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Conifer Holdings, Inc. (CNFR) — Earnings Call X-Ray

Our AI read all 26 of CNFR's earnings calls (2018–2024) and answered the same battery of questions about each one. Every past call is free; the newest quarter unlocks with a free account.

Latest Call Grade
🔒
Q2 2024 · sign up to see
Previous Call Grade
D
Q1 2024
Expected Move
🔒
next 45 days · members
Calls Analyzed
26
2018–2024
Avg Candor
7/9
evasion 2.3/9
Critic AmmunitionUnderused Fixed CostsMargins ExpandingDemand SlowingHidden SegmentReads RehearsedQuestion Left HangingResults Worse Than Direction

Call-by-call analysis

🔒 Q2 2024 earnings call 2024-08-16 NEWEST

Guidance: ■■■■■Demand: ■■■■■■ Margins: ■■■■Backlog: ■■■■ ■ analysts, ■■ questionsexpected move ±■■%
Candor /9
Specificity /9
Evasion /9
Stress /9

Management ■■■■■■ guidance against ■■■■■■■■ demand and ■■■■■■■ margins. The delivery was ■■■■■■■■ and ■■■■ in specifics, with ■■■ questions left hanging.

🔒 The Q2 2024 call grade is ready
The full 37-point AI read of CNFR's newest earnings call — grade, expected move, and every question answered — is free with an account.
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D Q1 2024 earnings call 2024-05-15

Management held guidance steady against slowing demand and expanding margins. The delivery was rich in specifics.

Guidance: maintainedDemand: slowingMargins: expandingPricing: stable
⚑ Critic ammunition⚑ Question left hanging⚑ Reads rehearsedHidden segmentDirection beats results
Candor 6/9
Specificity 7/9
Evasion 2/9
Confidence 6/9
Uncertainty 3/9
Promotion 5/9
Stress 4/9
Complexity 6/9
All 20 questions our AI answered about this call
NO Would a skeptical short-seller find this call reassuring?
NO Would a careful investor underwrite management's guidance?
NO Is management's confidence proportionate to the evidence presented?
NO Does the call resolve more doubts than it creates?
YES Is there something a critic could fairly use against the company?
YES Is a claimed advantage dependent on scale they lack?
YES Does an obvious question remain unanswered?
NO Is a product early in its life but growing very fast?
NO Do they serve a small fraction of their addressable customers?
NO Is volume about to step up rather than grow gradually?
YES Are high fixed costs currently underutilised?
NO Is pricing recovering from a depressed level?
YES Do current results look bad while the direction looks better?
NO Are deferred revenue or customer prepayments growing?
NO Is consolidation happening among their peers?
NO Is a founder still running the company?
NO Does the final speaker sound like they are summarizing a finished story?
YES Is a fast-growing segment obscured by a declining one?
NO Does the CFO speak more than the CEO?
YES Does the call read rehearsed rather than lived?

C+ Q3 2023 earnings call 2023-11-10

Management gave no formal guidance against mixed demand signals and contracting margins. The delivery was unusually candid, rich in specifics.

Demand: mixedMargins: contractingPricing: raising 1 analysts · 3 questions
⚑ Critic ammunition✓ Guidance underwritable✓ Resolves doubtsFounder-ledDirection beats results
Candor 7/9
Specificity 8/9
Evasion 2/9
Confidence 6/9
Uncertainty 4/9
Promotion 5/9
Stress 3/9
Complexity 4/9
All 20 questions our AI answered about this call
NO Would a skeptical short-seller find this call reassuring?
YES Would a careful investor underwrite management's guidance?
YES Is management's confidence proportionate to the evidence presented?
YES Does the call resolve more doubts than it creates?
YES Is there something a critic could fairly use against the company?
NO Is a claimed advantage dependent on scale they lack?
NO Does an obvious question remain unanswered?
NO Is a product early in its life but growing very fast?
NO Do they serve a small fraction of their addressable customers?
NO Is volume about to step up rather than grow gradually?
NO Are high fixed costs currently underutilised?
YES Is pricing recovering from a depressed level?
YES Do current results look bad while the direction looks better?
NO Are deferred revenue or customer prepayments growing?
NO Is consolidation happening among their peers?
YES Is a founder still running the company?
NO Does the final speaker sound like they are summarizing a finished story?
NO Is a fast-growing segment obscured by a declining one?
NO Does the CFO speak more than the CEO?
NO Does the call read rehearsed rather than lived?

C Q2 2023 earnings call 2023-08-10 move ±16.2%

Management gave no formal guidance against accelerating demand and contracting margins. The delivery was unusually candid, rich in specifics.

