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Vector Group Ltd. (VGR) — Earnings Call X-Ray

Our AI read all 34 of VGR's earnings calls (2016–2024) and answered the same battery of questions about each one. Every past call is free; the newest quarter unlocks with a free account.

Latest Call Grade
🔒
Q2 2024 · sign up to see
Previous Call Grade
B
Q1 2024
Expected Move
🔒
next 45 days · members
Calls Analyzed
34
2016–2024
Avg Candor
6.8/9
evasion 2.5/9
Skeptic ReassuredCritic AmmunitionRaising PricesMargins ExpandingDemand SlowingReads Rehearsed

Call-by-call analysis

🔒 Q2 2024 earnings call 2024-08-01 NEWEST

Guidance: ■■■■■Demand: ■■■■■■ Margins: ■■■■Backlog: ■■■■ ■ analysts, ■■ questionsexpected move ±■■%
Candor /9
Specificity /9
Evasion /9
Stress /9

Management ■■■■■■ guidance against ■■■■■■■■ demand and ■■■■■■■ margins. The delivery was ■■■■■■■■ and ■■■■ in specifics, with ■■■ questions left hanging.

🔒 The Q2 2024 call grade is ready
The full 37-point AI read of VGR's newest earnings call — grade, expected move, and every question answered — is free with an account.
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B Q1 2024 earnings call 2024-05-02 move ±12.5%

Management held guidance steady against slowing demand and expanding margins. The delivery was rich in specifics, relaxed under questioning.

Guidance: maintainedDemand: slowingMargins: expandingPricing: raising 3 analysts · 7 questions
⚑ Critic ammunition✓ Skeptic reassured✓ Guidance underwritable✓ Resolves doubts⚑ Reads rehearsed
Candor 6/9
Specificity 8/9
Evasion 2/9
Confidence 8/9
Uncertainty 3/9
Promotion 4/9
Stress 1/9
Complexity 3/9
All 20 questions our AI answered about this call
YES Would a skeptical short-seller find this call reassuring?
YES Would a careful investor underwrite management's guidance?
YES Is management's confidence proportionate to the evidence presented?
YES Does the call resolve more doubts than it creates?
YES Is there something a critic could fairly use against the company?
NO Is a claimed advantage dependent on scale they lack?
NO Does an obvious question remain unanswered?
NO Is a product early in its life but growing very fast?
NO Do they serve a small fraction of their addressable customers?
NO Is volume about to step up rather than grow gradually?
NO Are high fixed costs currently underutilised?
NO Is pricing recovering from a depressed level?
NO Do current results look bad while the direction looks better?
NO Are deferred revenue or customer prepayments growing?
NO Is consolidation happening among their peers?
NO Is a founder still running the company?
NO Does the final speaker sound like they are summarizing a finished story?
NO Is a fast-growing segment obscured by a declining one?
NO Does the CFO speak more than the CEO?
YES Does the call read rehearsed rather than lived?

C+ Q4 2023 earnings call 2024-02-14 move ±14.2%

Management held guidance steady against slowing demand and expanding margins. The delivery was rich in specifics.

Guidance: maintainedDemand: slowingMargins: expandingPricing: raising 3 analysts · 7 questions
⚑ Critic ammunition✓ Skeptic reassured⚑ Question left hanging✓ Guidance underwritable✓ Resolves doubts⚑ Reads rehearsed
Candor 6/9
Specificity 8/9
Evasion 3/9
Confidence 7/9
Uncertainty 4/9
Promotion 5/9
Stress 2/9
Complexity 4/9
All 20 questions our AI answered about this call
YES Would a skeptical short-seller find this call reassuring?
YES Would a careful investor underwrite management's guidance?
YES Is management's confidence proportionate to the evidence presented?
YES Does the call resolve more doubts than it creates?
YES Is there something a critic could fairly use against the company?
NO Is a claimed advantage dependent on scale they lack?
YES Does an obvious question remain unanswered?
NO Is a product early in its life but growing very fast?
NO Do they serve a small fraction of their addressable customers?
NO Is volume about to step up rather than grow gradually?
NO Are high fixed costs currently underutilised?
NO Is pricing recovering from a depressed level?
NO Do current results look bad while the direction looks better?
NO Are deferred revenue or customer prepayments growing?
NO Is consolidation happening among their peers?
NO Is a founder still running the company?
NO Does the final speaker sound like they are summarizing a finished story?
NO Is a fast-growing segment obscured by a declining one?
NO Does the CFO speak more than the CEO?
YES Does the call read rehearsed rather than lived?

