🔒 Q1 2020 earnings call 2020-05-13 NEWEST
Management ■■■■■■ guidance against ■■■■■■■■ demand and ■■■■■■■ margins. The delivery was ■■■■■■■■ and ■■■■ in specifics, with ■■■ questions left hanging.
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Management ■■■■■■ guidance against ■■■■■■■■ demand and ■■■■■■■ margins. The delivery was ■■■■■■■■ and ■■■■ in specifics, with ■■■ questions left hanging.
Management gave no formal guidance. The delivery was unusually candid.
Management gave no formal guidance. The delivery was unusually candid, rich in specifics.
Management gave no formal guidance against contracting margins.
Management gave no formal guidance against mixed demand signals. The delivery was frequently evasive.
Management gave no formal guidance against slowing demand and contracting margins. The delivery was rich in specifics.
Management gave no formal guidance against steady demand and contracting margins. The delivery was rich in specifics.
Management raised guidance against accelerating demand and expanding margins. The delivery was rich in specifics.
| Call | Date | Grade | Guidance | Demand | Margins | Candor | Evasion |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q1 2018 | 2018-04-05 | B | raised | stable | expanding | 7/9 | 4/9 |
| Q4 2017 | 2018-01-23 | D | none | accelerating | unclear | 6/9 | 4/9 |
| Q3 2017 | 2017-11-10 | D | none | unclear | contracting | 7/9 | 4/9 |
| Q2 2017 | 2017-08-10 | C | none | unclear | contracting | 5/9 | 2/9 |
| Q1 2017 | 2017-05-15 | B | none | accelerating | expanding | 7/9 | 1/9 |
| Q4 2016 | 2017-03-28 | C | none | accelerating | expanding | 5/9 | 4/9 |
| Q3 2016 | 2016-11-15 | B+ | raised | stable | expanding | 7/9 | 2/9 |
| Q2 2016 | 2016-08-12 | D | raised | accelerating | stable | 5/9 | 4/9 |
| Q1 2016 | 2016-05-16 | D | none | mixed | unclear | 6/9 | 3/9 |
The grade is a transparent composite of call quality — candor, specificity, low evasion, low stress, whether the call resolves more doubts than it creates, and the guidance action — not a buy or sell signal. The expected move is a volatility estimate from the one signal that survived our out-of-sample tests: how a stock's own reaction and pre-call volatility predict the size (not direction) of its next move. Full detail, including everything that failed: methodology.
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