Young streak off a low base: a short run of consecutive-period improvement has just started, after a stretch that gave i
The model's full reasoning — Q3 2018 call → NOWe need answer based on transcript. Need determine if management conveys short young run of consecutive periods of improvement in part of business that until recently unimpressive, causes company-specific still in force. Need YES/NO. Let's parse transcript. Management discusses several things: deposit growth in Q3 accelerated, C&I growth, consumer launch, margin trough expected to expand, BankMobile losses expected not exceed Q4, etc. Need find a part of business with prior unimpressive stretch, then recent succession of periods improvement. Candidate: deposits? "core deposit growth as part of strategy accelerated immensely in Q3 2018" with reasons. But only one quarter? They say demand deposits increased 38% QoQ, etc. Not necessarily multiple periods consecutive. Also "CB digital bank... generating approx $52M to $100M a month in core deposit growth." But not a run of quarters. BankMobile? It had losses adjusted operating loss of $3.6M in Q3; expect Q4 loss not to exceed. That implies losses narrowing? But only Q3 and Q4 expected, not already occurred. Also "BankMobile deposits averaged about $500M in Q3" and "continue to see average deposits grow." But profitability? They expect losses stop by end next year. Not a run of improvement already. C&I lending? "15% year-over-year growth" not sequential. Multi-family declining. Margin: "We hit a trough. We don't believe you’re going to experience any NIM compression from here on out. You should expect gradually higher NIM... shooting 2.75 within next 12-18 months." That's guidance, not already run. No. Maybe "consumer loans" launched this quarter, modest increases, expected bigger. Not run. Question asks: "does management convey that the business has NOW PUT TOGETHER A SHORT, STILL-YOUNG RUN OF CONSECUTIVE PERIODS OF REAL IMPROVEMENT — roughly two to four periods in a row of getting better — in a part of the business that, until recently, had been giving investors little reason to expect it, AND that the causes of this young run are attached to the company itself and still in force?" Need identify if any. Perhaps deposits? They say "deposit growth accelerated immensely in Q3 2018" due to strategies implemented starting Q3. Not multiple prior quarters. Loan growth? C&I grew 15% year-over-year. Not sequential. BankMobile white label? "we expect significant growth starting sometime in next year" not yet. No.
| Ticker | Company | Call | Date | Call grade |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ASO | Academy Sports and Outdoors, Inc. | Q1 2024 | 2024-06-11 | C+ |
| WRBY | Warby Parker Inc. | Q1 2024 | 2024-05-09 | A |
| ASB | Associated Banc-Corp | Q1 2024 | 2024-04-25 | A |
| KOPN | Kopin Corporation | Q4 2023 | 2024-03-14 | C+ |
| OLPX | Olaplex Holdings, Inc. | Q4 2023 | 2024-02-29 | D |
| MNKD | MannKind Corporation | Q4 2023 | 2024-02-27 | C |
| GPRE | Green Plains Inc. | Q4 2023 | 2024-02-07 | F |
| SCPH | scPharmaceuticals Inc. | Q3 2023 | 2023-11-08 | B |
| BMBL | Bumble Inc. | Q3 2023 | 2023-11-07 | F |
| ALL | The Allstate Corporation | Q3 2023 | 2023-11-02 | C+ |
| GOLD | Barrick Gold Corporation | Q3 2023 | 2023-11-02 | C |
| OPAD | Offerpad Solutions Inc. | Q3 2023 | 2023-11-01 | C |
| TEL | TE Connectivity Ltd. | Q4 2023 | 2023-11-01 | B |
| SBRA | Sabra Health Care REIT, Inc. | Q1 2023 | 2023-05-04 | B |
| TACT | TransAct Technologies Incorporated | Q4 2022 | 2023-03-08 | A |
| TOST | Toast, Inc. | Q4 2022 | 2023-02-16 | C+ |
| PKOH | Park-Ohio Holdings Corp. | Q3 2022 | 2022-11-13 | B |
| SIBN | SI-BONE, Inc. | Q3 2022 | 2022-11-07 | C+ |
| OGI | OrganiGram Holdings Inc. | Q3 2022 | 2022-07-14 | B+ |
| BXP | Boston Properties, Inc. | Q1 2022 | 2022-05-03 | A |
| LC | LendingClub Corporation | Q4 2021 | 2022-01-26 | A |
| LEG | Leggett & Platt, Incorporated | Q3 2021 | 2021-11-02 | C |
| UFI | Unifi, Inc. | Q4 2021 | 2021-08-07 | B |
| ESRT | Empire State Realty Trust, Inc. | Q2 2021 | 2021-07-29 | C+ |
| LRN | Stride, Inc. | Q1 2019 | 2018-10-23 | B |
| ORAN | Orange SA | Q2 2018 | 2018-07-26 | B |
| AVT | Avnet, Inc. | Q2 2018 | 2018-01-25 | B |
| HOLX | Hologic, Inc. | Q4 2017 | 2017-11-08 | D |
| SPR | Spirit AeroSystems Holdings, Inc. | Q1 2016 | 2016-04-29 | D |
WRBY · Q1 2024 → YESThe question is about whether management conveys a short, still-young run of consecutive periods of real improvement in a part of the business that was previously unimpressive, caused by company-speci...
ASB · Q1 2024 → YESThe question is about whether management conveys a short, still-young run of consecutive periods of real improvement in a part of the business that was previously unimpressive, caused by company-speci...
KOPN · Q4 2023 → YESThe question is about whether management conveys a short, still-young run of consecutive periods of real improvement in a part of the business that was previously unimpressive, caused by company-speci...