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Overstock.com's (OSTK) — Earnings Call X-Ray

Our AI read all 32 of OSTK's earnings calls (2016–2023) and answered the same battery of questions about each one. Every past call is free; the newest quarter unlocks with a free account.

Latest Call Grade
🔒
Q3 2023 · sign up to see
Previous Call Grade
D
Q2 2023
Expected Move
🔒
next 45 days · members
Calls Analyzed
32
2016–2023
Avg Candor
7/9
evasion 3.4/9
Guidance LoweredPromotional ToneCritic AmmunitionVolume Step-UpPricing Under PressureMargins ContractingDemand SlowingCapex Increasing

Call-by-call analysis

🔒 Q3 2023 earnings call 2023-10-26 NEWEST

Guidance: ■■■■■Demand: ■■■■■■ Margins: ■■■■Backlog: ■■■■ ■ analysts, ■■ questionsexpected move ±■■%
Candor /9
Specificity /9
Evasion /9
Stress /9

Management ■■■■■■ guidance against ■■■■■■■■ demand and ■■■■■■■ margins. The delivery was ■■■■■■■■ and ■■■■ in specifics, with ■■■ questions left hanging.

🔒 The Q3 2023 call grade is ready
The full 37-point AI read of OSTK's newest earnings call — grade, expected move, and every question answered — is free with an account.
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D Q2 2023 earnings call 2023-07-27

Management lowered guidance against slowing demand and contracting margins. The delivery was rich in specifics, promotional in tone.

Guidance: loweredDemand: slowingMargins: contractingPricing: under pressureCapex: increasing 5 analysts · 7 questions
⚑ Critic ammunition⚑ Question left hanging✓ Resolves doubts✓ Volume step-up ahead⚑ Reads rehearsedDirection beats results
Candor 6/9
Specificity 7/9
Evasion 3/9
Confidence 8/9
Uncertainty 4/9
Promotion 8/9
Stress 2/9
Complexity 4/9
All 20 questions our AI answered about this call
NO Would a skeptical short-seller find this call reassuring?
NO Would a careful investor underwrite management's guidance?
YES Is management's confidence proportionate to the evidence presented?
YES Does the call resolve more doubts than it creates?
YES Is there something a critic could fairly use against the company?
NO Is a claimed advantage dependent on scale they lack?
YES Does an obvious question remain unanswered?
NO Is a product early in its life but growing very fast?
NO Do they serve a small fraction of their addressable customers?
YES Is volume about to step up rather than grow gradually?
NO Are high fixed costs currently underutilised?
NO Is pricing recovering from a depressed level?
YES Do current results look bad while the direction looks better?
NO Are deferred revenue or customer prepayments growing?
YES Is consolidation happening among their peers?
NO Is a founder still running the company?
NO Does the final speaker sound like they are summarizing a finished story?
NO Is a fast-growing segment obscured by a declining one?
NO Does the CFO speak more than the CEO?
YES Does the call read rehearsed rather than lived?

D Q1 2023 earnings call 2023-04-27

Management held guidance steady against slowing demand. The delivery was unusually candid, rich in specifics.

Guidance: maintainedDemand: slowingMargins: stablePricing: under pressureHeadcount: cuttingCapex: flat 7 analysts · 10 questions
⚑ Critic ammunition⚑ Question left hangingDirection beats results
Candor 7/9
Specificity 7/9
Evasion 3/9
Confidence 6/9
Uncertainty 5/9
Promotion 4/9
Stress 4/9
Complexity 5/9
All 20 questions our AI answered about this call
NO Would a skeptical short-seller find this call reassuring?
NO Would a careful investor underwrite management's guidance?
YES Is management's confidence proportionate to the evidence presented?
NO Does the call resolve more doubts than it creates?
YES Is there something a critic could fairly use against the company?
NO Is a claimed advantage dependent on scale they lack?
YES Does an obvious question remain unanswered?
NO Is a product early in its life but growing very fast?
YES Do they serve a small fraction of their addressable customers?
NO Is volume about to step up rather than grow gradually?
YES Are high fixed costs currently underutilised?
NO Is pricing recovering from a depressed level?
YES Do current results look bad while the direction looks better?
NO Are deferred revenue or customer prepayments growing?
YES Is consolidation happening among their peers?
NO Is a founder still running the company?
NO Does the final speaker sound like they are summarizing a finished story?
NO Is a fast-growing segment obscured by a declining one?
NO Does the CFO speak more than the CEO?
NO Does the call read rehearsed rather than lived?

F Q4 2022 earnings call 2023-02-22

Management lowered guidance against slowing demand and contracting margins. The delivery was unusually candid.

