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Still getting better as they speak

Still getting better as they speak: strength that has continued or built past the reported period, tied to named live dr

Calls Tested
487
Answered YES
106
Hit Rate
21.8%
rare by design

UGI Corporation (UGI) — this company's answers

NO on the Q3 2022 call 2022-08-04 F
The model's full reasoning — Q3 2022 call → NO我们根据提供的财报电话会议记录来判断。管理层是否传达了业务积极势头在报告期后持续或加强,并且是否将这种持续性与至少一个已命名的、活跃的驱动因素联系起来。 首先,报告期是2022财年第三季度(截至2022年6月30日左右)。电话会议日期是2022年8月4日,所以报告期后大约一个月。 在电话会议中,管理层讨论了第三季度业绩,并展望了第四季度和2023财年。他们提到了一些积极因素,比如公用事业部门的客户增长、基础设施投资、以及中游和营销部门的强劲表现。但我们需要寻找的是:管理层是否明确表示这种强劲势头在报告期后仍在继续,并且是否指出了具体的、已经存在的驱动因素。 检查具体内容: - 罗杰·佩罗(Roger Perrault)在开场白中说:“基于年初至今的业绩和我们对第四季度的预期,我们现在预计将处于2022财年指导范围2.90至3.00美元的下限或略低于下限。”这暗示第四季度可能较弱,但并没有明确说势头在继续。 - 关于公用事业部门,他说:“公用事业部门……仍有望在本财年部署创纪录的资本支出。”这是关于资本支出,不是关于业务活动持续强劲。 - 关于中游和营销部门,泰德·贾斯特泽布斯基(Ted Jastrzebski)提到:“中游和营销部门报告EBIT为4400万美元,而去年同期为2100万美元。总利润和营业收入均增加了2400万美元,原因是商品营销利润增加了400万美元,UGI Moraine East增加了500万美元,以及容量管理合同增加了约1500万美元。”然后他说:“容量管理利润主要受到某些多年期对冲合约的结算时间影响,预计在即将到来的冬季从存储中提取天然气时会逆转。”这意味着这种强劲表现部分是由于一次性结算,预计会逆转,所以不是持续的。 - 关于能源营销业务,罗杰说:“我们预计大约20%的年初至今EBIT损失将在第四财季恢复。”这是关于损失恢复,不是关于持续强劲。 - 关于国际LPG业务,泰德提到:“国际LPG业务报告EBIT为2600万美元,而去年同期为4100万美元。零售量下降了7%,原因是天气比去年同期温暖约29%。”所以这是下降,不是强劲。 - 关于AmeriGas,泰德说:“AmeriGas报告亏损1000万美元,而去年同期EBIT为1100万美元。”所以是亏损。 因此,整体上,第三季度业绩是混合的,有些部门强劲(如公用事业、中游),有些部门疲软(如AmeriGas、国际LPG)。管理层没有明确表示强劲势头在报告期后继续。他们提到了对第四季度的预期,但那是指导,不是已观察到的活动。 关于驱动因素,他们提到了公用事业的客户增长、基础设施投资等,但并没有说这些在报告期后仍在继续。他们提到了中游的容量管理合同,但说会逆转。 此外,管理层提到了战略审查和成本削减,但那是应对挑战,不是持续强劲。 因此,没有证据表明管理层传达了“积极势头在报告期后持续或加强”这一现象。他们更多是在讨论挑战和应对措施。 所以答案应为NO。

