables business as having "very exciting" trajectory and "tremendous momentum" that is "still in place" into the rest of 2018, explicitly tied to observed drivers already generating revenue in Q1 (NovaSeq, NextSeq, microarray, consumer genomics, oncology) and 2018 activity such as "approaching 100 orders" for iSeq and "growing interest" in single-cell research. They raise guidance based on these continuing trends rather than forecasts alone, confirming the strength has extended past the reported period through live business activity.
WRB · Q1 2022 → YESThe question is: Does management convey that the business's positive momentum HAS CONTINUED OR STRENGTHENED BEYOND THE PERIOD BEING REPORTED, and tie that to at least one NAMED, ALREADY-LIVE driver? ...NO The transcript shows management expressing confidence in Q1 momentum (especially March and later-quarter submissions in specialty/E&S) and noting that "every day that we are writing business in 2022 that goes by" is positive, but this is framed as ongoing daily activity within the current year rather than observed strength beyond the 2022 Q1 close. The call is April 25, 2022, so any post-quarter commentary is limited to general market trajectory comments without specific post-period-end activity metrics.