Stale terms, scheduled reset: the existing book is priced for a world that has moved on
The model's full reasoning — Q2 2016 call → NOWe need to determine if management describes a meaningful portion of existing business being carried at prices/rates/terms set in the past that are now below current market, and that this existing business is coming up for repricing/renewal/reset on a schedule management can see, so economics improve as older terms roll off, without needing new customers. Look through transcript for such descriptions. Key areas: Digital Real Estate, HarperCollins, Foxtel, News, etc. Search for terms like "renewal", "reset", "roll off", "pricing", "rate", "contracts", "subscriptions", "price increase", "phased in", "repricing". Bedi Singh mentions: "We implemented a $4 subscription price increase in July, which will be phased in over the next 12 months." That is about existing subscribers? The Wall Street Journal circulation revenues grew due to higher subscription pricing and higher digital paid subscribers. The price increase is for existing subscribers? It says "phased in over the next 12 months" - that suggests existing subscribers will see price increases over time. That is a repricing of existing book. But is it below current market? It's a price increase, but is it described as bringing old terms up to current market? Not explicitly. It's just a price increase. Also, it's for subscriptions, which are existing customers. But does management say that the old terms were below market? Not really. They just say they implemented a price increase. That might be ordinary pricing. Another: "At News Australia, circulation revenues declined 3%, but was slightly up in constant currency as a result of cover price increasing and higher paid digital subs offsetting print volume declines." That's cover price increases, but again not necessarily about resetting old contracts to market. "At News UK, circulation revenues were relatively flat versus the prior quarter, driven by a lift in paid volume at The Times and cover price increases taken this quarter for both The Sun and The Times." Again, cover price increases. "Foxtel... ARPU for the quarter was down approximately 3% to around A$89." Not about repricing. "Digital Real Estate... REA's revenue grew 17%... due to higher list depth product penetration." That's new products. "Move revenues rose 21%...
| Ticker | Company | Call | Date | Call grade |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SNV | Synovus Financial Corp. | Q1 2024 | 2024-04-18 | B |
| FISI | Financial Institutions, Inc. | Q4 2023 | 2024-01-26 | B |
| UMBF | UMB Financial Corporation | Q3 2022 | 2022-10-26 | C+ |
| CRK | Comstock Resources, Inc. | Q2 2022 | 2022-08-02 | B+ |
| ADSK | Autodesk, Inc. | Q3 2019 | 2018-11-20 | A |
| T | AT&T Inc. | Q3 2018 | 2018-10-24 | C+ |
| DBX | Dropbox, Inc. | Q2 2018 | 2018-08-09 | B |
| ESS | Essex Property Trust, Inc. | Q2 2018 | 2018-08-03 | B+ |
| PTC | PTC Inc. | Q3 2017 | 2017-07-19 | C+ |
| BDN | Brandywine Realty Trust | Q1 2017 | 2017-04-21 | C+ |
FISI · Q4 2023 → YESThe question is about whether management describes a meaningful portion of the existing business being carried at below-current-market terms, and that it's coming up for repricing on a visible schedul...YES The transcript shows management describing exactly this situation for the company's existing loan and securities portfolios (yields rolling off) and for a meaningful portion of its deposit book (the money-market campaign with 12-month guarantees that reset in July 2024). Jack Plants explicitly ties the expected margin expansion to these scheduled repric ings and redeployments of existing cash flows, stating that the improvement is already embedded in the company's current commitments and does not require new customers or demand. This matches the criteria for a "meaningful portion" of the existing business coming up for repricing on a visible schedule. The answer is therefore YES.
PTC · Q3 2017 → YESThe question is about whether management describes a meaningful portion of the existing business being carried at below-current-market prices/terms that are coming up for repricing on a visible schedu...YES Management describes a meaningful portion of the existing business (large enterprise customers on volume purchase agreements / perpetual licenses with discounted maintenance) being carried at below-current off-the-shelf rates. These older terms are expiring on a visible schedule (many in Q4 2017), creating a compelling event where customers must either convert 50%+ ACV uplift to subscription or renew maintenance at 25% higher rates. This repricing is already embedded in the existing book and will improve economics without new customers or demand, as confirmed by the large pipeline of such opportunities and the fact that most large deals are already moving to subscription.
UMBF · Q3 2022 → YESThe question is about whether management describes a meaningful portion of the existing business being carried at below-current-market terms that will reprice/reset on a known schedule, improving econ...YES The transcript shows management describing a meaningful portion of the existing loan book carried at past terms that are now below current market levels, with repricing already scheduled: 61% of loans (~$12.1 billion) are variable-rate, 60% repricing in the next quarter and 71% within 12 months, tied to short-end indices. Loan yields rose 74 bp quarter-over-quarter to 4.46% (cycle-to-date beta 37%), and the securities portfolio is rolling off at ~1.83% yield while cash flows fund higher-yielding loans.