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Paycom Software, Inc. (PAYC) — Earnings Call X-Ray

Our AI read all 38 of PAYC's earnings calls (2016–2025) and answered the same battery of questions about each one. Every past call is free; the newest quarter unlocks with a free account.

Latest Call Grade
🔒
Q1 2025 · sign up to see
Previous Call Grade
B
Q4 2024
Expected Move
🔒
next 45 days · members
Calls Analyzed
38
2016–2025
Avg Candor
6.3/9
evasion 3.5/9
Promotional ToneSkeptic ReassuredClean CallFounder-LedUnderused Fixed CostsRaising PricesMargins ExpandingDemand Accelerating

Call-by-call analysis

🔒 Q1 2025 earnings call 2025-05-07 NEWEST

Guidance: ■■■■■Demand: ■■■■■■ Margins: ■■■■Backlog: ■■■■ ■ analysts, ■■ questionsexpected move ±■■%
Candor /9
Specificity /9
Evasion /9
Stress /9

Management ■■■■■■ guidance against ■■■■■■■■ demand and ■■■■■■■ margins. The delivery was ■■■■■■■■ and ■■■■ in specifics, with ■■■ questions left hanging.

🔒 The Q1 2025 call grade is ready
The full 37-point AI read of PAYC's newest earnings call — grade, expected move, and every question answered — is free with an account.
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B Q4 2024 earnings call 2025-02-12 move ±8.9%

Management held guidance steady against accelerating demand and expanding margins. The delivery was rich in specifics, promotional in tone.

Guidance: maintainedDemand: acceleratingMargins: expandingBacklog: growingPricing: raisingHeadcount: flatCapex: decreasing 14 analysts · 27 questions
✓ Clean call✓ Skeptic reassured⚑ Question left hanging✓ Guidance underwritable✓ Resolves doubtsFounder-led
Candor 6/9
Specificity 7/9
Evasion 4/9
Confidence 8/9
Uncertainty 3/9
Promotion 7/9
Stress 2/9
Complexity 4/9
All 20 questions our AI answered about this call
YES Would a skeptical short-seller find this call reassuring?
YES Would a careful investor underwrite management's guidance?
YES Is management's confidence proportionate to the evidence presented?
YES Does the call resolve more doubts than it creates?
NO Is there something a critic could fairly use against the company?
NO Is a claimed advantage dependent on scale they lack?
YES Does an obvious question remain unanswered?
NO Is a product early in its life but growing very fast?
YES Do they serve a small fraction of their addressable customers?
NO Is volume about to step up rather than grow gradually?
YES Are high fixed costs currently underutilised?
NO Is pricing recovering from a depressed level?
NO Do current results look bad while the direction looks better?
NO Are deferred revenue or customer prepayments growing?
YES Is consolidation happening among their peers?
YES Is a founder still running the company?
NO Does the final speaker sound like they are summarizing a finished story?
NO Is a fast-growing segment obscured by a declining one?
NO Does the CFO speak more than the CEO?
NO Does the call read rehearsed rather than lived?

B Q3 2024 earnings call 2024-10-30 move ±25.2%

Management raised guidance against accelerating demand and expanding margins. The delivery was rich in specifics, promotional in tone.

Guidance: raisedDemand: acceleratingMargins: expandingPricing: stableHeadcount: growingCapex: decreasing 11 analysts · 22 questions
⚑ Critic ammunition✓ Skeptic reassured✓ Guidance underwritable✓ Resolves doubts⚑ Reads rehearsedFounder-led
Candor 6/9
Specificity 7/9
Evasion 3/9
Confidence 8/9
Uncertainty 3/9
Promotion 7/9
Stress 2/9
Complexity 4/9
All 20 questions our AI answered about this call
YES Would a skeptical short-seller find this call reassuring?
YES Would a careful investor underwrite management's guidance?
YES Is management's confidence proportionate to the evidence presented?
YES Does the call resolve more doubts than it creates?
YES Is there something a critic could fairly use against the company?
NO Is a claimed advantage dependent on scale they lack?
NO Does an obvious question remain unanswered?
NO Is a product early in its life but growing very fast?
YES Do they serve a small fraction of their addressable customers?
NO Is volume about to step up rather than grow gradually?
NO Are high fixed costs currently underutilised?
NO Is pricing recovering from a depressed level?
NO Do current results look bad while the direction looks better?
NO Are deferred revenue or customer prepayments growing?
NO Is consolidation happening among their peers?
YES Is a founder still running the company?
NO Does the final speaker sound like they are summarizing a finished story?
NO Is a fast-growing segment obscured by a declining one?
NO Does the CFO speak more than the CEO?
YES Does the call read rehearsed rather than lived?

