Priced for one buyer, wanted by many: management describes new sources of demand converging on the same thing it already
The model's full reasoning — Q3 2018 call → NOWe need to determine if the transcript describes a widening demand base for an existing product, with management responding to convergence, and numbers lagging. Key elements: existing product, recent widening with real transactions, management managing convergence, and reported numbers reflecting old narrow base. In the transcript, management discusses ICP (ICE-COLD PCR) technology. They mention a partnership with Perkin Elmer, which is a major player. Perkin Elmer selected ICP as a DNA enrichment technology to complement their cell-free DNA extraction. This is a co-marketing agreement. They estimate 2019 revenues from ICP market penetration within Perkin Elmer and Precipio customers. This suggests a new channel (Perkin Elmer) for existing ICP technology. Is this a widening of demand? The ICP product already exists. The demand base is widening to include Perkin Elmer's customers and channel. Is it real? They have a co-marketing agreement, and they estimate revenues. But are there actual transactions? The transcript says "co-marketing agreement" and "joint efforts" but no specific orders or committed volumes. It says "we estimate 2019 revenues between several hundreds to several million dollars resulting from the market penetration of ICP within current and future Perkin Elmer and Precipio customers" - that's prospective. Also, they mention "several potential collaborations with other companies that we're working on" - that's pipeline. Also, they discuss HemeScreen, a new technology launched in their lab two weeks ago, with orders received. But that's a new product, not existing. IV-Cell is also new. The question asks: "demand for the same thing the company already makes or does" - is there a widening of demand for an existing offering? The ICP is existing. But the widening is through a partnership that is just announced, with future revenue estimates. No actual transactions yet. The transcript says "co-marketing agreement" and "joint efforts" but no committed orders. So it's prospective. Also, the pathology services are growing, but that's ordinary growth within existing customer base. Thus, the answer is NO. The widening is only prospective, not actual transactions. Also, the new sources are not yet contributing to reported results, but they are not described as real orders or committed.
| Ticker | Company | Call | Date | Call grade |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| LINC | Lincoln Educational Services Corporation | Q1 2024 | 2024-05-06 | B+ |
| WEC | WEC Energy Group, Inc. | Q1 2024 | 2024-05-01 | A |
| OPAD | Offerpad Solutions Inc. | Q3 2023 | 2023-11-01 | C |
| PFIE | Profire Energy, Inc. | Q1 2023 | 2023-05-13 | B |
| PRPH | ProPhase Labs, Inc. | Q1 2023 | 2023-05-11 | F |
| EVGO | EVgo, Inc. | Q2 2022 | 2022-08-09 | C+ |
| OGI | OrganiGram Holdings Inc. | Q3 2022 | 2022-07-14 | B+ |
| ADSE | ADS-TEC Energy PLC | Q4 2021 | 2022-04-28 | D |
| CNS | Cohen & Steers, Inc. | Q2 2017 | 2017-07-20 | B |
| GOGO | Gogo Inc. | Q1 2016 | 2016-05-06 | C+ |
| WK | Workiva Inc. | Q4 2015 | 2016-03-01 | B |
| HPP | Hudson Pacific Properties, Inc. | Q4 2015 | 2016-02-25 | C |
LINC · Q1 2024 → YESThe question is about whether management describes demand for the same thing the company already makes coming from more than one direction at once, with specific criteria. YES Management describes the core offering—curriculum and training capabilities already in place—as now being applied in a new direction: B2B corporate upskilling contracts (e.g., the CMC agreement) alongside campus-based student programs. They explicitly state they are pursuing additional employer contracts and expanding corporate partnerships, with the new 5-year, $6 million CMC deal representing real, recent revenue that contributed nothing to the reported quarter and is still ramping up through site setup and staffing. This meets all three criteria as a single coherent development.
OPAD · Q3 2023 → YESThe question is about whether management describes demand for the same thing the company already makes coming from more than one direction at once, with specific criteria. YES The transcript shows management describing demand for renovations (already part of their core iBuyer operations) now coming from multiple directions: their own inventory, third-party B2B clients (nearly 50 clients, 127% increase in closed projects), and soon homeowners via Rental Captain.
PFIE · Q1 2023 → YESThe question is about whether management describes demand for the same thing the company already makes coming from more than one direction at once, with the demand base widening recently, and manageme...