Still getting better as they speak: strength that has continued or built past the reported period, tied to named live dr
The model's full reasoning — Q4 2022 call → NOWe need to determine if management conveys that positive momentum has continued or strengthened beyond the reported period (Q4 2022) and ties that to a named, already-live driver. From the transcript: Corning Painter says: "We had a great year in 2022... delivered fourth quarter adjusted EBITDA... record full year adjusted EBITDA... Let me start out by highlighting four key accomplishments." Then later: "we are on track to a mid cycle adjusted EBITDA capacity of $500 million." Also: "2023 is going to be even better." But that's guidance/forecast. But we need to see if they describe actual business activity continuing beyond the period. For example, in the call, they talk about "we made substantial progress in the 2023 to 2024 rubber negotiation cycle" and "Based on pricing alone, we expect rubber gross profit per tonne to increase $80 to $100 in 2023." That's forward-looking. Also they mention: "we have repurchased over 800,000 shares" - that's about buyback. But do they say that strength has continued? The phrase "we are confident in our business" and "establishing guidance" is forward-looking. They mention "the team kept the new plant in China on track" - that's about commissioning. They talk about "dual fuel flexibility in Europe" as a capability. But the question: does management convey that the improvement did not stop when the quarter closed, but is still running at the time they speak? They say "2023 is going to be even better" - that's a forecast. They also say "we are well on our way" but that's about goals. They also say "we believe our rubber contract pricing and terms are the new baseline." That suggests strength is continuing but is that observed activity? They talk about "rubber volume was up 3% in the year" but for Q4 they say "despite a small decline in volume" in consolidated? Actually Q4 volume decreased? They say "despite a small decline in volume" but that's for Q4. However, for the full year, rubber volume was up.
| Ticker | Company | Call | Date | Call grade |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| WRBY | Warby Parker Inc. | Q1 2024 | 2024-05-09 | A |
| AZEK | The AZEK Company Inc. | Q2 2024 | 2024-05-08 | B+ |
| CTRA | Coterra Energy Inc. | Q1 2024 | 2024-05-03 | A |
| PPC | Pilgrim's Pride Corporation | Q1 2024 | 2024-05-03 | A |
| CW | Curtiss-Wright Corporation | Q1 2024 | 2024-05-02 | B+ |
| ROCK | Gibraltar Industries, Inc. | Q1 2024 | 2024-05-01 | B+ |
| PDS | Precision Drilling Corporation | Q1 2024 | 2024-04-25 | B |
| ASM | Avino Silver & Gold Mines Ltd. | Q4 2023 | 2024-03-21 | C+ |
| GIII | G-III Apparel Group, Ltd. | Q4 2024 | 2024-03-14 | C |
| MNKD | MannKind Corporation | Q4 2023 | 2024-02-27 | C |
| NICE | NICE Ltd. | Q4 2023 | 2024-02-22 | B+ |
| MET | MetLife, Inc. | Q4 2023 | 2024-02-01 | B+ |
| HP | Helmerich & Payne, Inc. | Q1 2024 | 2024-01-30 | C |
| EMKR | EMCORE Corporation | Q4 2023 | 2023-12-12 | C+ |
| BRBR | BellRing Brands, Inc. | Q4 2023 | 2023-11-21 | B+ |
| SCPH | scPharmaceuticals Inc. | Q3 2023 | 2023-11-08 | B |
| CMG | Chipotle Mexican Grill, Inc. | Q3 2023 | 2023-10-27 | B+ |
| TGLS | Tecnoglass Inc. | Q2 2023 | 2023-08-08 | A |
| ET | Energy Transfer LP | Q2 2023 | 2023-08-02 | C+ |
| NMR | Nomura Holdings, Inc. | Q1 2024 | 2023-08-02 | D |
| CTO | CTO Realty Growth, Inc. | Q2 2023 | 2023-07-28 | B |
| IMAX | IMAX Corporation | Q2 2023 | 2023-07-26 | B+ |
| DAL | Delta Air Lines, Inc. | Q2 2023 | 2023-07-13 | A |
| FTHM | Fathom Holdings, Inc. | Q1 2023 | 2023-05-10 | C |
