Selling into a wave of new capacity being built by others: management describes its customers' own build-out spending as
The model's full reasoning — Q2 2018 call → NOWe need to determine if management explains current momentum and near-term trajectory chiefly by pointing to a wave of new building/equipping/capacity-creation by other parties, where the company already supplies part of what those parties must buy, and the wave is early/intensifying. Let's analyze the transcript. The company is Kimco Realty, a REIT that owns shopping centers. They discuss their portfolio, dispositions, leasing, etc. They talk about retail demand, occupancy, same-site NOI, etc. Key points: They mention "demand from our retailers" and "retailers focusing on store growth in the top 20 markets." They mention "tax reform" and "Supreme Court ruling" as boosting retail outlook. They talk about their own developments and redevelopments. They mention "Toys 'R' Us" liquidation and re-leasing. Is there any mention of other parties building new capacity? They talk about retailers expanding, but that's more about their customers' store growth. However, is that a wave of building? They say "retailers focusing on store growth" and "demand from our retailers" but that's general demand. They also mention "new supply" at a 40-year low, meaning they are not building new shopping centers. They talk about their own signature series developments. The question asks: Does management explain current momentum and near-term trajectory chiefly by pointing to a wave of new building, equipping, or capacity-creation being undertaken by other parties—its customers, its customers' customers, or institutions in its end markets—for which the company already supplies part of what those parties must buy, and does management convey that this outside build-out is early or intensifying? In this case, the company is a landlord. Its customers are retailers. Are retailers building new stores? They mention "retailers focusing on store growth" and "expansion plans" due to tax reform. But is that a wave of building? They also mention "demand for small shops" from various categories. However, they don't describe a specific build-out wave that is early and big relative to the company. They talk about general demand strength, occupancy, leasing volume. They also talk about their own developments. The essence is: the company sells picks into somebody else's construction boom. Here, the company provides real estate space.
| Ticker | Company | Call | Date | Call grade |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| AES | The AES Corporation | Q1 2024 | 2024-05-03 | C+ |
| LTRX | Lantronix, Inc. | Q3 2024 | 2024-04-29 | C |
| RDCM | RADCOM Ltd. | Q4 2023 | 2024-01-31 | A |
| TEL | TE Connectivity Ltd. | Q4 2023 | 2023-11-01 | B |
| EVGO | EVgo, Inc. | Q2 2022 | 2022-08-09 | C+ |
| FLR | Fluor Corporation | Q2 2022 | 2022-08-05 | D |
| SYM | Symbotic Inc. | Q3 2022 | 2022-08-01 | B+ |
| ADSE | ADS-TEC Energy PLC | Q4 2021 | 2022-04-28 | D |
| FAT | FAT Brands Inc. | Q4 2021 | 2022-03-21 | F |
| IPGP | IPG Photonics Corporation | Q3 2021 | 2021-11-02 | C |
| PRIM | Primoris Services Corporation | Q2 2018 | 2018-08-11 | C+ |
| ATI | Allegheny Technologies Incorporated | Q1 2018 | 2018-04-24 | B |
TEL · Q4 2023 → YESThe question is about whether management explains the company's current momentum and near-term trajectory by pointing to a wave of new building or capacity-creation by others, that's early or intensif...YES The transcript shows management framing the company's momentum chiefly through a wave of external capacity creation: EV production growth (40% in 2023, expected continued growth next year, with Asia as driver), renewable energy adoption (wind/solar), and AI/cloud applications. They describe others (OEMs, installers 3rd parties) building new productive capability—new EV platforms, renewable sites, AI clusters—while TE already supplies into it via content outperformance and early ramps. Current business is real (sequential order growth, $1.3B pipeline, $100M+ incremental AI revenue). The wave is early/intensifying 2024–2025 (3–4 year programs, more phases ahead, destocking normalizing). This is presented as the primary secular driver offsetting cyclical weakness, not just consumption or pricing. Other elements (destocking, FX) are secondary. Thus all three conditions are met in substance.
ATI · Q1 2018 → YESThe question is about whether management explains the company's current momentum and near-term trajectory by pointing to a wave of new building or capacity-creation by other parties, like customers, t...YES The transcript shows management attributing HPMC momentum chiefly to the "ongoing production ramp of next-generation jet engines at all of our major engine OEM customers" and the "industry is currently in the early phases of a multi-year production expansion." This describes OEMs creating new productive capacity through rate ramps and build growth for next generation engines. Management confirms current business from this wave with "next-generation product sales reached 48% of total jet engine product sales" and "65% increase in next-generation product sales," plus "seventh consecutive quarter of year-over-year margin expansion.
RDCM · Q4 2023 → YESThe question is about whether management explains the company's current momentum and near-term trajectory by pointing to a wave of new building, equipping, or capacity-creation by other parties (custo...YES The transcript shows management framing 2024 momentum around operators’ ongoing 5G standalone network build-outs (new productive capacity being created by customers), with RADCOM already supplying assurance software to those projects and the wave described as still early and accelerating. All three conditions are met in Eyal Harari’s prepared remarks and Q&A.