Answers go deeper than the script: questioning keeps surfacing new concrete detail behind a positive development · broad
The model's full reasoning — Q1 2023 call → NOThe user wants me to evaluate two gates based only on the provided earnings call transcript. **Gate 1 — Original Signal:** The question is whether there is a POSITIVE, CURRENT development in the company's business that management presents as genuinely going well, and whether the Q&A discussion produces MORE CONCRETE OPERATING DETAIL than the prepared remarks contained. Let me analyze the call: - The main positive developments are: SELECT-MDS-1 trial enrollment progress (on track to complete enrollment of 190 patients in Q4 2023, data in Q3 2024), the protocol amendment to include overall survival as a key secondary endpoint, the AML program (initiated randomized portion of Phase II trial), and the 2101 APL program. - The protocol amendment to include OS as a key secondary endpoint is a notable development. In the Q&A: 1. Phil Nadeau asks about the powering on the OS endpoint. David Roth answers: "the powering assumptions are 80% and 550 patients provides enough power to detect a difference in median overall survival between the 2 arms." This is somewhat additive - the prepared remarks didn't mention the 80% powering or the 550 patient number explicitly (well, the prepared remarks did say 550 patients, but not the 80% powering). 2. Phil asks about the increment assumption for the control arm. David says they haven't stated the specific statistical assumptions but the control arm data is "tried and true data for azacitidine as a single agent in higher-risk MDS in the high teens." 3. Phil asks about interim analyses. David says they haven't stated there are interim analyses, but the initial analysis for the primary endpoint could be interpreted as an interim analysis. 4. Phil asks about when OS data could be available. David says they haven't guided to that yet, it's event-driven. So the Q&A on the OS endpoint amendment does add some specifics (80% powering, the control arm assumption being in the high teens), but is this "substantive" detail about actual operations? It's more about statistical design assumptions than about actual operations, customers, volumes, timing, capacity, or economics. Then Phil asks about 2101 FDA discussions. David says they'll provide an update in the second half of the year and reserve details for that update. This is not additive. Ed Tenthoff asks about SELECT-AML expectations and go/no-go.
| Ticker | Company | Call | Date | Call grade |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FTAI | Fortress Transportation and Infrastructu | Q2 2024 | 2024-07-24 | A |
| FYBR | Frontier Communications Parent, Inc. | Q1 2024 | 2024-05-03 | B |
| TOL | Toll Brothers, Inc. | Q1 2024 | 2024-02-21 | A |
| GDDY | GoDaddy Inc. | Q4 2023 | 2024-02-13 | A |
| ZWS | Zurn Elkay Water Solutions Corporation | Q4 2023 | 2024-02-07 | B |
| TMUS | T-Mobile US, Inc. | Q4 2023 | 2024-01-25 | B |
| VCEL | Vericel Corporation | Q3 2023 | 2023-11-08 | A |
| WEAV | Weave Communications, Inc. | Q3 2023 | 2023-11-01 | B+ |
| MAC | The Macerich Company | Q3 2023 | 2023-10-31 | D |
| CMG | Chipotle Mexican Grill, Inc. | Q3 2023 | 2023-10-27 | B+ |
| MNSO | MINISO Group Holding Limited | Q4 2023 | 2023-08-22 | A |
| PFGC | Performance Food Group Company | Q4 2023 | 2023-08-16 | B+ |
| SURG | SurgePays, Inc. | Q2 2023 | 2023-08-12 | D |
| EVLV | Evolv Technologies Holdings, Inc. | Q2 2023 | 2023-08-10 | B+ |
| TREX | Trex Company, Inc. | Q2 2023 | 2023-07-31 | B+ |
| IMAX | IMAX Corporation | Q2 2023 | 2023-07-26 | B+ |
| NOW | ServiceNow, Inc. | Q2 2023 | 2023-07-26 | A |