| BXSL | Blackstone Secured Lending Fund | Q1 2023 | 2023-05-10 | A |
| BRX | Brixmor Property Group Inc. | Q1 2023 | 2023-05-02 | A |
| TACT | TransAct Technologies Incorporated | Q4 2022 | 2023-03-08 | A |
| VRE | Veris Residential, Inc. | Q4 2022 | 2023-02-22 | D |
| ADPT | Adaptive Biotechnologies Corporation | Q4 2022 | 2023-02-14 | C+ |
| PI | Impinj, Inc. | Q4 2022 | 2023-02-08 | B+ |
| CNA | CNA Financial Corporation | Q4 2022 | 2023-02-06 | B |
| UAL | United Airlines Holdings, Inc. | Q4 2022 | 2023-01-18 | B |
| SIBN | SI-BONE, Inc. | Q3 2022 | 2022-11-07 | C+ |
| CHUY | Chuy's Holdings, Inc. | Q3 2022 | 2022-11-05 | C+ |
| SBGI | Sinclair Broadcast Group, Inc. | Q3 2022 | 2022-11-02 | C |
| YMM | Full Truck Alliance Co. Ltd. | Q2 2022 | 2022-08-25 | C+ |
| ASTS | AST SpaceMobile, Inc. | Q2 2022 | 2022-08-15 | D |
| TMCI | Treace Medical Concepts, Inc. | Q2 2022 | 2022-08-13 | B+ |
| WD | Walker & Dunlop, Inc. | Q2 2022 | 2022-08-09 | C+ |
| DM | Desktop Metal, Inc. | Q2 2022 | 2022-08-08 | F |
| FLR | Fluor Corporation | Q2 2022 | 2022-08-05 | D |
| XHR | Xenia Hotels & Resorts, Inc. | Q2 2022 | 2022-08-05 | A |
| CRL | Charles River Laboratories International | Q2 2022 | 2022-08-03 | C |
| IT | Gartner, Inc. | Q2 2022 | 2022-08-02 | A |
| BRKL | Brookline Bancorp, Inc. | Q2 2022 | 2022-07-30 | B+ |
| INVH | Invitation Homes Inc. | Q2 2022 | 2022-07-28 | B+ |
| CME | CME Group Inc. | Q2 2022 | 2022-07-27 | B |
| JBHT | J.B. Hunt Transport Services, Inc. | Q2 2022 | 2022-07-19 | C+ |
| OGI | OrganiGram Holdings Inc. | Q3 2022 | 2022-07-14 | B+ |
| ZVIA | Zevia PBC | Q1 2022 | 2022-05-12 | B |
| VNRX | VolitionRx Limited | Q1 2022 | 2022-05-12 | F |
| WHF | WhiteHorse Finance, Inc. | Q1 2022 | 2022-05-10 | B+ |
| HLIO | Helios Technologies, Inc. | Q1 2022 | 2022-05-10 | C |
| BFIN | BankFinancial Corporation | Q1 2022 | 2022-05-06 | A |
| CCRN | Cross Country Healthcare, Inc. | Q1 2022 | 2022-05-04 | B |
| BXP | Boston Properties, Inc. | Q1 2022 | 2022-05-03 | A |
| WRB | W. R. Berkley Corporation | Q1 2022 | 2022-04-26 | B |
| FAT | FAT Brands Inc. | Q4 2021 | 2022-03-21 | F |
| SOPH | SOPHiA GENETICS SA | Q4 2021 | 2022-03-15 | C |
| HROW | Harrow Health, Inc. | Q4 2021 | 2022-03-10 | C |
| NGVT | Ingevity Corporation | Q4 2021 | 2022-02-25 | B |
| FLUX | Flux Power Holdings, Inc. | Q2 2022 | 2022-02-10 | D |
| GTES | Gates Industrial Corporation plc | Q4 2021 | 2022-02-07 | C+ |
| EXP | Eagle Materials Inc. | Q3 2022 | 2022-01-27 | B |
| OOMA | Ooma, Inc. | Q3 2022 | 2021-12-02 | B+ |
| GFS | GLOBALFOUNDRIES Inc. | Q3 2021 | 2021-11-30 | A |
| RNW | ReNew Energy Global Plc | Q2 2022 | 2021-11-18 | C |
| LOW | Lowe's Companies, Inc. | Q3 2021 | 2021-11-17 | B+ |
| KTB | Kontoor Brands, Inc. | Q3 2021 | 2021-11-04 | A |
| SXC | SunCoke Energy, Inc. | Q3 2021 | 2021-11-01 | A |
| ASAN | Asana, Inc. | Q2 2022 | 2021-09-01 | B+ |
| TJX | The TJX Companies, Inc. | Q2 2021 | 2021-08-18 | C |
| OWL | Blue Owl Capital Inc. | Q2 2021 | 2021-08-10 | B+ |
| AMC | AMC Entertainment Holdings, Inc. | Q2 2021 | 2021-08-09 | D |
| GNK | Genco Shipping & Trading Limited | Q2 2021 | 2021-08-07 | A |
| EMR | Emerson Electric Co. | Q3 2021 | 2021-08-04 | B+ |
| ESRT | Empire State Realty Trust, Inc. | Q2 2021 | 2021-07-29 | C+ |
| UMH | UMH Properties, Inc. | Q3 2018 | 2018-11-02 | C+ |
| CUBI | Customers Bancorp, Inc. | Q3 2018 | 2018-10-26 | C+ |
| ROP | Roper Technologies, Inc. | Q2 2018 | 2018-07-26 | A |
| CP | Canadian Pacific Railway Limited | Q2 2018 | 2018-07-19 | B+ |
| LAUR | Laureate Education, Inc. | Q1 2018 | 2018-05-13 | B+ |
| FSS | Federal Signal Corporation | Q1 2018 | 2018-05-12 | A |
| ILMN | Illumina, Inc. | Q1 2018 | 2018-04-24 | A |
