Artul.ai Research LibraryStudy No. 23Signal CombinationsUpdated 2026-08-28
Dodged and Left Hanging: When Two Signals Appear Together
By Artul.ai Research Group · n = 3,629 earnings calls · First published 2026-08-28
Some earnings calls combine two red flags: executives dodge a question, and the analyst who asked it never gets a real answer. Across 165,182 earnings-call transcripts read by an AI, 3,629 calls — about 2.2% — show this "dodged and left hanging" pattern. For anyone who listens to calls for a living, it's worth knowing what tends to travel with it: rehearsed delivery, weak guidance, and a notable absence of reassured skeptics.
The profile is striking: evasion scores average 6.23 versus 2.7 baseline, while candor sits at 5.75 against 6.86. Guidance is withdrawn on 8.0% of these calls versus 2.7% overall, and raised on only 8.5% versus 21.1%. Co-occurrence tells the same story: "Calls That Resolve Doubts" appears on just 19.9% of these calls versus 79.5% baseline (a 0.25 ratio), and "Skeptic Reassured" on 17.0% versus 66.4%. The pattern has also faded over time, falling from 3.93% of calls in 2015 to 1.36% in 2025. Among 360 such calls with return data, the median move was -13.3% versus -7.2% baseline.
These AI-read fields are noisy, and the return comparison is descriptive history from a 22,449-call sample — not a trading signal. Our own forward tests falsified directional prediction, and language models partially remember famous stocks' histories, which contaminates any backtest. Treat this as a description of how language patterns cluster, not a forecast.
Matching Calls
3,629
2.2% of corpus
12m Excess vs SPY (median)
-13.3%
sample baseline -7.2%
Beat SPY
32%
baseline 39% · n=360
Behavior profile
| Meter | This group | All calls |
|---|
| Candor | 5.75/9 | 6.86/9 |
| Evasion | 6.23/9 | 2.70/9 |
| Specificity | 6.25/9 | 7.56/9 |
| Stress | 4.13/9 | 2.43/9 |
| Promotion | 5.18/9 | 5.05/9 |
| Confidence | 6.47/9 | 7.21/9 |
Guidance actions in this group
| Action | This group | All calls |
|---|
| raised | 8.5% | 21.1% |
| maintained | 38.6% | 48.8% |
| lowered | 11.9% | 11.6% |
| withdrawn | 8.0% | 2.7% |
What travels with it
| Signal | Lift | In group | Overall |
|---|
| Scale-Dependent Advantage Claims | 2.65× | 29.4% | 11.1% |
| Calls That Read Rehearsed | 1.36× | 52.6% | 38.7% |
| Results Worse Than Direction | 1.32× | 67.6% | 51.1% |
| The Finished-Story Tell | 1.28× | 5.6% | 4.4% |
| Underused Fixed Costs | 1.27× | 52.8% | 41.6% |
| Calls That Resolve Doubts | 0.25× | 19.9% | 79.5% |
| Skeptic Reassured | 0.26× | 17.0% | 66.4% |
| Guidance Worth Underwriting | 0.41× | 29.1% | 71.5% |
| Confidence Proportionate to Evidence | 0.63× | 55.4% | 87.6% |
| Pricing Recovering | 0.66× | 14.1% | 21.5% |
Share of calls by year
| Year | Share | |
|---|
| 2015 | 3.93% | |
| 2016 | 3.01% | |
| 2017 | 2.85% | |
| 2018 | 2.64% | |
| 2019 | 2.54% | |
| 2020 | 2.20% | |
| 2021 | 1.81% | |
| 2022 | 1.70% | |
| 2023 | 1.58% | |
| 2024 | 1.53% | |
| 2025 | 1.36% | |
Recent examples
| Ticker | Call | Date | Grade |
|---|
| HYMTF | Q2 2025 | 2025-07-24 | F |
| UNP | Q2 2025 | 2025-07-24 | D |
| WFG | Q2 2025 | 2025-07-24 | F |
| NESRF | Q4 2025 | 2025-07-24 | F |
| TSLA | Q2 2025 | 2025-07-23 | F |
| THC | Q2 2025 | 2025-07-23 | C+ |
| VICR | Q2 2025 | 2025-07-22 | F |
| SARTF | Q2 2025 | 2025-07-22 | D |
Cite this study
Artul.ai Research Group (2026). “Dodged and Left Hanging: When Two Signals Appear Together.” Artul.ai Earnings-Call Research Library, Study No. 23. https://artul.ai/research/dodged-and-left-hanging
Not investment advice. Artul.ai publishes AI-generated earnings-call quality grades and expected-volatility estimates — never buy or sell recommendations. We tested over 1,600 predictive hypotheses against 165,000 transcripts; the honest result, including what failed, is documented in our
methodology.