Sequential re-rating: management describes the same offering landing bigger the second and third time around
The model's full reasoning — Q3 2018 call → NOWe need to determine if management describes successive engagements of the same kind coming in at progressively larger size. The transcript is about Western Gas Partners. Management discusses growth, but we need to see if they explicitly say that the size of individual deals, contracts, projects, etc. is escalating. They talk about 2019 EBITDA growth of at least 20%, capital expenditures declining, and strong growth in Delaware Basin. They mention "critical midstream infrastructure coming on line" and "large customers' pro-activity in securing takeaway." But do they say that the individual projects or contracts are getting bigger? They mention "Mentone facility" and "Whitethorn" but not that each new project is larger than previous ones. They talk about "significant organic growth" but that could be from more volume, not larger unit size. They also mention "our capital expenditures will significantly decline" which suggests they are not scaling up projects. There is no explicit comparison of deal sizes. The analyst questions about drop-downs and options, but management doesn't affirm that deals are getting bigger. They say "we have no new to say on that topic." So no. Thus answer NO.
| Ticker | Company | Call | Date | Call grade |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ASO | Academy Sports and Outdoors, Inc. | Q1 2024 | 2024-06-11 | C+ |
| AKYA | Akoya Biosciences, Inc. | Q2 2023 | 2023-08-07 | C+ |
| SPT | Sprout Social, Inc. | Q2 2023 | 2023-08-04 | B+ |
| SGRY | Surgery Partners, Inc. | Q2 2022 | 2022-08-02 | B+ |
| CYBR | CyberArk Software Ltd. | Q3 2021 | 2021-11-04 | B+ |
| ASAN | Asana, Inc. | Q2 2022 | 2021-09-01 | B+ |
| OWL | Blue Owl Capital Inc. | Q2 2021 | 2021-08-10 | B+ |
AKYA · Q2 2023 → YESThe question is: Does management describe that the company's SUCCESSIVE ENGAGEMENTS OF THE SAME KIND ARE COMING IN AT PROGRESSIVELY LARGER SIZE? YES The transcript shows management describing a clear pattern of escalating project sizes in the translational/clinical space. Brian notes a migration from exploratory studies (reasonable size) to larger retrospective studies and even larger retrospective-prospective ongoing clinical studies, with projects moving "further and further downstream.
ASAN · Q2 2022 → YESThe question is: Does management describe that the company's SUCCESSIVE ENGAGEMENTS OF THE SAME KIND ARE COMING IN AT PROGRESSIVELY LARGER SIZE? YES Management describes exactly this pattern. Dustin notes the company is “closing larger deals and expanding seats across departments and geographies quickly in large organizations,” and that the growth in the >$50k cohort “reflected an acceleration in our largest enterprise customers.
SGRY · Q2 2022 → YESThe question is: Does management describe that the company's SUCCESSIVE ENGAGEMENTS OF THE SAME KIND ARE COMING IN AT PROGRESSIVELY LARGER SIZE? YES The transcript shows management describing exactly this pattern for physician recruiting cohorts. Wayne notes that the 2022 cohorts are “no exception to this trend, bringing more cases with a higher overall net revenue per case than our 2021 cohorts did in the same period last year.