Young streak off a low base: a short run of consecutive-period improvement has just started, after a stretch that gave i
The model's full reasoning — Q1 2017 call → NOWe need answer only YES or NO based on transcript. Need evaluate criteria. Transcript: Management discusses first quarter 2017 results. Need see if they convey a short still-young run of consecutive periods of improvement in a part of business that had been unimpressive, with causes attached to company and still in force. Look for clues. Brian: "for the third-year in a row, we achieved positive cash flow in the first quarter." That is a run: third year in a row positive cash flow in Q1. Previously? They say "We experienced a good free cash flow for the quarter. Our free cash flow was $5.3 million, which compares to $9.6 million for the same period in 2016. This is only the third time in 13 years we have had positive free cash flow in the first quarter." Actually positive cash flow in first quarter is rare. Third-year in a row is a young run? It is consecutive periods (Q1 each year) but not necessarily sequential quarters. The question: "roughly two to four periods in a row of getting better" in a part of business that until recently had been giving investors little reason to expect it. Could be cash flow? But they mention "positive cash flow in first quarter" third-year in a row. That is a run of 3 years, but improvement? It's just positive vs negative? Actually positive cash flow in first quarter is unusual. But the run is "third-year in a row" - young? However the question asks "consecutive periods of real improvement" not just positive. Also causes attached to company? Not really. Another possible: backlog increase. "Backlog at end of Q1 was $863 million, an increase of $100 million since year-end, and increase is broad-based." Compared to year ago increased $86 million. That's one quarter increase, not multiple. Revenue? Q1 2017 vs Q1 2016 decreased 1.4%. Not improvement. Gross margin: "Gross profit was 20.0% for Q1 2017, a continued improvement from the strong 19.0% in Q1 2016." That's one period vs year-ago, not sequential? It says "continued improvement" maybe implies previous quarters? But only compares to prior year Q1. Need sequential? Not necessarily. Maybe "for the third-year in a row, we achieved positive cash flow in the first quarter." That's a run of three years, but not necessarily "getting better" - just positive vs not.
| Ticker | Company | Call | Date | Call grade |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ASO | Academy Sports and Outdoors, Inc. | Q1 2024 | 2024-06-11 | C+ |
| WRBY | Warby Parker Inc. | Q1 2024 | 2024-05-09 | A |
| ASB | Associated Banc-Corp | Q1 2024 | 2024-04-25 | A |
| KOPN | Kopin Corporation | Q4 2023 | 2024-03-14 | C+ |
| OLPX | Olaplex Holdings, Inc. | Q4 2023 | 2024-02-29 | D |
| MNKD | MannKind Corporation | Q4 2023 | 2024-02-27 | C |
| GPRE | Green Plains Inc. | Q4 2023 | 2024-02-07 | F |
| SCPH | scPharmaceuticals Inc. | Q3 2023 | 2023-11-08 | B |
| BMBL | Bumble Inc. | Q3 2023 | 2023-11-07 | F |
| ALL | The Allstate Corporation | Q3 2023 | 2023-11-02 | C+ |
| GOLD | Barrick Gold Corporation | Q3 2023 | 2023-11-02 | C |
| OPAD | Offerpad Solutions Inc. | Q3 2023 | 2023-11-01 | C |
| TEL | TE Connectivity Ltd. | Q4 2023 | 2023-11-01 | B |
| SBRA | Sabra Health Care REIT, Inc. | Q1 2023 | 2023-05-04 | B |
| TACT | TransAct Technologies Incorporated | Q4 2022 | 2023-03-08 | A |
| TOST | Toast, Inc. | Q4 2022 | 2023-02-16 | C+ |
| PKOH | Park-Ohio Holdings Corp. | Q3 2022 | 2022-11-13 | B |
| SIBN | SI-BONE, Inc. | Q3 2022 | 2022-11-07 | C+ |
| OGI | OrganiGram Holdings Inc. | Q3 2022 | 2022-07-14 | B+ |
| BXP | Boston Properties, Inc. | Q1 2022 | 2022-05-03 | A |
| LC | LendingClub Corporation | Q4 2021 | 2022-01-26 | A |
| LEG | Leggett & Platt, Incorporated | Q3 2021 | 2021-11-02 | C |
| UFI | Unifi, Inc. | Q4 2021 | 2021-08-07 | B |
| ESRT | Empire State Realty Trust, Inc. | Q2 2021 | 2021-07-29 | C+ |
| LRN | Stride, Inc. | Q1 2019 | 2018-10-23 | B |
| ORAN | Orange SA | Q2 2018 | 2018-07-26 | B |
| AVT | Avnet, Inc. | Q2 2018 | 2018-01-25 | B |
| HOLX | Hologic, Inc. | Q4 2017 | 2017-11-08 | D |
| SPR | Spirit AeroSystems Holdings, Inc. | Q1 2016 | 2016-04-29 | D |
WRBY · Q1 2024 → YESThe question is about whether management conveys a short, still-young run of consecutive periods of real improvement in a part of the business that was previously unimpressive, caused by company-speci...
ASB · Q1 2024 → YESThe question is about whether management conveys a short, still-young run of consecutive periods of real improvement in a part of the business that was previously unimpressive, caused by company-speci...
KOPN · Q4 2023 → YESThe question is about whether management conveys a short, still-young run of consecutive periods of real improvement in a part of the business that was previously unimpressive, caused by company-speci...