B Q3 2023 earnings call 2023-11-02 move ±7%

Management held guidance steady against mixed demand signals and expanding margins. The delivery was unusually candid, rich in specifics.

Guidance: maintainedDemand: mixedMargins: expandingPricing: raising 1 analysts · 3 questions
⚑ Critic ammunition✓ Skeptic reassured✓ Guidance underwritable✓ Resolves doubts⚑ Reads rehearsed
Candor 7/9
Specificity 8/9
Evasion 2/9
Confidence 8/9
Uncertainty 3/9
Promotion 6/9
Stress 2/9
Complexity 4/9
All 20 questions our AI answered about this call
YES Would a skeptical short-seller find this call reassuring?
YES Would a careful investor underwrite management's guidance?
YES Is management's confidence proportionate to the evidence presented?
YES Does the call resolve more doubts than it creates?
YES Is there something a critic could fairly use against the company?
NO Is a claimed advantage dependent on scale they lack?
NO Does an obvious question remain unanswered?
NO Is a product early in its life but growing very fast?
NO Do they serve a small fraction of their addressable customers?
NO Is volume about to step up rather than grow gradually?
NO Are high fixed costs currently underutilised?
NO Is pricing recovering from a depressed level?
NO Do current results look bad while the direction looks better?
NO Are deferred revenue or customer prepayments growing?
NO Is consolidation happening among their peers?
NO Is a founder still running the company?
NO Does the final speaker sound like they are summarizing a finished story?
NO Is a fast-growing segment obscured by a declining one?
NO Does the CFO speak more than the CEO?
YES Does the call read rehearsed rather than lived?

B Q2 2023 earnings call 2023-08-04 move ±12.3%

Management gave no formal guidance against mixed demand signals and expanding margins. The delivery was unusually candid, rich in specifics.

Demand: mixedMargins: expandingPricing: raising 1 analysts · 1 questions
⚑ Critic ammunition✓ Skeptic reassured✓ Guidance underwritable✓ Resolves doubts⚑ Reads rehearsed
Candor 7/9
Specificity 8/9
Evasion 2/9
Confidence 8/9
Uncertainty 3/9
Promotion 4/9
Stress 2/9
Complexity 3/9
All 20 questions our AI answered about this call
YES Would a skeptical short-seller find this call reassuring?
YES Would a careful investor underwrite management's guidance?
YES Is management's confidence proportionate to the evidence presented?
YES Does the call resolve more doubts than it creates?
YES Is there something a critic could fairly use against the company?
NO Is a claimed advantage dependent on scale they lack?
NO Does an obvious question remain unanswered?
NO Is a product early in its life but growing very fast?
NO Do they serve a small fraction of their addressable customers?
NO Is volume about to step up rather than grow gradually?
NO Are high fixed costs currently underutilised?
NO Is pricing recovering from a depressed level?
NO Do current results look bad while the direction looks better?
NO Are deferred revenue or customer prepayments growing?
NO Is consolidation happening among their peers?
NO Is a founder still running the company?
NO Does the final speaker sound like they are summarizing a finished story?
NO Is a fast-growing segment obscured by a declining one?
NO Does the CFO speak more than the CEO?
YES Does the call read rehearsed rather than lived?

B Q1 2023 earnings call 2023-05-09 move ±10.7%

Management held guidance steady against accelerating demand and expanding margins. The delivery was unusually candid, rich in specifics.

