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Super Micro Computer, Inc. (SMCI) — Earnings Call X-Ray

Our AI read all 36 of SMCI's earnings calls (2016–2025) and answered the same battery of questions about each one. Every past call is free; the newest quarter unlocks with a free account.

Latest Call Grade
🔒
Q3 2025 · sign up to see
Previous Call Grade
F
Q2 2025
Expected Move
🔒
next 45 days · members
Calls Analyzed
36
2016–2025
Avg Candor
5.8/9
evasion 4/9
Guidance LoweredSigns of StressPromotional ToneCritic AmmunitionFounder-LedVolume Step-UpEarly Product, Fast GrowthUnderused Fixed Costs

Call-by-call analysis

🔒 Q3 2025 earnings call 2025-05-06 NEWEST

Guidance: ■■■■■Demand: ■■■■■■ Margins: ■■■■Backlog: ■■■■ ■ analysts, ■■ questionsexpected move ±■■%
Candor /9
Specificity /9
Evasion /9
Stress /9

Management ■■■■■■ guidance against ■■■■■■■■ demand and ■■■■■■■ margins. The delivery was ■■■■■■■■ and ■■■■ in specifics, with ■■■ questions left hanging.

🔒 The Q3 2025 call grade is ready
The full 37-point AI read of SMCI's newest earnings call — grade, expected move, and every question answered — is free with an account.
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F Q2 2025 earnings call 2025-02-11

Management lowered guidance against accelerating demand and contracting margins. The delivery was rich in specifics, visibly under pressure, promotional in tone.

Guidance: loweredDemand: acceleratingMargins: contractingBacklog: growingPricing: under pressureHeadcount: growingCapex: increasing 9 analysts · 20 questions
⚑ Critic ammunition⚑ Question left hanging✓ Volume step-up ahead✓ Early product, fast growthFounder-ledDirection beats results
Candor 4/9
Specificity 7/9
Evasion 5/9
Confidence 8/9
Uncertainty 3/9
Promotion 8/9
Stress 6/9
Complexity 6/9
All 20 questions our AI answered about this call
NO Would a skeptical short-seller find this call reassuring?
NO Would a careful investor underwrite management's guidance?
NO Is management's confidence proportionate to the evidence presented?
NO Does the call resolve more doubts than it creates?
YES Is there something a critic could fairly use against the company?
YES Is a claimed advantage dependent on scale they lack?
YES Does an obvious question remain unanswered?
YES Is a product early in its life but growing very fast?
NO Do they serve a small fraction of their addressable customers?
YES Is volume about to step up rather than grow gradually?
YES Are high fixed costs currently underutilised?
NO Is pricing recovering from a depressed level?
YES Do current results look bad while the direction looks better?
NO Are deferred revenue or customer prepayments growing?
NO Is consolidation happening among their peers?
YES Is a founder still running the company?
NO Does the final speaker sound like they are summarizing a finished story?
NO Is a fast-growing segment obscured by a declining one?
NO Does the CFO speak more than the CEO?
NO Does the call read rehearsed rather than lived?

F Q1 2025 earnings call 2024-11-05

Management withdrew guidance against mixed demand signals. The delivery was frequently evasive, visibly under pressure, promotional in tone.

Guidance: withdrawnDemand: mixedBacklog: growingPricing: under pressureHeadcount: growingCapex: increasing 10 analysts · 24 questions
⚑ Critic ammunition⚑ Question left hanging✓ Volume step-up ahead✓ Early product, fast growthFounder-ledDirection beats results
Candor 4/9
Specificity 5/9
Evasion 8/9
Confidence 7/9
Uncertainty 5/9
Promotion 7/9
Stress 6/9
Complexity 6/9
All 20 questions our AI answered about this call
NO Would a skeptical short-seller find this call reassuring?
NO Would a careful investor underwrite management's guidance?
NO Is management's confidence proportionate to the evidence presented?
NO Does the call resolve more doubts than it creates?
YES Is there something a critic could fairly use against the company?
NO Is a claimed advantage dependent on scale they lack?
YES Does an obvious question remain unanswered?
YES Is a product early in its life but growing very fast?
NO Do they serve a small fraction of their addressable customers?
YES Is volume about to step up rather than grow gradually?
YES Are high fixed costs currently underutilised?
NO Is pricing recovering from a depressed level?
YES Do current results look bad while the direction looks better?
NO Are deferred revenue or customer prepayments growing?
NO Is consolidation happening among their peers?
YES Is a founder still running the company?
NO Does the final speaker sound like they are summarizing a finished story?
NO Is a fast-growing segment obscured by a declining one?
NO Does the CFO speak more than the CEO?
NO Does the call read rehearsed rather than lived?

