Young streak off a low base: a short run of consecutive-period improvement has just started, after a stretch that gave i
The model's full reasoning — Q3 2016 call → NOWe need answer only YES or NO. Need analyze transcript. Need determine if management conveys young run of consecutive periods of improvement in part of business that previously unimpressive, causes company-attached and still in force. We need parse. Company Supernus. Q3 2016. Strong growth in product prescriptions and net product sales. Year-to-date net product sales $149 million, 48% increase over same period last year. Total prescriptions Q3 combined 131,308 increase 30% over Q3 2015. Trokendi XR prescriptions Q3 2016 totaled 9,949? Wait that seems wrong: Trokendi XR prescriptions for third quarter 2016 totaled 9,949 prescriptions? Actually likely 99,049? Transcript says "totaled 9,949 prescriptions" maybe typo? Oxtellar 32,259. Combined 131,308. So Trokendi ~99k. Increase 32% over same quarter last year. Oxtellar 26% increase. Net product sales Q3 $55.6 million, 44% growth over same period last year. Question asks: Does management convey that business has NOW PUT TOGETHER A SHORT, STILL-YOUNG RUN OF CONSECUTIVE PERIODS OF REAL IMPROVEMENT — roughly two to four periods in a row of getting better — in a part of business that, until recently, had been giving investors little reason to expect it, AND causes attached to company and still in force? Need identify if management describes sequential improvement over recent quarters. They mention year-over-year growth, not necessarily sequential. Need see if there is any part of business that had been weak and now improving consecutively. Possibly SPN-810 enrollment? They say enrollment continues in Phase 3 trials. Steps taken this year to improve patient enrollment and retention. Preliminary results indicate improvement has been made. They partnered with enrollment and retention agency. These steps already had positive impact on patient referrals. Screening period lengthened. Education. Expect recruitment and retention to continue to improve as steps become fully implemented. Enrollment expected to continue into 2017. This is a part of business (pipeline enrollment) that had been slow/unimpressive. Now improvement? But is it "consecutive periods" of real improvement? They don't give numbers or periods. They say preliminary results indicate improvement has been made, positive impact on patient referrals. Not a run of quarters. So likely no. Another part: Business development? No.
| Ticker | Company | Call | Date | Call grade |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ASO | Academy Sports and Outdoors, Inc. | Q1 2024 | 2024-06-11 | C+ |
| WRBY | Warby Parker Inc. | Q1 2024 | 2024-05-09 | A |
| ASB | Associated Banc-Corp | Q1 2024 | 2024-04-25 | A |
| KOPN | Kopin Corporation | Q4 2023 | 2024-03-14 | C+ |
| OLPX | Olaplex Holdings, Inc. | Q4 2023 | 2024-02-29 | D |
| MNKD | MannKind Corporation | Q4 2023 | 2024-02-27 | C |
| GPRE | Green Plains Inc. | Q4 2023 | 2024-02-07 | F |
| SCPH | scPharmaceuticals Inc. | Q3 2023 | 2023-11-08 | B |
| BMBL | Bumble Inc. | Q3 2023 | 2023-11-07 | F |
| ALL | The Allstate Corporation | Q3 2023 | 2023-11-02 | C+ |
| GOLD | Barrick Gold Corporation | Q3 2023 | 2023-11-02 | C |
| OPAD | Offerpad Solutions Inc. | Q3 2023 | 2023-11-01 | C |
| TEL | TE Connectivity Ltd. | Q4 2023 | 2023-11-01 | B |
| SBRA | Sabra Health Care REIT, Inc. | Q1 2023 | 2023-05-04 | B |
| TACT | TransAct Technologies Incorporated | Q4 2022 | 2023-03-08 | A |
| TOST | Toast, Inc. | Q4 2022 | 2023-02-16 | C+ |
| PKOH | Park-Ohio Holdings Corp. | Q3 2022 | 2022-11-13 | B |
| SIBN | SI-BONE, Inc. | Q3 2022 | 2022-11-07 | C+ |
| OGI | OrganiGram Holdings Inc. | Q3 2022 | 2022-07-14 | B+ |
| BXP | Boston Properties, Inc. | Q1 2022 | 2022-05-03 | A |
| LC | LendingClub Corporation | Q4 2021 | 2022-01-26 | A |
| LEG | Leggett & Platt, Incorporated | Q3 2021 | 2021-11-02 | C |
| UFI | Unifi, Inc. | Q4 2021 | 2021-08-07 | B |
| ESRT | Empire State Realty Trust, Inc. | Q2 2021 | 2021-07-29 | C+ |
| LRN | Stride, Inc. | Q1 2019 | 2018-10-23 | B |
| ORAN | Orange SA | Q2 2018 | 2018-07-26 | B |
| AVT | Avnet, Inc. | Q2 2018 | 2018-01-25 | B |
| HOLX | Hologic, Inc. | Q4 2017 | 2017-11-08 | D |
| SPR | Spirit AeroSystems Holdings, Inc. | Q1 2016 | 2016-04-29 | D |
WRBY · Q1 2024 → YESThe question is about whether management conveys a short, still-young run of consecutive periods of real improvement in a part of the business that was previously unimpressive, caused by company-speci...
ASB · Q1 2024 → YESThe question is about whether management conveys a short, still-young run of consecutive periods of real improvement in a part of the business that was previously unimpressive, caused by company-speci...
KOPN · Q4 2023 → YESThe question is about whether management conveys a short, still-young run of consecutive periods of real improvement in a part of the business that was previously unimpressive, caused by company-speci...