Demand: acceleratingMargins: contractingPricing: raising 1 analysts · 5 questions
⚑ Critic ammunition✓ Resolves doubts⚑ Reads rehearsedFounder-ledDirection beats results
Candor 7/9
Specificity 8/9
Evasion 2/9
Confidence 7/9
Uncertainty 4/9
Promotion 6/9
Stress 3/9
Complexity 5/9
All 20 questions our AI answered about this call
NO Would a skeptical short-seller find this call reassuring?
NO Would a careful investor underwrite management's guidance?
YES Is management's confidence proportionate to the evidence presented?
YES Does the call resolve more doubts than it creates?
YES Is there something a critic could fairly use against the company?
NO Is a claimed advantage dependent on scale they lack?
NO Does an obvious question remain unanswered?
NO Is a product early in its life but growing very fast?
NO Do they serve a small fraction of their addressable customers?
NO Is volume about to step up rather than grow gradually?
YES Are high fixed costs currently underutilised?
YES Is pricing recovering from a depressed level?
YES Do current results look bad while the direction looks better?
NO Are deferred revenue or customer prepayments growing?
NO Is consolidation happening among their peers?
YES Is a founder still running the company?
NO Does the final speaker sound like they are summarizing a finished story?
NO Is a fast-growing segment obscured by a declining one?
NO Does the CFO speak more than the CEO?
YES Does the call read rehearsed rather than lived?

B Q1 2023 earnings call 2023-05-13 move ±14.5%

Management held guidance steady against steady demand and expanding margins. The delivery was unusually candid, rich in specifics.

Guidance: maintainedDemand: stableMargins: expandingPricing: raising 1 analysts · 3 questions
⚑ Critic ammunition✓ Skeptic reassured✓ Guidance underwritable✓ Resolves doubts⚑ Reads rehearsedFounder-led
Candor 7/9
Specificity 7/9
Evasion 1/9
Confidence 8/9
Uncertainty 3/9
Promotion 5/9
Stress 2/9
Complexity 4/9
All 20 questions our AI answered about this call
YES Would a skeptical short-seller find this call reassuring?
YES Would a careful investor underwrite management's guidance?
YES Is management's confidence proportionate to the evidence presented?
YES Does the call resolve more doubts than it creates?
YES Is there something a critic could fairly use against the company?
NO Is a claimed advantage dependent on scale they lack?
NO Does an obvious question remain unanswered?
NO Is a product early in its life but growing very fast?
NO Do they serve a small fraction of their addressable customers?
NO Is volume about to step up rather than grow gradually?
YES Are high fixed costs currently underutilised?
YES Is pricing recovering from a depressed level?
NO Do current results look bad while the direction looks better?
NO Are deferred revenue or customer prepayments growing?
NO Is consolidation happening among their peers?
YES Is a founder still running the company?
NO Does the final speaker sound like they are summarizing a finished story?
NO Is a fast-growing segment obscured by a declining one?
NO Does the CFO speak more than the CEO?
YES Does the call read rehearsed rather than lived?

C Q4 2022 earnings call 2023-03-09 move ±18.6%

Management gave no formal guidance against steady demand and contracting margins. The delivery was unusually candid, rich in specifics.

Demand: stableMargins: contractingPricing: raising 1 analysts · 1 questions
⚑ Critic ammunition⚑ Question left hanging✓ Resolves doubts⚑ Reads rehearsedFounder-ledDirection beats results
Candor 7/9
Specificity 8/9
Evasion 2/9
Confidence 7/9
Uncertainty 3/9
Promotion 5/9
Stress 3/9
Complexity 6/9
All 20 questions our AI answered about this call
NO Would a skeptical short-seller find this call reassuring?
NO Would a careful investor underwrite management's guidance?
NO Is management's confidence proportionate to the evidence presented?
YES Does the call resolve more doubts than it creates?
YES Is there something a critic could fairly use against the company?
NO Is a claimed advantage dependent on scale they lack?
YES Does an obvious question remain unanswered?
NO Is a product early in its life but growing very fast?
NO Do they serve a small fraction of their addressable customers?
NO Is volume about to step up rather than grow gradually?
YES Are high fixed costs currently underutilised?
YES Is pricing recovering from a depressed level?
YES Do current results look bad while the direction looks better?
NO Are deferred revenue or customer prepayments growing?
NO Is consolidation happening among their peers?
YES Is a founder still running the company?
NO Does the final speaker sound like they are summarizing a finished story?
NO Is a fast-growing segment obscured by a declining one?
NO Does the CFO speak more than the CEO?
YES Does the call read rehearsed rather than lived?

D Q3 2022 earnings call 2022-11-12 move ±13.1%

Management held guidance steady against steady demand. The delivery was rich in specifics.