D Q4 2024 earnings call 2024-08-06

Management raised guidance against accelerating demand and contracting margins. The delivery was rich in specifics, promotional in tone.

Guidance: raisedDemand: acceleratingMargins: contractingBacklog: growingPricing: under pressureHeadcount: growingCapex: increasing 10 analysts · 26 questions
⚑ Critic ammunition⚑ Question left hanging✓ Volume step-up ahead✓ Early product, fast growthFounder-ledDirection beats results
Candor 6/9
Specificity 7/9
Evasion 4/9
Confidence 8/9
Uncertainty 5/9
Promotion 7/9
Stress 4/9
Complexity 5/9
All 20 questions our AI answered about this call
NO Would a skeptical short-seller find this call reassuring?
NO Would a careful investor underwrite management's guidance?
YES Is management's confidence proportionate to the evidence presented?
NO Does the call resolve more doubts than it creates?
YES Is there something a critic could fairly use against the company?
NO Is a claimed advantage dependent on scale they lack?
YES Does an obvious question remain unanswered?
YES Is a product early in its life but growing very fast?
NO Do they serve a small fraction of their addressable customers?
YES Is volume about to step up rather than grow gradually?
NO Are high fixed costs currently underutilised?
NO Is pricing recovering from a depressed level?
YES Do current results look bad while the direction looks better?
NO Are deferred revenue or customer prepayments growing?
NO Is consolidation happening among their peers?
YES Is a founder still running the company?
NO Does the final speaker sound like they are summarizing a finished story?
NO Is a fast-growing segment obscured by a declining one?
NO Does the CFO speak more than the CEO?
NO Does the call read rehearsed rather than lived?

B Q3 2024 earnings call 2024-04-30

Management raised guidance against accelerating demand and contracting margins. The delivery was unusually candid, rich in specifics, promotional in tone.

Guidance: raisedDemand: acceleratingMargins: contractingBacklog: growingPricing: under pressureHeadcount: growingCapex: increasing 10 analysts · 15 questions
⚑ Critic ammunition✓ Skeptic reassured✓ Guidance underwritable✓ Resolves doubts✓ Volume step-up ahead✓ Early product, fast growth
Candor 7/9
Specificity 8/9
Evasion 3/9
Confidence 9/9
Uncertainty 3/9
Promotion 8/9
Stress 3/9
Complexity 4/9
All 20 questions our AI answered about this call
YES Would a skeptical short-seller find this call reassuring?
YES Would a careful investor underwrite management's guidance?
YES Is management's confidence proportionate to the evidence presented?
YES Does the call resolve more doubts than it creates?
YES Is there something a critic could fairly use against the company?
NO Is a claimed advantage dependent on scale they lack?
NO Does an obvious question remain unanswered?
YES Is a product early in its life but growing very fast?
NO Do they serve a small fraction of their addressable customers?
YES Is volume about to step up rather than grow gradually?
NO Are high fixed costs currently underutilised?
NO Is pricing recovering from a depressed level?
NO Do current results look bad while the direction looks better?
NO Are deferred revenue or customer prepayments growing?
NO Is consolidation happening among their peers?
YES Is a founder still running the company?
NO Does the final speaker sound like they are summarizing a finished story?
NO Is a fast-growing segment obscured by a declining one?
NO Does the CFO speak more than the CEO?
NO Does the call read rehearsed rather than lived?

B+ Q2 2024 earnings call 2024-01-29

Management raised guidance against accelerating demand and contracting margins. The delivery was unusually candid, rich in specifics, promotional in tone.