Guidance: loweredDemand: slowingMargins: contractingPricing: under pressureHeadcount: flatCapex: decreasing 8 analysts · 9 questions
⚑ Critic ammunition⚑ Question left hanging⚑ Reads rehearsedDirection beats results
Candor 7/9
Specificity 6/9
Evasion 4/9
Confidence 6/9
Uncertainty 6/9
Promotion 5/9
Stress 5/9
Complexity 3/9
All 20 questions our AI answered about this call
NO Would a skeptical short-seller find this call reassuring?
NO Would a careful investor underwrite management's guidance?
YES Is management's confidence proportionate to the evidence presented?
NO Does the call resolve more doubts than it creates?
YES Is there something a critic could fairly use against the company?
NO Is a claimed advantage dependent on scale they lack?
YES Does an obvious question remain unanswered?
NO Is a product early in its life but growing very fast?
YES Do they serve a small fraction of their addressable customers?
NO Is volume about to step up rather than grow gradually?
YES Are high fixed costs currently underutilised?
NO Is pricing recovering from a depressed level?
YES Do current results look bad while the direction looks better?
NO Are deferred revenue or customer prepayments growing?
NO Is consolidation happening among their peers?
NO Is a founder still running the company?
NO Does the final speaker sound like they are summarizing a finished story?
NO Is a fast-growing segment obscured by a declining one?
NO Does the CFO speak more than the CEO?
YES Does the call read rehearsed rather than lived?

F Q3 2022 earnings call 2022-10-27

Management lowered guidance against slowing demand. The delivery was unusually candid.

Guidance: loweredDemand: slowingMargins: stablePricing: under pressureHeadcount: cuttingCapex: flat 5 analysts · 8 questions
⚑ Critic ammunition⚑ Question left hanging⚑ Reads rehearsedHidden segmentDirection beats results
Candor 7/9
Specificity 6/9
Evasion 3/9
Confidence 7/9
Uncertainty 5/9
Promotion 5/9
Stress 4/9
Complexity 3/9
All 20 questions our AI answered about this call
NO Would a skeptical short-seller find this call reassuring?
NO Would a careful investor underwrite management's guidance?
NO Is management's confidence proportionate to the evidence presented?
NO Does the call resolve more doubts than it creates?
YES Is there something a critic could fairly use against the company?
NO Is a claimed advantage dependent on scale they lack?
YES Does an obvious question remain unanswered?
NO Is a product early in its life but growing very fast?
YES Do they serve a small fraction of their addressable customers?
NO Is volume about to step up rather than grow gradually?
NO Are high fixed costs currently underutilised?
NO Is pricing recovering from a depressed level?
YES Do current results look bad while the direction looks better?
NO Are deferred revenue or customer prepayments growing?
YES Is consolidation happening among their peers?
NO Is a founder still running the company?
NO Does the final speaker sound like they are summarizing a finished story?
YES Is a fast-growing segment obscured by a declining one?
NO Does the CFO speak more than the CEO?
YES Does the call read rehearsed rather than lived?

C Q2 2022 earnings call 2022-07-28

Management held guidance steady against slowing demand and contracting margins. The delivery was unusually candid, rich in specifics.

Guidance: maintainedDemand: slowingMargins: contractingPricing: under pressure 6 analysts · 8 questions
⚑ Critic ammunition✓ Skeptic reassured✓ Guidance underwritable✓ Resolves doubts✓ Early product, fast growthHidden segment
Candor 7/9
Specificity 7/9
Evasion 3/9
Confidence 7/9
Uncertainty 5/9
Promotion 6/9
Stress 4/9
Complexity 4/9
All 20 questions our AI answered about this call
YES Would a skeptical short-seller find this call reassuring?
YES Would a careful investor underwrite management's guidance?
YES Is management's confidence proportionate to the evidence presented?
YES Does the call resolve more doubts than it creates?
YES Is there something a critic could fairly use against the company?
NO Is a claimed advantage dependent on scale they lack?
NO Does an obvious question remain unanswered?
YES Is a product early in its life but growing very fast?
YES Do they serve a small fraction of their addressable customers?
NO Is volume about to step up rather than grow gradually?
NO Are high fixed costs currently underutilised?
NO Is pricing recovering from a depressed level?
YES Do current results look bad while the direction looks better?
NO Are deferred revenue or customer prepayments growing?
NO Is consolidation happening among their peers?
NO Is a founder still running the company?
NO Does the final speaker sound like they are summarizing a finished story?
YES Is a fast-growing segment obscured by a declining one?
NO Does the CFO speak more than the CEO?
NO Does the call read rehearsed rather than lived?

D Q1 2022 earnings call 2022-04-28

Management withdrew guidance against slowing demand. The delivery was unusually candid, rich in specifics.

