Quietly replacing the old way: customers are switching to the company from an entrenched alternative, and the switching
The model's full reasoning — Q3 2022 call → NOWe need to determine if management describes customers switching from an entrenched alternative to their product, and that this switching is still early with most potential switchers not yet converted. The transcript is about Cue Biopharma's CUE-101 and CUE-102, which are immunotherapies for cancer. The company is developing a platform that selectively activates tumor-specific T cells. They are comparing their data to existing treatments like pembrolizumab (KEYTRUDA) and other IL-2 therapies. Key points: They are positioning CUE-101 as a potential best-in-class IL-2, and they have data showing improved efficacy over existing standards. They mention that their approach is differentiated from other IL-2 variants. They also mention that they are targeting patients who have failed other therapies (third-line and beyond) and also in combination with pembrolizumab in first-line. Do they describe customers (patients/doctors) switching from an entrenched alternative? They are comparing to pembrolizumab monotherapy, which is an established treatment. They show that their combination has higher response rates (40% vs 19%) and better survival. They also mention that their monotherapy shows better survival than historical data for pembrolizumab. However, they are not explicitly saying that patients are switching from pembrolizumab to their drug. They are presenting data that suggests their drug could be better, but they are still in clinical trials. The switching is not described as happening now; it's more about potential future adoption. They are in Phase I/II trials, not yet approved. So the switching is not a present-tense reality; it's anticipated. Also, they mention that they are targeting patients who have failed other therapies, so those patients are not switching from an alternative but rather have exhausted options. For the combination, they are adding to pembrolizumab, not replacing it. The question asks: "customers are currently SWITCHING TO THE COMPANY FROM AN ENTRENCHED ALTERNATIVE THEY PREVIOUSLY RELIED ON" - this implies that customers are already moving away from an incumbent to this company's product. But the company's products are not yet approved; they are in trials. So no actual switching is happening. The only mention of switching might be in the context of patients moving from one therapy to another, but that's not described as a market shift.
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|---|---|---|---|---|
| CRGO | Freightos Limited | Q1 2024 | 2024-05-20 | C+ |
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BLKB · Q1 2017 → YESThe question is: Does management describe that customers are currently SWITCHING TO THE COMPANY FROM AN ENTRENCHED ALTERNATIVE THEY PREVIOUSLY RELIED ON, and that this switching is still in its early ...YES Management describes customers switching from entrenched alternatives (legacy hardware systems, older Raiser's Edge versions, standalone point solutions) to Blackbaud's cloud solutions like NXT, with examples of recent replacements and migrations already occurring. They also note that much of the potential remains, as the installed base of legacy methods is still large 25% of subscription revenue, and they describe the opportunity as "really early days" with substantial distance left to run. This fits the criteria of a present-tense substitution pattern in the market, not just future hope. The high retention on their own base (93%) combined with declining maintenance revenue shows the shift is active and ongoing, while new wins against competitors and legacy alternatives are happening now. The TAM of $7 billion with hundreds of thousands of addressable customers reinforces that switching is early-stage relative to the total opportunity. The answer is YES. The question is answered with YES. The question is answered with YES.
BLZE · Q3 2022 → YESThe question is: Does management describe that customers are currently SWITCHING TO THE COMPANY FROM AN ENTRENCHED ALTERNATIVE THEY PREVIOUSLY RELIED ON, and that this switching is still in its early ...YES The transcript shows management describing current customer switches from entrenched alternatives (AWS for urlscan.io; Synology NAS/on-prem for Fiture; broader AWS and on-prem users), with these as real, ongoing patterns. They explicitly note that much of the potential remains ("so much of the world's data is still on-premises" and "customers that are inside of AWS and others"), confirming the substitution is early-stage relative to the large installed base. This is conveyed directly in Gleb's responses as a present-tense reality, not merely anticipated. The two examples plus the broader opportunity framing establish a coherent substitution underway, with the company being substituted in. The investor question on percentages and Gleb's reply reinforce the pattern without contradicting the current movement. No single-event or future-only framing applies here. Thus, both conditions are met.
APPS · Q1 2024 → YESThe question is: Does management describe that customers are currently SWITCHING TO THE COMPANY FROM AN ENTRENCHED ALTERNATIVE THEY PREVIOUSLY RELIED ON, and that this switching is still in its early ...YES The transcript shows management describing customers shifting from Apple/Google app stores to DT Hub and SingleTap-enabled alternative distribution as an ongoing, early-stage substitution. Bill Stone notes the company has already launched DT Hub with four U.S. operators and is generating revenue today, while highlighting "increasing pressure on the duopoly" and 5 monetization ways for SingleTap that enable publishers to direct-download apps outside traditional stores. He explicitly calls it "very early days and not yet material to our overall results" and "early innings," confirming the installed base of the old way remains large and the switch is just beginning with incremental RPD gains from devices engaging the new platform. This meets the criteria of a present-tense substitution underway, with the company positioned as the alternative being adopted.