Guidance: maintainedDemand: acceleratingMargins: expandingPricing: stable 2 analysts · 4 questions
⚑ Critic ammunition✓ Skeptic reassured✓ Guidance underwritable✓ Resolves doubts✓ Early product, fast growth⚑ Reads rehearsed
Candor 7/9
Specificity 8/9
Evasion 1/9
Confidence 8/9
Uncertainty 3/9
Promotion 4/9
Stress 2/9
Complexity 3/9
All 20 questions our AI answered about this call
YES Would a skeptical short-seller find this call reassuring?
YES Would a careful investor underwrite management's guidance?
YES Is management's confidence proportionate to the evidence presented?
YES Does the call resolve more doubts than it creates?
YES Is there something a critic could fairly use against the company?
NO Is a claimed advantage dependent on scale they lack?
NO Does an obvious question remain unanswered?
YES Is a product early in its life but growing very fast?
NO Do they serve a small fraction of their addressable customers?
NO Is volume about to step up rather than grow gradually?
NO Are high fixed costs currently underutilised?
NO Is pricing recovering from a depressed level?
NO Do current results look bad while the direction looks better?
NO Are deferred revenue or customer prepayments growing?
NO Is consolidation happening among their peers?
NO Is a founder still running the company?
NO Does the final speaker sound like they are summarizing a finished story?
NO Is a fast-growing segment obscured by a declining one?
NO Does the CFO speak more than the CEO?
YES Does the call read rehearsed rather than lived?

C Q4 2022 earnings call 2023-02-16 move ±9.2%

Management gave no formal guidance against accelerating demand and expanding margins. The delivery was rich in specifics.

Demand: acceleratingMargins: expandingPricing: raising 3 analysts · 6 questions
⚑ Critic ammunition✓ Skeptic reassured⚑ Question left hanging✓ Resolves doubts✓ Early product, fast growth⚑ Reads rehearsed
Candor 6/9
Specificity 8/9
Evasion 5/9
Confidence 8/9
Uncertainty 3/9
Promotion 6/9
Stress 2/9
Complexity 3/9
All 20 questions our AI answered about this call
YES Would a skeptical short-seller find this call reassuring?
NO Would a careful investor underwrite management's guidance?
YES Is management's confidence proportionate to the evidence presented?
YES Does the call resolve more doubts than it creates?
YES Is there something a critic could fairly use against the company?
NO Is a claimed advantage dependent on scale they lack?
YES Does an obvious question remain unanswered?
YES Is a product early in its life but growing very fast?
NO Do they serve a small fraction of their addressable customers?
NO Is volume about to step up rather than grow gradually?
NO Are high fixed costs currently underutilised?
NO Is pricing recovering from a depressed level?
NO Do current results look bad while the direction looks better?
NO Are deferred revenue or customer prepayments growing?
YES Is consolidation happening among their peers?
NO Is a founder still running the company?
NO Does the final speaker sound like they are summarizing a finished story?
NO Is a fast-growing segment obscured by a declining one?
NO Does the CFO speak more than the CEO?
YES Does the call read rehearsed rather than lived?

C+ Q3 2022 earnings call 2022-11-02 move ±8%

Management gave no formal guidance against mixed demand signals and contracting margins. The delivery was rich in specifics.

Demand: mixedMargins: contractingPricing: raising 3 analysts · 8 questions
⚑ Critic ammunition✓ Skeptic reassured✓ Guidance underwritable✓ Resolves doubts✓ Early product, fast growth⚑ Reads rehearsed
Candor 6/9
Specificity 7/9
Evasion 3/9
Confidence 8/9
Uncertainty 3/9
Promotion 6/9
Stress 2/9
Complexity 3/9
All 20 questions our AI answered about this call
YES Would a skeptical short-seller find this call reassuring?
YES Would a careful investor underwrite management's guidance?
YES Is management's confidence proportionate to the evidence presented?
YES Does the call resolve more doubts than it creates?
YES Is there something a critic could fairly use against the company?
NO Is a claimed advantage dependent on scale they lack?
NO Does an obvious question remain unanswered?
YES Is a product early in its life but growing very fast?
NO Do they serve a small fraction of their addressable customers?
NO Is volume about to step up rather than grow gradually?
NO Are high fixed costs currently underutilised?
YES Is pricing recovering from a depressed level?
YES Do current results look bad while the direction looks better?
NO Are deferred revenue or customer prepayments growing?
NO Is consolidation happening among their peers?
NO Is a founder still running the company?
NO Does the final speaker sound like they are summarizing a finished story?
NO Is a fast-growing segment obscured by a declining one?
NO Does the CFO speak more than the CEO?
YES Does the call read rehearsed rather than lived?