Guidance: raisedDemand: acceleratingMargins: contractingBacklog: growingPricing: under pressureHeadcount: growingCapex: increasing 7 analysts · 18 questions
⚑ Critic ammunition✓ Skeptic reassured✓ Guidance underwritable✓ Resolves doubts✓ Volume step-up ahead✓ Early product, fast growth
Candor 7/9
Specificity 8/9
Evasion 3/9
Confidence 9/9
Uncertainty 2/9
Promotion 8/9
Stress 2/9
Complexity 4/9
All 20 questions our AI answered about this call
YES Would a skeptical short-seller find this call reassuring?
YES Would a careful investor underwrite management's guidance?
YES Is management's confidence proportionate to the evidence presented?
YES Does the call resolve more doubts than it creates?
YES Is there something a critic could fairly use against the company?
NO Is a claimed advantage dependent on scale they lack?
NO Does an obvious question remain unanswered?
YES Is a product early in its life but growing very fast?
NO Do they serve a small fraction of their addressable customers?
YES Is volume about to step up rather than grow gradually?
YES Are high fixed costs currently underutilised?
NO Is pricing recovering from a depressed level?
NO Do current results look bad while the direction looks better?
NO Are deferred revenue or customer prepayments growing?
NO Is consolidation happening among their peers?
YES Is a founder still running the company?
NO Does the final speaker sound like they are summarizing a finished story?
NO Is a fast-growing segment obscured by a declining one?
NO Does the CFO speak more than the CEO?
NO Does the call read rehearsed rather than lived?

C+ Q1 2024 earnings call 2023-11-01

Management raised guidance against accelerating demand. The delivery was rich in specifics, promotional in tone.

Guidance: raisedDemand: acceleratingMargins: stableBacklog: growingPricing: raisingHeadcount: growingCapex: increasing 6 analysts · 10 questions
⚑ Critic ammunition✓ Skeptic reassured⚑ Question left hanging✓ Guidance underwritable✓ Resolves doubts✓ Volume step-up ahead
Candor 5/9
Specificity 7/9
Evasion 3/9
Confidence 8/9
Uncertainty 2/9
Promotion 7/9
Stress 2/9
Complexity 4/9
All 20 questions our AI answered about this call
YES Would a skeptical short-seller find this call reassuring?
YES Would a careful investor underwrite management's guidance?
YES Is management's confidence proportionate to the evidence presented?
YES Does the call resolve more doubts than it creates?
YES Is there something a critic could fairly use against the company?
NO Is a claimed advantage dependent on scale they lack?
YES Does an obvious question remain unanswered?
YES Is a product early in its life but growing very fast?
NO Do they serve a small fraction of their addressable customers?
YES Is volume about to step up rather than grow gradually?
YES Are high fixed costs currently underutilised?
NO Is pricing recovering from a depressed level?
NO Do current results look bad while the direction looks better?
NO Are deferred revenue or customer prepayments growing?
NO Is consolidation happening among their peers?
YES Is a founder still running the company?
NO Does the final speaker sound like they are summarizing a finished story?
NO Is a fast-growing segment obscured by a declining one?
NO Does the CFO speak more than the CEO?
YES Does the call read rehearsed rather than lived?

C Q4 2023 earnings call 2023-08-08

Management raised guidance against accelerating demand. The delivery was rich in specifics, frequently evasive, promotional in tone.