| UTHR | United Therapeutics Corporation | Q1 2023 | 2023-05-03 | B |
| BRX | Brixmor Property Group Inc. | Q1 2023 | 2023-05-02 | A |
| MGM | MGM Resorts International | Q1 2023 | 2023-05-01 | A |
| EDU | New Oriental Education & Technology Grou | Q3 2023 | 2023-04-19 | B |
| PAYX | Paychex, Inc. | Q3 2023 | 2023-03-29 | B |
| ADPT | Adaptive Biotechnologies Corporation | Q4 2022 | 2023-02-14 | C |
| CUTR | Cutera, Inc. | Q3 2022 | 2022-11-05 | C |
| INMD | InMode Ltd. | Q3 2022 | 2022-10-27 | A |
| SHW | The Sherwin-Williams Company | Q2 2022 | 2022-07-27 | D |
| BFIN | BankFinancial Corporation | Q1 2022 | 2022-05-06 | A |
| ABNB | Airbnb, Inc. | Q1 2022 | 2022-05-03 | A |
| FAT | FAT Brands Inc. | Q4 2021 | 2022-03-21 | F |
| APLE | Apple Hospitality REIT, Inc. | Q4 2021 | 2022-02-23 | A |
| DV | DoubleVerify Holdings, Inc. | Q3 2021 | 2021-11-11 | B |
| ENV | Envestnet, Inc. | Q3 2021 | 2021-11-08 | B+ |
| AMH | American Homes 4 Rent | Q3 2021 | 2021-11-05 | B+ |
| BIGC | BigCommerce Holdings, Inc. | Q3 2021 | 2021-11-04 | B+ |
| SPSC | SPS Commerce, Inc. | Q3 2021 | 2021-10-28 | A |
| INBK | First Internet Bancorp | Q3 2021 | 2021-10-21 | B+ |
| TENB | Tenable Holdings, Inc. | Q2 2021 | 2021-07-27 | A |
| SNY | Sanofi | Q3 2018 | 2018-10-31 | B+ |
| GAIA | Gaia, Inc. | Q2 2018 | 2018-08-06 | A |
| ORAN | Orange SA | Q2 2018 | 2018-07-26 | B |
| MKC | McCormick & Company, Incorporated | Q2 2018 | 2018-06-28 | C+ |
| FOSL | Fossil Group, Inc. | Q1 2018 | 2018-05-08 | C |
| VRTX | Vertex Pharmaceuticals Incorporated | Q1 2018 | 2018-04-26 | C+ |
| SNDR | Schneider National, Inc. | Q1 2018 | 2018-04-26 | A |
| ROKU | Roku, Inc. | Q4 2017 | 2018-02-21 | A |
| LIND | Lindblad Expeditions Holdings, Inc. | Q2 2017 | 2017-08-06 | C |
| CCOI | Cogent Communications Holdings, Inc. | Q2 2017 | 2017-08-03 | B |
| INTU | Intuit Inc. | Q3 2017 | 2017-05-23 | A |
| SAH | Sonic Automotive, Inc. | Q1 2017 | 2017-04-26 | C |
| FIVN | Five9, Inc. | Q4 2016 | 2017-02-17 | A |
| SQ | Square's | Q2 2016 | 2016-08-04 | A |
| SEM | Select Medical Holdings Corporation | Q1 2016 | 2016-05-06 | C+ |
| PLNT | Planet Fitness, Inc. | Q4 2015 | 2016-03-03 | A |
| BECN | Beacon Roofing Supply, Inc. | Q1 2016 | 2016-02-05 | B |
APLE · Q4 2021 → YESThe task is to evaluate two gates based on the earnings call transcript and return YES only if both are YES, otherwise NO. Answer with exactly YES or NO. YES The transcript shows a clear positive current development in the company's hotel portfolio recovery, particularly around Q1 2022 demand trends and operational metrics. In prepared remarks, Justin Knight and Liz Perkins highlight overall RevPAR improvement, leisure strength, and business travel recovery, but without granular February specifics.
MKC · Q2 2018 → YESThe task is to evaluate two gates based on the earnings call transcript and return YES only if both are YES, otherwise NO. YES NO (Gate 2 fails because the Frank’s/French’s growth is repeatedly tied to specific large retailers, national accounts, and one major customer whose shelf-reset decisions and promotional activity are named or implied as key drivers; the transcript never establishes a broad, granular base of many independent counterparties whose small decisions are widening adoption.
GAIA · Q2 2018 → YESThe task is to evaluate two gates based on the earnings call transcript and return YES only if both are YES, otherwise NO. Answer with exactly YES or NO. YES The transcript shows a positive current development in organic subscriber growth and the member referral program. Prepared remarks note organic contributions over 40% and reduced marketing spend. Q&A provides additive details: specific referral mechanics (7-day free watch), ambassador program vs.