New business is being written on visibly better terms than the company's own recent norm, and the mix shift has just beg
The model's full reasoning — Q3 2017 call → NOWe need to determine if management indicates that the economic terms of the company's newest business have stepped up meaningfully above the company's own recent norm, and that this improvement has only begun to flow into reported results because most of the reported business was still written at older, less favorable terms. We need to look for both halves: (1) new business terms have visibly improved vs company's own recent past, and (2) reported results still mostly reflect old terms. The transcript discusses pricing, price versus cost, inflation, China strategy, etc. Management talks about price being positive in both segments, but also mentions negative price cost spread due to China and Middle East. They say that outside of those markets, price versus cost was largely in line with expectations. They also mention that pricing is positive and stronger than last year. However, they also discuss that the negative impact from China and Middle East is due to penetration of underserved markets, which is more of a mix issue than price. They also mention that they expect inflation to moderate in 2018 and that they are accelerating productivity initiatives. The question is about whether the economic terms of new business have stepped up meaningfully above the company's own recent norm. Management does not explicitly say that new contracts are being written at higher prices or better terms than before. They talk about positive pricing, but that is often to offset inflation. They also mention that price is positive in both segments, but they also have negative price cost spread due to China and Middle East. They say that outside of those markets, price versus cost was largely in line with expectations. So they are not describing a meaningful step-up in terms. They are describing managing price to cover inflation, but not a step-up above the norm. Also, they mention that the impact of China and Middle East is greater than anticipated, and that it is due to high volumes and inflation. They do not say that new business is being written at better terms than before. They talk about growth in China, but that is volume growth, not necessarily better terms. They also mention that the China strategy is accretive to EPS, but that is because of volume and service tail, not because of better pricing.
| Ticker | Company | Call | Date | Call grade |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| CTO | CTO Realty Growth, Inc. | Q2 2023 | 2023-07-28 | B |
| CARS | Cars.com Inc. | Q1 2023 | 2023-05-06 | B |
| BRX | Brixmor Property Group Inc. | Q1 2023 | 2023-05-02 | A |
| CRBG | Corebridge Financial, Inc. | Q4 2022 | 2023-02-22 | B |
| FLR | Fluor Corporation | Q2 2022 | 2022-08-05 | D |
| CRL | Charles River Laboratories International | Q2 2022 | 2022-08-03 | C |
| BRKL | Brookline Bancorp, Inc. | Q2 2022 | 2022-07-30 | B+ |
| INVH | Invitation Homes Inc. | Q2 2022 | 2022-07-28 | B+ |
| MTB | M&T Bank Corporation | Q2 2022 | 2022-07-20 | B+ |
| GFS | GLOBALFOUNDRIES Inc. | Q3 2021 | 2021-11-30 | A |
| GNK | Genco Shipping & Trading Limited | Q2 2021 | 2021-08-07 | A |
| ESS | Essex Property Trust, Inc. | Q2 2018 | 2018-08-03 | B+ |
| ALLY | Ally Financial Inc. | Q1 2018 | 2018-04-26 | B+ |
CRL · Q2 2022 → YESThe question is about whether management indicates that the economic terms of the company's newest business have stepped up meaningfully above the company's own recent norm, and that this improvement ...YES Management's comments on Safety Assessment pricing and backlog directly address both required elements: they describe current bookings and backlog at "escalating prices" and "meaningful price increases" that are already achieved on real transactions (not targets or future expectations), while noting that the reported Q2 results are still dominated by older 2022 terms and that the stronger pricing is accelerating into H2 and 2023 bookings.
ESS · Q2 2018 → YESThe question is about whether management indicates that the economic terms of the company's newest business have stepped up meaningfully above the company's own recent norm, and that this improvement ...YES Management describes the loss-to-lease metric rising to 3.
CTO · Q2 2023 → YESThe question is about whether management indicates that the economic terms of the company's newest business have stepped up meaningfully above the company's own recent norm, and that this improvement ...