Guidance: raisedDemand: acceleratingMargins: stableBacklog: growingPricing: raisingHeadcount: growingCapex: increasing 5 analysts · 17 questions
⚑ Critic ammunition✓ Skeptic reassured⚑ Question left hanging✓ Guidance underwritable✓ Resolves doubts✓ Volume step-up ahead
Candor 5/9
Specificity 7/9
Evasion 6/9
Confidence 8/9
Uncertainty 4/9
Promotion 8/9
Stress 3/9
Complexity 4/9
All 20 questions our AI answered about this call
YES Would a skeptical short-seller find this call reassuring?
YES Would a careful investor underwrite management's guidance?
YES Is management's confidence proportionate to the evidence presented?
YES Does the call resolve more doubts than it creates?
YES Is there something a critic could fairly use against the company?
NO Is a claimed advantage dependent on scale they lack?
YES Does an obvious question remain unanswered?
YES Is a product early in its life but growing very fast?
NO Do they serve a small fraction of their addressable customers?
YES Is volume about to step up rather than grow gradually?
NO Are high fixed costs currently underutilised?
NO Is pricing recovering from a depressed level?
NO Do current results look bad while the direction looks better?
NO Are deferred revenue or customer prepayments growing?
NO Is consolidation happening among their peers?
YES Is a founder still running the company?
NO Does the final speaker sound like they are summarizing a finished story?
NO Is a fast-growing segment obscured by a declining one?
NO Does the CFO speak more than the CEO?
NO Does the call read rehearsed rather than lived?

Earlier calls

CallDateGradeGuidanceDemandMarginsCandorEvasion
Q3 2023 2023-05-02 B+ raisedacceleratingcontracting 7/9 2/9
Q2 2023 2023-01-31 C maintainedmixedstable 6/9 4/9
Q1 2023 2022-11-01 B+ raisedacceleratingexpanding 7/9 2/9
Q4 2022 2022-08-09 B raisedacceleratingexpanding 6/9 3/9
Q3 2022 2022-05-03 B raisedacceleratingexpanding 6/9 2/9
Q2 2022 2022-02-02 C maintainedacceleratingexpanding 6/9 4/9
Q1 2022 2021-11-02 B+ raisedacceleratingcontracting 7/9 3/9
Q4 2021 2021-08-11 C+ raisedacceleratingcontracting 6/9 4/9
Q3 2021 2021-05-05 C+ raisedacceleratingcontracting 6/9 5/9
Q2 2021 2021-02-02 C raisedacceleratingcontracting 6/9 4/9
Q1 2021 2020-11-03 F maintainedmixedcontracting 6/9 3/9
Q4 2020 2020-08-11 D loweredmixedcontracting 7/9 3/9
Q3 2020 2020-05-09 D withdrawnstableexpanding 6/9 3/9
Q2 2020 2020-02-08 F loweredmixedstable 6/9 5/9
Q1 2020 2019-11-14 F maintainedmixedexpanding 4/9 4/9
Q4 2019 2019-08-15 F loweredslowingcontracting 5/9 5/9
Q2 2019 2019-02-14 F loweredmixedexpanding 5/9 4/9
Q1 2019 2018-11-16 F loweredmixedstable 4/9 5/9
Q4 2018 2018-08-21 F noneacceleratingcontracting 5/9 6/9
Q3 2018 2018-05-06 F noneacceleratingstable 4/9 6/9
Q2 2018 2018-01-30 F loweredacceleratingstable 3/9 7/9
Q4 2017 2017-08-03 F maintainedacceleratingcontracting 5/9 5/9
Q3 2017 2017-04-30 B+ raisedacceleratingcontracting 7/9 2/9
Q2 2017 2017-01-26 C+ raisedacceleratingcontracting 6/9 3/9
Q1 2017 2016-10-27 F maintainedmixedexpanding 5/9 4/9
Q4 2016 2016-08-05 F loweredmixedcontracting 8/9 4/9
Q3 2016 2016-04-28 D maintainedslowingcontracting 7/9 3/9
Q2 2016 2016-01-28 B maintainedacceleratingstable 7/9 2/9

How to read this page

The grade is a transparent composite of call quality — candor, specificity, low evasion, low stress, whether the call resolves more doubts than it creates, and the guidance action — not a buy or sell signal. The expected move is a volatility estimate from the one signal that survived our out-of-sample tests: how a stock's own reaction and pre-call volatility predict the size (not direction) of its next move. Full detail, including everything that failed: methodology.

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Not investment advice. Artul.ai publishes AI-generated earnings-call quality grades and expected-volatility estimates — never buy or sell recommendations. We tested over 1,600 predictive hypotheses against 165,000 transcripts; the honest result, including what failed, is documented in our methodology.