Already inside the gate: the company is specified into someone else's next wave, and the wave has not yet shipped
The model's full reasoning — Q3 2018 call → NOWe need to determine if the transcript describes a situation where the company is already chosen/designed into another party's future product/program, the wave hasn't arrived yet, and the position is large relative to the company. Let's analyze. The transcript discusses Western Gas Partners. Key points: They have growth in Delaware Basin, DJ Basin, etc. They mention 2019 guidance: "significant organic growth in adjusted EBITDA of at least 20%" and "capital expenditures will significantly decline." They talk about infrastructure coming online. They mention "our large customers' pro-activity in securing takeaway out of the basin." They mention "Ramsey facility is currently running above nameplate capacity" and "strong demand for our water services." They mention "Mentone facility coming online slightly later than originally expected" but guidance unchanged. The question is about being "already chosen, specified, qualified, designed in, or otherwise locked into position inside another organization's future product, program, platform, build-out, or standard operating plan" such that when that outside party's next wave arrives, this company's volume arrives automatically. And that this position is secured today while the wave hasn't yet shipped. In the transcript, there is discussion about Anadarko (APC) as the parent and large customer. They talk about "our large customers' pro-activity in securing takeaway out of the basin." They talk about "critical midstream infrastructure coming on line" and "volumetric growth." They mention "we expect significant organic growth in adjusted EBITDA of at least 20%" for 2019. They also mention "our capital expenditures will significantly decline." They talk about "we are playing with house money" regarding Eagle Ford. They mention "we have that same inherent flexibility inherent in our business" to follow Anadarko rigs. But is there a specific mention of being "designed into" a future program? The transcript doesn't explicitly say "we have been chosen" or "we are the designated provider" for a specific future project. It talks about existing operations and growth. The 20% growth is organic, but that could be from existing assets ramping up. They mention "Mentone II" and "Cactus II" but those are their own projects.
| Ticker | Company | Call | Date | Call grade |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| NC | NACCO Industries, Inc. | Q1 2024 | 2024-05-05 | C+ |
| CLGN | CollPlant Biotechnologies Ltd. | Q4 2023 | 2024-04-04 | F |
| EMKR | EMCORE Corporation | Q4 2023 | 2023-12-12 | C+ |
| AIRG | Airgain, Inc. | Q3 2023 | 2023-11-09 | F |
| EVGO | EVgo, Inc. | Q2 2022 | 2022-08-09 | C+ |
| GFS | GLOBALFOUNDRIES Inc. | Q3 2021 | 2021-11-30 | A |
| CUBI | Customers Bancorp, Inc. | Q3 2018 | 2018-10-26 | C+ |
| WYY | WidePoint Corporation | Q3 2016 | 2016-11-09 | D |
| THRM | Gentherm Incorporated | Q2 2016 | 2016-07-28 | C+ |
| GOGO | Gogo Inc. | Q1 2016 | 2016-05-06 | C+ |
| SPR | Spirit AeroSystems Holdings, Inc. | Q1 2016 | 2016-04-29 | D |
CUBI · Q3 2018 → YESThe question is about whether management describes that the company has already been chosen or locked into another organization's future product/program, such that volume will come automatically when ...NO The transcript describes a white-label partnership with T-Mobile where BankMobile provides services under T-Mobile's brand, with deposits expected to start in the next year after the launch. However, this does not meet the criteria for a secured position inside T-Mobile's next product or program. The language focuses on a partnership relationship that is still being launched, rather than a design win or qualification already embedded in T-Mobile's future offering. Management refers to it as an "expected white label partnership" and "working on" the launch, indicating it is not yet locked in as part of T-Mobile's committed plan.
EMKR · Q4 2023 → YESThe question is about whether management describes that the company has already been chosen or locked into another organization's future product/program, such that volume will come automatically when ...NO The transcript describes an agreement with Kratos for Inertial Navigation Systems to be included in the XQ58 Valkyrie drone, with the Air Force planning to acquire at least 1,000 units. However, this is framed as an announcement of a new agreement rather than a secured, locked-in position already designed 100% into the platform with volume guaranteed.
NC · Q1 2024 → YESThe question is about whether management describes that the company has already been chosen or locked into another organization's future product/program, such that volume will arrive automatically whe...