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Show the exact prompt the model was given
Using ONLY the supplied earnings call transcript and no outside information: On this call, does management convey that the business's positive momentum HAS CONTINUED OR STRENGTHENED BEYOND THE PERIOD BEING REPORTED — that the improvement did not stop when the quarter closed, but is still running at the time management is speaking — AND does management tie that continuing strength to at least one NAMED, ALREADY-LIVE driver of the business rather than to hopes about conditions? Answer YES when management's own words convey BOTH halves of this one phenomenon, in whatever form fits the business: (1) STRENGTH THAT EXTENDS PAST THE REPORTED PERIOD. Management describes real business activity — such as orders, sales, bookings, customers, volumes, traffic, utilization, output, or wins — as having remained strong or gotten stronger in the latter part of the reported period AND/OR in the weeks since it ended, so that the pace at which the business is running NOW is at or above the level the reported results show. Any genuine expression of this counts, for example: momentum described as continuing or accelerating into the current quarter; activity since period-end described as strong, building, or ahead of the reported pace; trends that strengthened as the period progressed and are described as still in place; or management stating that what drove the quarter is still happening as they speak. The continuation must be presented as something already observed in actual business activity — not merely as guidance, a forecast, or general confidence about the year. (2) A NAMED, LIVE DRIVER BEHIND IT. When management explains why the strength is continuing, it points to at least one specific, identifiable driver that already exists and is already producing — such as a particular product, service, offering, customer or customer group, contract or program, market, channel, capability, or capacity that is currently generating the activity — rather than resting the continuation on hoped-for market recovery, seasonality, macro improvement, or generic optimism. The driver may take whatever form fits the industry; what matters is that management can say, in concrete terms, what is producing the ongoing strength and that it is in motion now. Answer NO if the reported period is weak, mixed, or merely stabilizing, so there is no strength to continue. NO if management describes the strong period but says nothing about activity continuing at or above that pace beyond it — a good quarter with only routine guidance is not this phenomenon. NO if the continuation is expressed only through forecasts, targets, pipeline, or hoped-for conditions rather than through observed activity. NO if management itself attributes the strength mainly to a one-time event, catch-up, pull-forward, easy comparison, or temporary condition it expects to fade, or describes momentum as slowing or normalizing. NO if the continuing strength is asserted only in generic terms ("momentum remains strong") with no identifiable live driver behind it anywhere on the call. NO if the continuation appears only in an analyst's question or model that management does not itself affirm. Use only the supplied transcript. Answer only YES or NO.

