Question Bank › The leak is fixed: the company is keeping what i

The leak is fixed: the company is keeping what it used to lose

Calls Tested
463
Answered YES
5
Hit Rate
1.1%
rare by design

CoreCivic, Inc. (CXW) — this company's answers

NO on the Q3 2021 call 2021-11-09 C
The model's full reasoning — Q3 2021 call → NOWe need to determine if management conveys that the company has recently and materially reduced the rate at which it loses what it already has—customers, revenue, product, or people. The question asks for a coherent development where the company is now keeping customers, revenue, product, or people that it used to lose, and this is already observable. Looking at the transcript, management discusses various aspects: occupancy rates, staffing challenges, contract renewals, etc. They mention that they are increasing staffing levels in anticipation of higher utilization. They talk about contract expirations with US Marshals, and they have resolved some, but others expired. They mention that they are in discussions for new contracts. They also discuss the impact of COVID-19 on populations. Key points: They mention that occupancy increased slightly compared to prior year. They talk about staffing challenges and wage increases. They mention that they have been able to get per diem increases. They also discuss the sale of non-core assets and debt reduction. But the question specifically asks about reducing the rate of losing what they already have—like customer churn, retention, etc. In the transcript, there is no explicit statement about reducing churn or retention improvements. They talk about contract expirations and renewals, but they don't say that they are losing fewer contracts than before. They mention that they have resolved two of the four 2021 contract expirations, but they also had one expire and not renewed. They are in discussions for others. There is no statement that they are retaining customers at a higher rate than historically. They also talk about staffing challenges, but that's about attracting employees, not retaining them. They mention that they are providing wage increases and incentives to attract and retain staff, but they don't say that employee turnover has decreased. The question asks: "Does management convey that the company has RECENTLY AND MATERIALLY REDUCED THE RATE AT WHICH IT LOSES WHAT IT ALREADY HAS?" The answer should be YES only if management explicitly describes such a change. In the transcript, there is no such claim. They talk about occupancy increasing slightly, but that's not about retention of customers; it's about utilization. They talk about contract expirations and new contracts, but not about a reduction in churn.

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Show the exact prompt the model was given
Using ONLY the supplied earnings call transcript and no outside information: On this call, does management convey that the company has RECENTLY AND MATERIALLY REDUCED THE RATE AT WHICH IT LOSES WHAT IT ALREADY HAS — that is, an outflow of customers, revenue, product, or people that the company historically experienced has narrowed in a way management treats as a real and durable change in the business, grounded in something the company did or fixed? Answer YES when management's own words convey, in whatever form fits the business, ONE coherent development: the company is now keeping customers, revenue, product, or people that it used to lose, and this is already observable in the current business. The outflow may take whatever form fits the industry, and any genuine expression of this counts — for example: customers cancelling, not renewing, or drifting away at materially lower rates than before; renewal, retention, repeat, or reorder behavior stepping up beyond the company's own historical norm; revenue or contracts that used to roll off now continuing; products being returned, failing, or generating claims or rework at materially lower rates; patients, subscribers, or members staying on longer than they used to; tenants, distributors, or partners defecting less; employees or key people quitting at markedly lower rates. Management should present the improvement as (a) a CHANGE from the company's own past experience — not merely a standing feature of the business, and not merely better than competitors or better than feared — and (b) something with a reason behind it that management believes will hold — such as a product, quality, reliability, service, or fit problem that was fixed, a change in who the company serves or how it serves them, or a structural feature now binding customers more tightly — rather than as a lucky quarter. Answer NO if the company simply reports strong retention, loyalty, low churn, or low returns as an ongoing feature of the business with no described improvement versus its own past. NO if the improvement is attributed mainly to a price increase masking losses, a shift in customer or business mix, a one-time event, or normal seasonality. NO if the reduced outflow is only hoped for, targeted, or expected in future periods rather than already observed. NO if the only improvement described is in winning NEW business, with nothing about losing less of what the company already has. NO if the idea appears only in an analyst's question that management does not itself affirm. Use only the supplied transcript. Answer only YES or NO.

Companies that answered YES

TickerCompanyCallDateCall grade
LRN Stride, Inc. Q1 2019 2018-10-23 B
MKC McCormick & Company, Incorporated Q2 2018 2018-06-28 C+
BCOV Brightcove Inc. Q1 2018 2018-04-26 B+
TOUR Tuniu Corporation Q4 2017 2018-03-14 D
BCH Banco de Chile Q3 2016 2016-10-30 B+

How the model reasoned

MKC · Q2 2018 → YESThe question is: Does management convey that the company has RECENTLY AND MATERIALLY REDUCED THE RATE AT WHICH IT LOSES WHAT IT ALREADY HAS — like customers, revenue, product, or people? **YES** Management explicitly describes stabilizing French's mustard distribution points after years of decline, framing it as a reversal of inherited losses through category management efforts (removing duplicative secondary brands, expanding French's share).
BCOV · Q1 2018 → YESThe question is: Does management convey that the company has RECENTLY AND MATERIALLY REDUCED THE RATE AT WHICH IT LOSES WHAT IT ALREADY HAS — like customers, revenue, etc., a real and durable change. ...YES The transcript shows management explicitly linking the 103% recurring dollar retention rate (a multi-year high) to the completion of the commodity pricing reset in the media business.
LRN · Q1 2019 → YESThe question is: Does management convey that the company has RECENTLY AND MATERIALLY REDUCED THE RATE AT WHICH IT LOSES WHAT IT ALREADY HAS — like reduced churn or improved retention that's a real cha...

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Not investment advice. Artul.ai publishes AI-generated earnings-call quality grades and expected-volatility estimates — never buy or sell recommendations. We tested over 1,600 predictive hypotheses against 165,000 transcripts; the honest result, including what failed, is documented in our methodology.