D Q2 2024 earnings call 2024-07-31 move ±8.2%

Management raised guidance against accelerating demand and expanding margins. The delivery was promotional in tone.

Guidance: raisedDemand: acceleratingMargins: expandingPricing: stableHeadcount: growingCapex: flat 14 analysts · 24 questions
⚑ Critic ammunition✓ Skeptic reassured⚑ Question left hanging✓ Guidance underwritable✓ Resolves doubts✓ Volume step-up ahead
Candor 5/9
Specificity 6/9
Evasion 4/9
Confidence 8/9
Uncertainty 3/9
Promotion 7/9
Stress 4/9
Complexity 4/9
All 20 questions our AI answered about this call
YES Would a skeptical short-seller find this call reassuring?
YES Would a careful investor underwrite management's guidance?
NO Is management's confidence proportionate to the evidence presented?
YES Does the call resolve more doubts than it creates?
YES Is there something a critic could fairly use against the company?
NO Is a claimed advantage dependent on scale they lack?
YES Does an obvious question remain unanswered?
YES Is a product early in its life but growing very fast?
YES Do they serve a small fraction of their addressable customers?
YES Is volume about to step up rather than grow gradually?
NO Are high fixed costs currently underutilised?
NO Is pricing recovering from a depressed level?
NO Do current results look bad while the direction looks better?
NO Are deferred revenue or customer prepayments growing?
NO Is consolidation happening among their peers?
YES Is a founder still running the company?
NO Does the final speaker sound like they are summarizing a finished story?
NO Is a fast-growing segment obscured by a declining one?
NO Does the CFO speak more than the CEO?
YES Does the call read rehearsed rather than lived?

D Q1 2024 earnings call 2024-05-01 move ±16.3%

Management held guidance steady against steady demand and expanding margins. The delivery was rich in specifics.

Guidance: maintainedDemand: stableMargins: expandingPricing: stableHeadcount: flatCapex: flat 13 analysts · 21 questions
⚑ Critic ammunition⚑ Question left hanging✓ Guidance underwritable✓ Resolves doubts✓ Early product, fast growth⚑ Reads rehearsed
Candor 6/9
Specificity 7/9
Evasion 5/9
Confidence 8/9
Uncertainty 3/9
Promotion 6/9
Stress 4/9
Complexity 4/9
All 20 questions our AI answered about this call
NO Would a skeptical short-seller find this call reassuring?
YES Would a careful investor underwrite management's guidance?
YES Is management's confidence proportionate to the evidence presented?
YES Does the call resolve more doubts than it creates?
YES Is there something a critic could fairly use against the company?
NO Is a claimed advantage dependent on scale they lack?
YES Does an obvious question remain unanswered?
YES Is a product early in its life but growing very fast?
YES Do they serve a small fraction of their addressable customers?
NO Is volume about to step up rather than grow gradually?
NO Are high fixed costs currently underutilised?
NO Is pricing recovering from a depressed level?
YES Do current results look bad while the direction looks better?
NO Are deferred revenue or customer prepayments growing?
NO Is consolidation happening among their peers?
YES Is a founder still running the company?
NO Does the final speaker sound like they are summarizing a finished story?
NO Is a fast-growing segment obscured by a declining one?
NO Does the CFO speak more than the CEO?
YES Does the call read rehearsed rather than lived?

D Q4 2023 earnings call 2024-02-07 move ±7.9%

Management held guidance steady against slowing demand and contracting margins. The delivery was rich in specifics.