Guidance: maintainedDemand: stableMargins: stablePricing: raising 1 analysts · 3 questions
⚑ Critic ammunition✓ Resolves doubtsFounder-ledDirection beats results
Candor 6/9
Specificity 7/9
Evasion 2/9
Confidence 8/9
Uncertainty 4/9
Promotion 5/9
Stress 3/9
Complexity 4/9
All 20 questions our AI answered about this call
NO Would a skeptical short-seller find this call reassuring?
NO Would a careful investor underwrite management's guidance?
NO Is management's confidence proportionate to the evidence presented?
YES Does the call resolve more doubts than it creates?
YES Is there something a critic could fairly use against the company?
NO Is a claimed advantage dependent on scale they lack?
NO Does an obvious question remain unanswered?
NO Is a product early in its life but growing very fast?
NO Do they serve a small fraction of their addressable customers?
NO Is volume about to step up rather than grow gradually?
YES Are high fixed costs currently underutilised?
YES Is pricing recovering from a depressed level?
YES Do current results look bad while the direction looks better?
NO Are deferred revenue or customer prepayments growing?
NO Is consolidation happening among their peers?
YES Is a founder still running the company?
NO Does the final speaker sound like they are summarizing a finished story?
NO Is a fast-growing segment obscured by a declining one?
NO Does the CFO speak more than the CEO?
NO Does the call read rehearsed rather than lived?

F Q2 2022 earnings call 2022-08-11 move ±49.9%

Management held guidance steady against steady demand and contracting margins. The delivery was unusually candid, rich in specifics.

Guidance: maintainedDemand: stableMargins: contractingPricing: raising 1 analysts · 2 questions
⚑ Critic ammunition⚑ Question left hanging⚑ Reads rehearsedFounder-ledDirection beats results
Candor 7/9
Specificity 7/9
Evasion 3/9
Confidence 6/9
Uncertainty 4/9
Promotion 5/9
Stress 5/9
Complexity 6/9
All 20 questions our AI answered about this call
NO Would a skeptical short-seller find this call reassuring?
NO Would a careful investor underwrite management's guidance?
NO Is management's confidence proportionate to the evidence presented?
NO Does the call resolve more doubts than it creates?
YES Is there something a critic could fairly use against the company?
YES Is a claimed advantage dependent on scale they lack?
YES Does an obvious question remain unanswered?
NO Is a product early in its life but growing very fast?
NO Do they serve a small fraction of their addressable customers?
NO Is volume about to step up rather than grow gradually?
NO Are high fixed costs currently underutilised?
YES Is pricing recovering from a depressed level?
YES Do current results look bad while the direction looks better?
NO Are deferred revenue or customer prepayments growing?
NO Is consolidation happening among their peers?
YES Is a founder still running the company?
NO Does the final speaker sound like they are summarizing a finished story?
NO Is a fast-growing segment obscured by a declining one?
NO Does the CFO speak more than the CEO?
YES Does the call read rehearsed rather than lived?

Earlier calls

CallDateGradeGuidanceDemandMarginsCandorEvasion
Q1 2022 2022-05-14 C maintainedstableexpanding 7/9 2/9
Q4 2021 2022-03-03 C+ maintainedstableexpanding 7/9 3/9
Q3 2021 2021-11-11 C+ maintainedacceleratingexpanding 7/9 2/9
Q2 2021 2021-08-12 C noneacceleratingcontracting 7/9 2/9
Q1 2021 2021-05-12 C+ maintainedacceleratingcontracting 8/9 2/9
Q4 2020 2021-02-28 C+ maintainedacceleratingstable 7/9 2/9
Q3 2020 2020-11-14 C+ noneacceleratingcontracting 7/9 2/9
Q2 2020 2020-08-13 B maintainedstableexpanding 7/9 2/9
Q1 2020 2020-05-14 C nonemixedcontracting 7/9 2/9
Q4 2019 2020-02-29 C+ raisedstableexpanding 7/9 2/9
Q3 2019 2019-11-12 B raisedstableexpanding 7/9 1/9
Q2 2019 2019-08-11 F nonemixedcontracting 6/9 5/9
Q1 2019 2019-05-13 F maintainedstablecontracting 7/9 4/9
Q4 2018 2019-03-02 D nonestablecontracting 7/9 3/9
Q3 2018 2018-11-10 C+ maintainedmixedexpanding 8/9 2/9
Q2 2018 2018-08-12 C nonemixedcontracting 7/9 3/9
Q1 2018 2018-05-12 B maintainedstableexpanding 7/9 1/9
Q4 2017 2018-03-03 B+ maintainedmixedexpanding 8/9 1/9

How to read this page

The grade is a transparent composite of call quality — candor, specificity, low evasion, low stress, whether the call resolves more doubts than it creates, and the guidance action — not a buy or sell signal. The expected move is a volatility estimate from the one signal that survived our out-of-sample tests: how a stock's own reaction and pre-call volatility predict the size (not direction) of its next move. Full detail, including everything that failed: methodology.

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Not investment advice. Artul.ai publishes AI-generated earnings-call quality grades and expected-volatility estimates — never buy or sell recommendations. We tested over 1,600 predictive hypotheses against 165,000 transcripts; the honest result, including what failed, is documented in our methodology.