Earlier calls

CallDateGradeGuidanceDemandMarginsCandorEvasion
Q2 2022 2022-08-05 C+ maintainedmixedcontracting 7/9 3/9
Q1 2022 2022-05-10 C noneacceleratingcontracting 7/9 5/9
Q4 2021 2022-03-01 B maintainedstablecontracting 7/9 2/9
Q3 2021 2021-11-08 B nonemixedexpanding 7/9 2/9
Q2 2021 2021-08-05 B maintainedmixedexpanding 7/9 3/9
Q1 2021 2021-05-08 B maintainedmixedexpanding 7/9 2/9
Q4 2020 2021-02-25 D nonemixedexpanding 6/9 5/9
Q3 2020 2020-11-05 C+ nonemixedexpanding 7/9 2/9
Q2 2020 2020-08-06 C+ nonemixedstable 7/9 3/9
Q1 2020 2020-05-08 C nonemixedexpanding 7/9 4/9
Q3 2019 2019-11-05 C+ maintainedslowingexpanding 7/9 2/9
Q2 2019 2019-08-08 C+ nonemixedexpanding 7/9 2/9
Q1 2019 2019-05-07 C+ maintainedslowingstable 7/9 2/9
Q4 2018 2019-02-28 C+ maintainedmixedcontracting 7/9 3/9
Q3 2018 2018-11-07 C+ maintainedmixedcontracting 6/9 1/9
Q2 2018 2018-08-07 B maintainedmixedcontracting 7/9 2/9
Q1 2018 2018-05-12 C+ maintainedmixedcontracting 8/9 2/9
Q4 2017 2018-03-01 B maintainedmixedcontracting 7/9 2/9
Q3 2017 2017-11-07 B maintainedacceleratingcontracting 7/9 2/9
Q2 2017 2017-08-04 C maintainedacceleratingcontracting 6/9 4/9
Q1 2017 2017-05-05 C+ maintainedacceleratingcontracting 7/9 3/9
Q4 2016 2017-03-01 B+ maintainedslowingexpanding 7/9 2/9
Q3 2016 2016-11-03 B noneslowingexpanding 7/9 2/9
Q2 2016 2016-07-28 B maintainedslowingexpanding 7/9 2/9
Q1 2016 2016-04-28 B maintainedslowingexpanding 6/9 1/9
Q4 2015 2016-02-29 D noneslowingexpanding 7/9 3/9

Research question bank — earlier calls

During our 1,600-question research program, batches of experimental hypotheses were tested directly against some of VGR's earlier calls. The YES answers — the rare hits — are shown; click any question to see every company that matched it. Full list: the question bank.

B Q3 2017 earnings call 2017-11-07

1 more research questions answered NO

How to read this page

The grade is a transparent composite of call quality — candor, specificity, low evasion, low stress, whether the call resolves more doubts than it creates, and the guidance action — not a buy or sell signal. The expected move is a volatility estimate from the one signal that survived our out-of-sample tests: how a stock's own reaction and pre-call volatility predict the size (not direction) of its next move. Full detail, including everything that failed: methodology.

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Not investment advice. Artul.ai publishes AI-generated earnings-call quality grades and expected-volatility estimates — never buy or sell recommendations. We tested over 1,600 predictive hypotheses against 165,000 transcripts; the honest result, including what failed, is documented in our methodology.