| HOLX | Hologic, Inc. | Q4 2017 | 2017-11-08 | D |
| LIND | Lindblad Expeditions Holdings, Inc. | Q2 2017 | 2017-08-06 | C |
| FLEX | Flex Ltd. | Q1 2018 | 2017-07-28 | F |
| BIIB | Biogen Inc. | Q2 2017 | 2017-07-25 | B |
| IONS | Ionis Pharmaceuticals, Inc. | Q1 2017 | 2017-05-09 | C |
| ICFI | ICF International, Inc. | Q1 2017 | 2017-05-06 | B+ |
| BLKB | Blackbaud, Inc. | Q1 2017 | 2017-05-02 | B+ |
| SHOO | Steven Madden, Ltd. | Q1 2017 | 2017-04-21 | C |
| ABR | Arbor Realty Trust, Inc. | Q4 2016 | 2017-03-03 | B+ |
| EVBN | Evans Bancorp, Inc. | Q4 2016 | 2017-02-06 | B+ |
| PRI | Primerica, Inc. | Q3 2016 | 2016-11-10 | B+ |
| NDSN | Nordson Corporation | Q3 2016 | 2016-08-23 | A |
| NWSA | News Corporation | Q2 2016 | 2016-08-08 | C+ |
| GEO | The GEO Group, Inc. | Q2 2016 | 2016-08-02 | B+ |
| GES | Guess?, Inc. | Q1 2017 | 2016-05-25 | F |
| ARKR | Ark Restaurants Corp. | Q1 2016 | 2016-05-13 | B |
| GOGO | Gogo Inc. | Q1 2016 | 2016-05-06 | C+ |
| ESE | ESCO Technologies Inc. | Q2 2016 | 2016-05-03 | A |
| RCL | Royal Caribbean Cruises Ltd. | Q1 2016 | 2016-04-29 | C+ |
| CAL | Caleres, Inc. | Q4 2015 | 2016-03-15 | C+ |
| HPP | Hudson Pacific Properties, Inc. | Q4 2015 | 2016-02-25 | C |
| SAN | Banco Santander, S.A. | Q4 2015 | 2016-01-27 | B |
GES · Q1 2017 → YESThe question is about whether management conveys that the business's positive momentum has continued or strengthened beyond the period being reported, tied to a named, already-live driver. YES Management describes continued strength in Europe retail comps into Q2 ("up in the low double digits... maintaining the strong momentum we have seen since the second half of last year") and ties it to a specific, live driver: improved traffic and conversion rates. The wholesale order book also finished up 3%, confirming 3% growth in orders already placed. Product improvements are explicitly named as the underlying driver ("we are having a more comprehensive collection... improve our comps by generating more traffic... improve the product that we are offering"). This meets both criteria for continuation beyond the reported period tied to a named live driver.
ILMN · Q1 2018 → YESThe question is about whether management conveys that the business's positive momentum has continued or strengthened beyond the reported period, tied to a named, already-live driver. YES Management describes the sequencing consumables business as having "very exciting" trajectory and "tremendous momentum" that is "still in place" into the rest of 2018, explicitly tied to observed drivers already generating revenue in Q1 (NovaSeq, NextSeq, microarray, consumer genomics, oncology) and 2018 activity such as "approaching 100 orders" for iSeq and "growing interest" in single-cell research. They raise guidance based on these continuing trends rather than forecasts alone, confirming the strength has extended past the reported period through live business activity.
WRB · Q1 2022 → YESThe question is: Does management convey that the business's positive momentum HAS CONTINUED OR STRENGTHENED BEYOND THE PERIOD BEING REPORTED, and tie that to at least one NAMED, ALREADY-LIVE driver? ...NO The transcript shows management expressing confidence in Q1 momentum (especially March and later-quarter submissions in specialty/E&S) and noting that "every day that we are writing business in 2022 that goes by" is positive, but this is framed as ongoing daily activity within the current year rather than observed strength beyond the 2022 Q1 close. The call is April 25, 2022, so any post-quarter commentary is limited to general market trajectory comments without specific post-period-end activity metrics.