New business is being written on visibly better terms than the company's own recent norm, and the mix shift has just beg
The model's full reasoning — Q4 2022 call → NOThe question asks whether management indicates that the economic terms of the company's newest business have stepped up meaningfully above the company's own recent norm, and that this improvement has only begun to flow into reported results. Let me analyze the transcript for evidence of both parts: 1) Terms of new business visibly improved versus company's own recent past: - Scott Kirby discusses cost convergence and revenue to GDP ratio going back to mid-5s - He talks about pricing power: "the era of $4 prices from Los Angeles to Cabo and $7 from New York to Florida or $9 from Houston to Central America are probably a thing of the past" - Andrew Nocella discusses strong bookings, yield curves increasing from February to March to Q2 - The company discusses strong demand and pricing environment 2) Reported results still mostly reflect old terms: - The company discusses 2023 outlook with TRASM flattish, PRASM up 2-3 points - They discuss Q1 guidance and expectations for the year - The improvement is expected to continue through 2023 However, let me look more carefully. The question is specifically about whether the TERMS OF NEW BUSINESS (prices, rates, fees, spreads, contract sizes, durations, profitability of new deals) have stepped up meaningfully above the company's OWN RECENT NORM. The transcript discusses: - Strong revenue environment - Pricing power in the industry - Cost convergence driving higher prices - Bookings at higher levels But is this described as a step-up in the terms of new business versus the company's own recent past? The company talks about strong demand and pricing, but the comparison seems more about the industry environment and structural changes rather than specifically about the company's own new business terms improving versus its own recent norm. Actually, let me reconsider. The company discusses: - Q4 TRASM up 25.8% vs 2019 - 2023 outlook with PRASM up 2-3 points - Strong bookings for February and March at 30-40% above 2019 - Yield curves increasing through the year But the question is specifically about whether the terms of NEW business have stepped up and whether this is only beginning to flow into results. The company does discuss that they expect continued improvement in revenue performance. Andrew Nocella says "we expect our Q1 TRASM to be up approximately 25% year-over-year" and discusses the strong setup for 2023.
| Ticker | Company | Call | Date | Call grade |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| CTO | CTO Realty Growth, Inc. | Q2 2023 | 2023-07-28 | B |
| CARS | Cars.com Inc. | Q1 2023 | 2023-05-06 | B |
| BRX | Brixmor Property Group Inc. | Q1 2023 | 2023-05-02 | A |
| CRBG | Corebridge Financial, Inc. | Q4 2022 | 2023-02-22 | B |
| FLR | Fluor Corporation | Q2 2022 | 2022-08-05 | D |
| CRL | Charles River Laboratories International | Q2 2022 | 2022-08-03 | C |
| BRKL | Brookline Bancorp, Inc. | Q2 2022 | 2022-07-30 | B+ |
| INVH | Invitation Homes Inc. | Q2 2022 | 2022-07-28 | B+ |
| MTB | M&T Bank Corporation | Q2 2022 | 2022-07-20 | B+ |
| GFS | GLOBALFOUNDRIES Inc. | Q3 2021 | 2021-11-30 | A |
| GNK | Genco Shipping & Trading Limited | Q2 2021 | 2021-08-07 | A |
| ESS | Essex Property Trust, Inc. | Q2 2018 | 2018-08-03 | B+ |
| ALLY | Ally Financial Inc. | Q1 2018 | 2018-04-26 | B+ |
CRL · Q2 2022 → YESThe question is about whether management indicates that the economic terms of the company's newest business have stepped up meaningfully above the company's own recent norm, and that this improvement ...YES Management's comments on Safety Assessment pricing and backlog directly address both required elements: they describe current bookings and backlog at "escalating prices" and "meaningful price increases" that are already achieved on real transactions (not targets or future expectations), while noting that the reported Q2 results are still dominated by older 2022 terms and that the stronger pricing is accelerating into H2 and 2023 bookings.
ESS · Q2 2018 → YESThe question is about whether management indicates that the economic terms of the company's newest business have stepped up meaningfully above the company's own recent norm, and that this improvement ...YES Management describes the loss-to-lease metric rising to 3.
CTO · Q2 2023 → YESThe question is about whether management indicates that the economic terms of the company's newest business have stepped up meaningfully above the company's own recent norm, and that this improvement ...