Guidance: withdrawnDemand: slowingMargins: stablePricing: under pressureHeadcount: growing 6 analysts · 9 questions
⚑ Critic ammunition⚑ Question left hangingHidden segmentDirection beats results
Candor 7/9
Specificity 8/9
Evasion 2/9
Confidence 6/9
Uncertainty 6/9
Promotion 5/9
Stress 4/9
Complexity 3/9
All 20 questions our AI answered about this call
NO Would a skeptical short-seller find this call reassuring?
NO Would a careful investor underwrite management's guidance?
YES Is management's confidence proportionate to the evidence presented?
NO Does the call resolve more doubts than it creates?
YES Is there something a critic could fairly use against the company?
NO Is a claimed advantage dependent on scale they lack?
YES Does an obvious question remain unanswered?
NO Is a product early in its life but growing very fast?
NO Do they serve a small fraction of their addressable customers?
NO Is volume about to step up rather than grow gradually?
NO Are high fixed costs currently underutilised?
NO Is pricing recovering from a depressed level?
YES Do current results look bad while the direction looks better?
NO Are deferred revenue or customer prepayments growing?
NO Is consolidation happening among their peers?
NO Is a founder still running the company?
NO Does the final speaker sound like they are summarizing a finished story?
YES Is a fast-growing segment obscured by a declining one?
NO Does the CFO speak more than the CEO?
NO Does the call read rehearsed rather than lived?

F Q4 2021 earnings call 2022-02-23

Management held guidance steady against slowing demand. The delivery was rich in specifics.

Guidance: maintainedDemand: slowingMargins: stablePricing: stableHeadcount: growing 6 analysts · 8 questions
⚑ Critic ammunition⚑ Question left hanging⚑ Reads rehearsedDirection beats results
Candor 6/9
Specificity 7/9
Evasion 5/9
Confidence 7/9
Uncertainty 4/9
Promotion 6/9
Stress 4/9
Complexity 5/9
All 20 questions our AI answered about this call
NO Would a skeptical short-seller find this call reassuring?
NO Would a careful investor underwrite management's guidance?
YES Is management's confidence proportionate to the evidence presented?
NO Does the call resolve more doubts than it creates?
YES Is there something a critic could fairly use against the company?
NO Is a claimed advantage dependent on scale they lack?
YES Does an obvious question remain unanswered?
NO Is a product early in its life but growing very fast?
NO Do they serve a small fraction of their addressable customers?
NO Is volume about to step up rather than grow gradually?
NO Are high fixed costs currently underutilised?
NO Is pricing recovering from a depressed level?
YES Do current results look bad while the direction looks better?
NO Are deferred revenue or customer prepayments growing?
NO Is consolidation happening among their peers?
NO Is a founder still running the company?
NO Does the final speaker sound like they are summarizing a finished story?
NO Is a fast-growing segment obscured by a declining one?
NO Does the CFO speak more than the CEO?
YES Does the call read rehearsed rather than lived?

Earlier calls

CallDateGradeGuidanceDemandMarginsCandorEvasion
Q3 2021 2021-10-28 B maintainedmixedstable 7/9 2/9
Q2 2021 2021-07-29 D nonemixedstable 6/9 4/9
Q1 2021 2021-04-29 B maintainedstableexpanding 7/9 2/9
Q4 2020 2021-02-24 C maintainedacceleratingexpanding 6/9 4/9
Q3 2020 2020-10-29 B noneacceleratingexpanding 7/9 2/9
Q2 2020 2020-07-30 C noneacceleratingexpanding 7/9 5/9
Q1 2020 2020-04-30 C+ noneacceleratingexpanding 7/9 2/9
Q4 2019 2020-03-13 D nonestableexpanding 6/9 3/9
Q3 2019 2019-11-12 F loweredmixedexpanding 7/9 3/9
Q2 2019 2019-08-09 D raisedmixedexpanding 7/9 3/9
Q1 2019 2019-05-09 C raisedmixedexpanding 7/9 3/9
Q4 2018 2019-03-18 D raisedmixedexpanding 7/9 4/9
Q3 2018 2018-11-08 F noneacceleratingexpanding 6/9 4/9
Q2 2018 2018-08-09 F loweredmixedcontracting 8/9 3/9
Q1 2018 2018-05-09 F maintainedacceleratingexpanding 7/9 5/9
Q4 2017 2018-03-16 F nonemixedcontracting 7/9 7/9
Q3 2017 2017-11-09 F nonemixedcontracting 8/9 4/9
Q2 2017 2017-08-04 F noneslowingstable 8/9 4/9
Q1 2017 2017-05-08 D maintainedslowingexpanding 8/9 3/9
Q4 2016 2017-02-01 D noneslowingexpanding 8/9 3/9
Q3 2016 2016-11-06 C+ raisedacceleratingstable 8/9 3/9
Q2 2016 2016-08-07 D maintainedmixedcontracting 7/9 4/9
Q1 2016 2016-05-03 D noneslowingcontracting 7/9 3/9
Q4 2015 2016-02-09 D maintainedslowingcontracting 8/9 3/9

How to read this page

The grade is a transparent composite of call quality — candor, specificity, low evasion, low stress, whether the call resolves more doubts than it creates, and the guidance action — not a buy or sell signal. The expected move is a volatility estimate from the one signal that survived our out-of-sample tests: how a stock's own reaction and pre-call volatility predict the size (not direction) of its next move. Full detail, including everything that failed: methodology.

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Not investment advice. Artul.ai publishes AI-generated earnings-call quality grades and expected-volatility estimates — never buy or sell recommendations. We tested over 1,600 predictive hypotheses against 165,000 transcripts; the honest result, including what failed, is documented in our methodology.