Guidance: maintainedDemand: slowingMargins: contractingPricing: stableHeadcount: flatCapex: flat 14 analysts · 29 questions
⚑ Critic ammunition⚑ Question left hanging✓ Guidance underwritableFounder-led
Candor 6/9
Specificity 7/9
Evasion 4/9
Confidence 6/9
Uncertainty 5/9
Promotion 6/9
Stress 4/9
Complexity 5/9
All 20 questions our AI answered about this call
NO Would a skeptical short-seller find this call reassuring?
YES Would a careful investor underwrite management's guidance?
YES Is management's confidence proportionate to the evidence presented?
NO Does the call resolve more doubts than it creates?
YES Is there something a critic could fairly use against the company?
NO Is a claimed advantage dependent on scale they lack?
YES Does an obvious question remain unanswered?
NO Is a product early in its life but growing very fast?
NO Do they serve a small fraction of their addressable customers?
NO Is volume about to step up rather than grow gradually?
NO Are high fixed costs currently underutilised?
NO Is pricing recovering from a depressed level?
NO Do current results look bad while the direction looks better?
NO Are deferred revenue or customer prepayments growing?
NO Is consolidation happening among their peers?
YES Is a founder still running the company?
NO Does the final speaker sound like they are summarizing a finished story?
NO Is a fast-growing segment obscured by a declining one?
NO Does the CFO speak more than the CEO?
NO Does the call read rehearsed rather than lived?

F Q3 2023 earnings call 2023-10-31 move ±41.4%

Management lowered guidance against steady demand and expanding margins. The delivery was frequently evasive.

Guidance: loweredDemand: stableMargins: expandingPricing: under pressureHeadcount: growingCapex: increasing 17 analysts · 19 questions
⚑ Critic ammunition⚑ Question left hanging✓ Early product, fast growthFounder-ledDirection beats results
Candor 6/9
Specificity 5/9
Evasion 7/9
Confidence 7/9
Uncertainty 4/9
Promotion 6/9
Stress 5/9
Complexity 5/9
All 20 questions our AI answered about this call
NO Would a skeptical short-seller find this call reassuring?
NO Would a careful investor underwrite management's guidance?
NO Is management's confidence proportionate to the evidence presented?
NO Does the call resolve more doubts than it creates?
YES Is there something a critic could fairly use against the company?
NO Is a claimed advantage dependent on scale they lack?
YES Does an obvious question remain unanswered?
YES Is a product early in its life but growing very fast?
YES Do they serve a small fraction of their addressable customers?
NO Is volume about to step up rather than grow gradually?
NO Are high fixed costs currently underutilised?
NO Is pricing recovering from a depressed level?
YES Do current results look bad while the direction looks better?
NO Are deferred revenue or customer prepayments growing?
NO Is consolidation happening among their peers?
YES Is a founder still running the company?
NO Does the final speaker sound like they are summarizing a finished story?
NO Is a fast-growing segment obscured by a declining one?
NO Does the CFO speak more than the CEO?
NO Does the call read rehearsed rather than lived?
From the research question bank
2 more research questions answered NO

C+ Q2 2023 earnings call 2023-08-01 move ±23.3%

Management raised guidance against mixed demand signals and expanding margins. The delivery was unusually candid, rich in specifics, promotional in tone.

Guidance: raisedDemand: mixedMargins: expandingPricing: stableHeadcount: growing 15 analysts · 28 questions
⚑ Critic ammunition✓ Skeptic reassured✓ Guidance underwritable✓ Resolves doubts✓ Prepayments growing✓ Early product, fast growth
Candor 7/9
Specificity 7/9
Evasion 4/9
Confidence 8/9
Uncertainty 4/9
Promotion 7/9
Stress 5/9
Complexity 4/9
All 20 questions our AI answered about this call
YES Would a skeptical short-seller find this call reassuring?
YES Would a careful investor underwrite management's guidance?
YES Is management's confidence proportionate to the evidence presented?
YES Does the call resolve more doubts than it creates?
YES Is there something a critic could fairly use against the company?
NO Is a claimed advantage dependent on scale they lack?
NO Does an obvious question remain unanswered?
YES Is a product early in its life but growing very fast?
YES Do they serve a small fraction of their addressable customers?
NO Is volume about to step up rather than grow gradually?
NO Are high fixed costs currently underutilised?
NO Is pricing recovering from a depressed level?
NO Do current results look bad while the direction looks better?
YES Are deferred revenue or customer prepayments growing?
NO Is consolidation happening among their peers?
YES Is a founder still running the company?
NO Does the final speaker sound like they are summarizing a finished story?
YES Is a fast-growing segment obscured by a declining one?
NO Does the CFO speak more than the CEO?
NO Does the call read rehearsed rather than lived?