Companies that answered YES

TickerCompanyCallDateCall grade
WRBY Warby Parker Inc. Q1 2024 2024-05-09 A
AZEK The AZEK Company Inc. Q2 2024 2024-05-08 B+
CTRA Coterra Energy Inc. Q1 2024 2024-05-03 A
PPC Pilgrim's Pride Corporation Q1 2024 2024-05-03 A
CW Curtiss-Wright Corporation Q1 2024 2024-05-02 B+
ROCK Gibraltar Industries, Inc. Q1 2024 2024-05-01 B+
PDS Precision Drilling Corporation Q1 2024 2024-04-25 B
ASM Avino Silver & Gold Mines Ltd. Q4 2023 2024-03-21 C+
GIII G-III Apparel Group, Ltd. Q4 2024 2024-03-14 C
MNKD MannKind Corporation Q4 2023 2024-02-27 C
NICE NICE Ltd. Q4 2023 2024-02-22 B+
MET MetLife, Inc. Q4 2023 2024-02-01 B+
HP Helmerich & Payne, Inc. Q1 2024 2024-01-30 C
EMKR EMCORE Corporation Q4 2023 2023-12-12 C+
BRBR BellRing Brands, Inc. Q4 2023 2023-11-21 B+
SCPH scPharmaceuticals Inc. Q3 2023 2023-11-08 B
CMG Chipotle Mexican Grill, Inc. Q3 2023 2023-10-27 B+
TGLS Tecnoglass Inc. Q2 2023 2023-08-08 A
ET Energy Transfer LP Q2 2023 2023-08-02 C+
NMR Nomura Holdings, Inc. Q1 2024 2023-08-02 D
CTO CTO Realty Growth, Inc. Q2 2023 2023-07-28 B
IMAX IMAX Corporation Q2 2023 2023-07-26 B+
DAL Delta Air Lines, Inc. Q2 2023 2023-07-13 A
FTHM Fathom Holdings, Inc. Q1 2023 2023-05-10 C
BXSL Blackstone Secured Lending Fund Q1 2023 2023-05-10 A
BRX Brixmor Property Group Inc. Q1 2023 2023-05-02 A
TACT TransAct Technologies Incorporated Q4 2022 2023-03-08 A
VRE Veris Residential, Inc. Q4 2022 2023-02-22 D
ADPT Adaptive Biotechnologies Corporation Q4 2022 2023-02-14 C+
PI Impinj, Inc. Q4 2022 2023-02-08 B+
CNA CNA Financial Corporation Q4 2022 2023-02-06 B
UAL United Airlines Holdings, Inc. Q4 2022 2023-01-18 B
SIBN SI-BONE, Inc. Q3 2022 2022-11-07 C+
CHUY Chuy's Holdings, Inc. Q3 2022 2022-11-05 C+
SBGI Sinclair Broadcast Group, Inc. Q3 2022 2022-11-02 C
YMM Full Truck Alliance Co. Ltd. Q2 2022 2022-08-25 C+
ASTS AST SpaceMobile, Inc. Q2 2022 2022-08-15 D
TMCI Treace Medical Concepts, Inc. Q2 2022 2022-08-13 B+
WD Walker & Dunlop, Inc. Q2 2022 2022-08-09 C+
DM Desktop Metal, Inc. Q2 2022 2022-08-08 F
FLR Fluor Corporation Q2 2022 2022-08-05 D
XHR Xenia Hotels & Resorts, Inc. Q2 2022 2022-08-05 A
CRL Charles River Laboratories International Q2 2022 2022-08-03 C
IT Gartner, Inc. Q2 2022 2022-08-02 A
BRKL Brookline Bancorp, Inc. Q2 2022 2022-07-30 B+
INVH Invitation Homes Inc. Q2 2022 2022-07-28 B+
CME CME Group Inc. Q2 2022 2022-07-27 B
JBHT J.B. Hunt Transport Services, Inc. Q2 2022 2022-07-19 C+
OGI OrganiGram Holdings Inc. Q3 2022 2022-07-14 B+
ZVIA Zevia PBC Q1 2022 2022-05-12 B
VNRX VolitionRx Limited Q1 2022 2022-05-12 F
WHF WhiteHorse Finance, Inc. Q1 2022 2022-05-10 B+
HLIO Helios Technologies, Inc. Q1 2022 2022-05-10 C
BFIN BankFinancial Corporation Q1 2022 2022-05-06 A
CCRN Cross Country Healthcare, Inc. Q1 2022 2022-05-04 B
BXP Boston Properties, Inc. Q1 2022 2022-05-03 A
WRB W. R. Berkley Corporation Q1 2022 2022-04-26 B
FAT FAT Brands Inc. Q4 2021 2022-03-21 F
SOPH SOPHiA GENETICS SA Q4 2021 2022-03-15 C
HROW Harrow Health, Inc. Q4 2021 2022-03-10 C
NGVT Ingevity Corporation Q4 2021 2022-02-25 B
FLUX Flux Power Holdings, Inc. Q2 2022 2022-02-10 D
GTES Gates Industrial Corporation plc Q4 2021 2022-02-07 C+
EXP Eagle Materials Inc. Q3 2022 2022-01-27 B
OOMA Ooma, Inc. Q3 2022 2021-12-02 B+
GFS GLOBALFOUNDRIES Inc. Q3 2021 2021-11-30 A
RNW ReNew Energy Global Plc Q2 2022 2021-11-18 C
LOW Lowe's Companies, Inc. Q3 2021 2021-11-17 B+
KTB Kontoor Brands, Inc. Q3 2021 2021-11-04 A
SXC SunCoke Energy, Inc. Q3 2021 2021-11-01 A
ASAN Asana, Inc. Q2 2022 2021-09-01 B+
TJX The TJX Companies, Inc. Q2 2021 2021-08-18 C
OWL Blue Owl Capital Inc. Q2 2021 2021-08-10 B+
AMC AMC Entertainment Holdings, Inc. Q2 2021 2021-08-09 D
GNK Genco Shipping & Trading Limited Q2 2021 2021-08-07 A
EMR Emerson Electric Co. Q3 2021 2021-08-04 B+
ESRT Empire State Realty Trust, Inc. Q2 2021 2021-07-29 C+
UMH UMH Properties, Inc. Q3 2018 2018-11-02 C+
CUBI Customers Bancorp, Inc. Q3 2018 2018-10-26 C+
ROP Roper Technologies, Inc. Q2 2018 2018-07-26 A
CP Canadian Pacific Railway Limited Q2 2018 2018-07-19 B+
LAUR Laureate Education, Inc. Q1 2018 2018-05-13 B+
FSS Federal Signal Corporation Q1 2018 2018-05-12 A
ILMN Illumina, Inc. Q1 2018 2018-04-24 A
HOLX Hologic, Inc. Q4 2017 2017-11-08 D
LIND Lindblad Expeditions Holdings, Inc. Q2 2017 2017-08-06 C
FLEX Flex Ltd. Q1 2018 2017-07-28 F
BIIB Biogen Inc. Q2 2017 2017-07-25 B
IONS Ionis Pharmaceuticals, Inc. Q1 2017 2017-05-09 C
ICFI ICF International, Inc. Q1 2017 2017-05-06 B+
BLKB Blackbaud, Inc. Q1 2017 2017-05-02 B+
SHOO Steven Madden, Ltd. Q1 2017 2017-04-21 C
ABR Arbor Realty Trust, Inc. Q4 2016 2017-03-03 B+
EVBN Evans Bancorp, Inc. Q4 2016 2017-02-06 B+
PRI Primerica, Inc. Q3 2016 2016-11-10 B+
NDSN Nordson Corporation Q3 2016 2016-08-23 A
NWSA News Corporation Q2 2016 2016-08-08 C+
GEO The GEO Group, Inc. Q2 2016 2016-08-02 B+
GES Guess?, Inc. Q1 2017 2016-05-25 F
ARKR Ark Restaurants Corp. Q1 2016 2016-05-13 B
GOGO Gogo Inc. Q1 2016 2016-05-06 C+
ESE ESCO Technologies Inc. Q2 2016 2016-05-03 A
RCL Royal Caribbean Cruises Ltd. Q1 2016 2016-04-29 C+
CAL Caleres, Inc. Q4 2015 2016-03-15 C+
HPP Hudson Pacific Properties, Inc. Q4 2015 2016-02-25 C
SAN Banco Santander, S.A. Q4 2015 2016-01-27 B