Earlier calls

CallDateGradeGuidanceDemandMarginsCandorEvasion
Q1 2023 2023-05-02 A raisedstableexpanding 7/9 3/9
Q4 2022 2023-02-07 C+ maintainedstableexpanding 7/9 3/9
Q3 2022 2022-11-01 A raisedacceleratingexpanding 7/9 1/9
Q2 2022 2022-08-02 B+ raisedstableexpanding 6/9 3/9
Q1 2022 2022-05-03 A raisedacceleratingstable 7/9 2/9
Q4 2021 2022-02-08 B maintainedacceleratingstable 7/9 2/9
Q3 2021 2021-11-02 B raisedacceleratingstable 6/9 3/9
Q2 2021 2021-08-03 B+ raisedacceleratingexpanding 7/9 3/9
Q1 2021 2021-05-05 C+ raisedmixedstable 6/9 4/9
Q4 2020 2021-02-10 B maintainedacceleratingstable 6/9 4/9
Q3 2020 2020-11-04 B raisedacceleratingcontracting 7/9 4/9
Q2 2020 2020-08-04 B+ maintainedacceleratingcontracting 8/9 2/9
Q1 2020 2020-04-28 F withdrawnmixedexpanding 7/9 4/9
Q4 2019 2020-02-05 B+ noneacceleratingexpanding 6/9 3/9
Q3 2019 2019-10-29 B raisedacceleratingexpanding 6/9 3/9
Q2 2019 2019-07-30 B raisedacceleratingexpanding 6/9 3/9
Q1 2019 2019-04-30 C+ raisedacceleratingstable 6/9 4/9
Q4 2018 2019-02-05 B+ maintainedacceleratingcontracting 7/9 2/9
Q3 2018 2018-10-30 C+ raisedacceleratingstable 6/9 4/9
Q2 2018 2018-07-31 B raisedacceleratingexpanding 6/9 3/9
Q1 2018 2018-05-01 C+ raisedstableexpanding 6/9 4/9
Q4 2017 2018-02-06 C+ maintainedstablecontracting 6/9 3/9
Q3 2017 2017-10-31 C+ raisedstableexpanding 6/9 5/9
Q2 2017 2017-08-01 B+ raisedacceleratingexpanding 6/9 5/9
Q1 2017 2017-05-02 B+ raisedstableexpanding 6/9 3/9
Q4 2016 2017-02-08 C nonestablecontracting 6/9 4/9
Q3 2016 2016-11-01 B raisedstableexpanding 6/9 3/9
Q2 2016 2016-08-02 B+ raisedacceleratingexpanding 6/9 5/9
Q1 2016 2016-05-04 C raisedacceleratingexpanding 6/9 4/9
Q4 2015 2016-02-09 B raisedacceleratingstable 7/9 4/9

Research question bank — earlier calls

During our 1,600-question research program, batches of experimental hypotheses were tested directly against some of PAYC's earlier calls. The YES answers — the rare hits — are shown; click any question to see every company that matched it. Full list: the question bank.

B+ Q2 2016 earnings call 2016-08-02

1 more research questions answered NO

How to read this page

The grade is a transparent composite of call quality — candor, specificity, low evasion, low stress, whether the call resolves more doubts than it creates, and the guidance action — not a buy or sell signal. The expected move is a volatility estimate from the one signal that survived our out-of-sample tests: how a stock's own reaction and pre-call volatility predict the size (not direction) of its next move. Full detail, including everything that failed: methodology.

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Not investment advice. Artul.ai publishes AI-generated earnings-call quality grades and expected-volatility estimates — never buy or sell recommendations. We tested over 1,600 predictive hypotheses against 165,000 transcripts; the honest result, including what failed, is documented in our methodology.