How the model reasoned

GES · Q1 2017 → YESThe question is about whether management conveys that the business's positive momentum has continued or strengthened beyond the period being reported, tied to a named, already-live driver. YES Management describes continued strength in Europe retail comps into Q2 ("up in the low double digits... maintaining the strong momentum we have seen since the second half of last year") and ties it to a specific, live driver: improved traffic and conversion rates. The wholesale order book also finished up 3%, confirming 3% growth in orders already placed. Product improvements are explicitly named as the underlying driver ("we are having a more comprehensive collection... improve our comps by generating more traffic... improve the product that we are offering"). This meets both criteria for continuation beyond the reported period tied to a named live driver.
ILMN · Q1 2018 → YESThe question is about whether management conveys that the business's positive momentum has continued or strengthened beyond the reported period, tied to a named, already-live driver. YES Management describes the sequencing consumables business as having "very exciting" trajectory and "tremendous momentum" that is "still in place" into the rest of 2018, explicitly tied to observed drivers already generating revenue in Q1 (NovaSeq, NextSeq, microarray, consumer genomics, oncology) and 2018 activity such as "approaching 100 orders" for iSeq and "growing interest" in single-cell research. They raise guidance based on these continuing trends rather than forecasts alone, confirming the strength has extended past the reported period through live business activity.
WRB · Q1 2022 → YESThe question is: Does management convey that the business's positive momentum HAS CONTINUED OR STRENGTHENED BEYOND THE PERIOD BEING REPORTED, and tie that to at least one NAMED, ALREADY-LIVE driver? ...NO The transcript shows management expressing confidence in Q1 momentum (especially March and later-quarter submissions in specialty/E&S) and noting that "every day that we are writing business in 2022 that goes by" is positive, but this is framed as ongoing daily activity within the current year rather than observed strength beyond the 2022 Q1 close. The call is April 25, 2022, so any post-quarter commentary is limited to general market trajectory comments without specific post-period-end activity metrics.

More from the question bank

Young streak off a low baseSecond demand front open and fundedSold out of itselfSomeone else's clock has started running agaThe hard part is already doneReality beat their plan and they're leaning All questions →
Not investment advice. Artul.ai publishes AI-generated earnings-call quality grades and expected-volatility estimates — never buy or sell recommendations. We tested over 1,600 predictive hypotheses against 165,000 transcripts; the honest result, including what failed, is documented in our methodology.